Lazio vs Udinese
Match recap
Lazio and Udinese drew 3–3 in their Serie A fixture. Pellegrini, Pedro, and Maldini scored for Lazio; Ehizibue, Atta, and Atta replied for Udinese. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.39 for Lazio versus 1.96 for Udinese. Lazio sit 9th in the Serie A table while Udinese are 10th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-0 Lazio win
Actual
3–3
Analysis
As Serie A's regular season nears its climax, Lazio host Udinese in a match where every point counts. With both teams eyeing a climb up the table, expect a tightly contested affair with Lazio holding the upper hand.
Lazio currently sit 9th with 47 points, just ahead of Udinese in 11th with 43 points. Historically, Lazio have dominated this fixture, winning half of their 20 meetings, while Udinese have managed only three wins. The home side also boasts a superior goal difference (+4) compared to Udinese's -5, setting the stage for a home advantage.
Despite missing key attackers like Cancellieri, Isaksen, Zaccagni, and Cataldi due to injury, Lazio's attacking threat remains potent thanks to T. Noslin's impressive home scoring form—four goals in his last five games. Midfielder K. Taylor's creative surge, with eight assists in the last five matches, further boosts Lazio's chances. Udinese's defensive resilience, anchored by Solet and Kabasele, will test Lazio, but the absence of Udinese's top scorer Davis weakens their offensive threat.
Prediction
The forecast is a narrow 1-0 victory for Lazio, with the halftime score also predicted at 1-0. The match is expected to be competitive, with a total of four cards likely to be shown. Confidence in this outcome stands at 52%, reflecting Lazio's slight edge in form and home advantage.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Lazio missing key attackers
Cancellieri, Isaksen, Zaccagni, and Cataldi are injured, limiting attacking options.
Udinese's defensive solidity
Solet and Kabasele provide strong defensive coverage, challenging Lazio's attack.
Taylor's creative surge
Taylor's 8 assists in last 5 games boost Lazio's chance to create scoring opportunities.
Noslin's home scoring form
Noslin's 4 goals in last 5 games at home exceed league average striker output.
Udinese's top scorer Davis absent
Davis' injury reduces Udinese's goal threat, favoring Lazio's defensive confidence.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Lazio's home form and key player performances should see them edge out Udinese in a close encounter. While injuries have impacted both sides, Lazio's attacking and creative players are poised to make the difference in this Serie A fixture.
- Lazio have won 10 of 20 meetings against Udinese, who have won 3, with 7 draws.
- Lazio hold a +4 goal difference this season, better than Udinese's -5.
- Lazio are 9th in the league with 47 points; Udinese are 11th with 43 points.
- T. Noslin has scored 4 goals in his last 5 home games, showing strong form.
- K. Taylor has provided 8 assists in the last 5 games, boosting Lazio's creativity.
- Udinese's top scorer K. Davis is injured, reducing their attacking threat.
- The predicted total number of cards in the match is 4, indicating a competitive game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Lazio
Away — Udinese
No standout top scorers flagged for Udinese
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Ehizibue
Assist: Ekkelenkamp
Cancellieri
Yellow Card
Taylor
Dia
Pellegrini
Pellegrini
Yellow Card
Piotrowski
Cancellieri
Ekkelenkamp
Noslin
Pedro
Assist: Bašić
Ehizibue
Kabasele
Kamara
Pellegrini
Atta
Patric
Yellow Card
Maldini
Assist: Pedro
Zarraga
Yellow Card
Atta
Assist: Bayo
Match Statistics
Lazio
4-3-3Starting XI
- 3L. PellegriniD
- 4PatricM
- 13A. RomagnoliD
- 14T. NoslinF
- 19B. DiaF
- 22M. CancellieriF
- 24K. TaylorM
- 25O. ProvstgaardD
- 26T. BašićM
- 29M. LazzariD
- 40E. MottaG
Substitutes
- 6N. RovellaM
- 7F. Dele-BashiruM
- 9PedroF
- 17Nuno TavaresD
- 18G. IsaksenF
- 20P. RatkovF
- 21R. BelahyaneM
- 23E. HysajD
- 27D. MaldiniF
- 28A. PrzyborekM
- 72Nicolo PannozzoG
- 77A. MarušićD
- 99Giacomo GiacomoneG
Udinese
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 7I. GueyeF
- 10N. ZanioloF
- 11H. KamaraM
- 14A. AttaM
- 19K. EhizibueM
- 24J. PiotrowskiM
- 27C. KabaseleD
- 28O. SoletD
- 31T. KristensenD
- 32J. EkkelenkampF
- 40M. OkoyeG
Substitutes
- 1A. NunzianteG
- 6Oier ZarragaM
- 15V. BayoF
- 18A. BuksaF
- 20J. ArizalaM
- 22Branimir MlačićD
- 29A. CamaraM
- 38L. MillerM
- 45G. VinciatiF
- 90R. SavaG
- 93D. PadelliG
Lazio
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Pellegrini | D | 84 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/3 |
| Toma Bašić | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| Patric(C) | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tijjani Noslin | F | 76 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| Boulaye Dia | F | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matteo Cancellieri | F | 65 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Oliver Provstgaard | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Alessio Romagnoli | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Edoardo Motta | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kenneth Taylor | M | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manuel Lazzari | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/5 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Petar Ratkov | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adam Marusic | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elseid Hysaj | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Reda Belahyane | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolò Rovella | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolo Pannozzo | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giacomo Giacomone | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrian Przyborek | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro | F | 45 | 8.2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1/1 |
| Gustav Isaksen | F | 25 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Daniel Maldini | F | 14 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Fisayo Dele-Bashiru | M | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Nuno Tavares | D | 14 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Udinese
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arthur Atta | M | 90 | 8.9 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 0/2 |
| Kingsley Ehizibue | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Jürgen Ekkelenkamp | F | 69 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Nicolò Zaniolo | F | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3/4 |
| Oumar Solet | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Jakub Piotrowski | M | 65 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Hassane Kamara | M | 82 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Maduka Okoye | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thomas Kristensen(C) | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Idrissa Gueye | F | 82 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Christian Kabasele | D | 82 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Branimir Mlačić | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giulio Vinciati | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdoulaye Camara | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alessandro Nunziante | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Răzvan Sava | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniele Padelli | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | F | 8 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Juan Arizala | M | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Lennon Miller | M | 25 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Adam Buksa | F | 21 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Oier Zarraga | M | 8 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |