Le Havre vs Lorient
Lorient sneak a late double at Le Havre
S. Touré's early strike set the tone before J. Makengo sealed the win deep in stoppage time.
Lorient secured a 2-0 victory over Le Havre in Ligue 1, with S. Touré opening the scoring in the 18th minute and J. Makengo adding a decisive goal in the fifth minute of stoppage time. The result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a 1-1 draw, as Lorient managed to keep a clean sheet and snatch a late second to seal the points.
Outcome probability
Le Havre and Lorient face off in what promises to be a closely contested Ligue 1 encounter. Both teams have shown glimpses of attacking prowess this season, setting the stage for a competitive match.
Match factors
Le Havre's attacking trio in form
J. Maja and R. Fofana show strong recent scoring and assisting form, key to breaking Lorient's defense
Lorient's defensive injury impact
Lorient's top assister defender P. Katseris is confirmed out, weakening their defensive and attacking support
Le Havre's scoring streak despite poor results
Le Havre has scored in 3 of last 5 games, showing attacking resilience despite overall losses
Lorient missing key defender and midfielder
Confirmed outs include defender P. Katseris and midfielder B. Fadiga, reducing Lorient's depth and creativity
Le Havre's attackers outperform league averages
J. Maja and R. Fofana exceed league average goals per game for attackers, increasing scoring chances
The context
This fixture is part of the regular season's 10th round. Lorient currently boast a better goal difference and points per game than Le Havre, but their head-to-head history is fairly even, with four wins apiece and four draws in 11 meetings. Lorient will be missing key players due to injury, which could level the playing field.
Key insights
J. Maja
Le Havre
Top scorer for Le Havre with 4 goals, showing strong recent form with 4 goals in last 5 games, making him a key attacking threat.
Ligue 1 26/274 goals in 9 appearances, 0.44 avg per game
R. Fofana
Le Havre
Contributes both goals and assists, with good home scoring form, enhancing Le Havre's attacking options.
Ligue 1 26/272 goals in 7 appearances, 0.29 avg per game; 1 assist in 7 appearances, 0.14 avg per game
- P
P. Katseris
Lorient
Lorient's top assisting defender is out injured, weakening their defensive and attacking support.
Ligue 1 26/273 assists this season
J. Makengo
Lorient
Key playmaker providing assists and key passes, important for Lorient's creativity despite injury setbacks.
Ligue 1 26/271 assist in 8 appearances, 0.13 avg per game
Analysis
Lorient's defensive line is weakened by the absence of their top assisting defender, which may give Le Havre's attackers an edge. Le Havre's J. Maja leads the scoring charts for his side with four goals, showing strong recent form, while R. Fofana contributes both goals and assists, particularly at home. Lorient's midfield creativity is also hampered by injuries, potentially limiting their attacking threat. The statistical probabilities suggest a slight edge to an away win, but the prediction leans towards a draw, reflecting the balanced nature of the contest and the impact of injuries on Lorient.
Key facts
- 1.Lorient have a better goal difference and points per game than Le Havre this season.
- 2.In 11 head-to-head meetings, Lorient have won 4, Le Havre 3, with 4 draws.
- 3.Le Havre's J. Maja is the team's top scorer with 4 goals in 9 appearances.
- 4.Lorient's defender P. Katseris, their top assister, is confirmed out injured.
- 5.The most probable halftime score is 0-0, supporting a cautious first half.
- 6.The predicted total number of cards is 4, suggesting moderate discipline.
Prediction
We expect a goalless first half as both teams feel each other out, followed by goals from each side in the second half. The match is predicted to end in a 1-1 draw, with a total of four cards likely, indicating a moderately disciplined affair.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Le Havre
Away — Lorient
The verdict
In summary, this Ligue 1 fixture looks finely balanced with both Le Havre and Lorient capable of scoring. Injuries to Lorient's key players may just tip the scales towards a shared point each, making a 1-1 draw the most sensible outcome.
Prediction generated 2 Nov 2026, 21:37 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Touré
Assist: Kouassi
Samatta
Goal cancelled
Tosin
Bernardeau
Faye
Yellow Card
Touré
Mizuta
Koffi Vinette
Fofana
Mwanga
Cadiou
Yellow Card
Makengo
Assist: Kone
Touba
Yellow Card
Makengo
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 23 |
| 9 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 15 |
| 10 |  Lorient | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 |  Lens | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 8 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -13 | 2 |
Match Statistics
Le Havre
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5A. ToubaD
- 6J. MwangaM
- 9J. MajaF
- 16A. BodartG
- 17K. MizutaM
- 20D. OuziadM
- 23V. SassoD
- 25M. SamattaM
- 26S. EbonogM
- 27E. Koffi VinetteD
- 38R. FofanaM
Substitutes
- 7A. RichardsonM
- 21M. BodmerM
- 24G. ZohouriM
- 34Thomas RousseauM
- 44I. BounebM
- 78D. MosengoM
- 93G. GallonG
Lorient
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3M. TalbiD
- 8N. CadiouM
- 15A. TosinF
- 17J. MakengoM
- 20D. SyllaM
- 32N. AdjeiD
- 33G. BernardeauM
- 38Y. MvogoG
- 43K. KouassiM
- 62A. AvomM
- 95S. TouréD
Substitutes
- 2A. GeorgenD
- 10I. JensenF
- 11T. Le BrisM
- 19S. FayeF
- 21B. KamaraG
- 30S. KuzmićD
- 42M. KoneF
- 55N. ObaretinD
- 72N. MbambaM
Le Havre
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mwanga | M | 84 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| A. Richardson | M | 44 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| V. Sasso | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| A. Touba | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Koffi Vinette | D | 80 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Samatta | M | 46 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| S. Ebonog | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| J. Maja | F | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | — |
| R. Fofana | M | 84 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 2/4 |
| D. Ouziad | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 3/6 |
| K. Mizuta | M | 74 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1/2 |
| D. Mosengo | M | 6 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| I. Bouneb | M | 16 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/3 |
| A. Bodart | G | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Zohouri | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thomas Rousseau | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Gallon | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Bodmer | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Lorient
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Touré | D | 72 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Mvogo | G | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Kouassi | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| M. Talbi | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Adjei | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Obaretin | D | 18 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Makengo | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| S. Faye | F | 24 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Avom | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| G. Bernardeau | M | 66 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| D. Sylla | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| N. Cadiou | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Kone | F | 24 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Tosin | F | 66 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| T. Le Bris | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Georgen | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Kamara | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Mbamba | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Jensen | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Kuzmić | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Le Havre vs Lorient?
- Fipster's AI model predicted a draw between Le Havre and Lorient.
- What score did Fipster predict for Le Havre vs Lorient?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Le Havre 1–1 Lorient.
- What were the win probabilities for Le Havre vs Lorient?
- Fipster's model gave Le Havre a 33% chance of winning, Lorient a 32% chance, and a 35% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.