Lazio vs Pisa

Serie AMatchweek 38
Full Time
21
HT: 21
Ref: Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi, ItalyStadio Olimpico, Roma · 68,530 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinhighHit

Match recap

Lazio beat Pisa 2–1 in their Serie A fixture. Dele-Bashiru and Pedro scored for Lazio; Moreo replied for Pisa. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.01 for Lazio versus 1.55 for Pisa. Lazio sit 9th in the Serie A table while Pisa are 20th.

FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Appropriate✓ Hit
Fipster's Pick
10
HT 1–0
Final Result
21
HT 2–1
55%Fair
C
OutcomeExact ScoreBTTSOver/Under 2.5Halftime
Fipster's self review25 May 2026

Analysis

As the Serie A season nears its close, Lazio host Pisa in what promises to be a closely contested fixture. With Lazio comfortably placed mid-table and Pisa struggling near the bottom, the home side are favourites to edge this one.

Lazio currently sit 9th with 51 points, showcasing a solid season, while Pisa languish in 20th with just 18 points. The teams met once before this season, ending in a draw, but Lazio's home form and overall quality suggest they will claim all three points this time.

Lazio's defensive strength, led by Mario Gila's impressive tackling and passing accuracy, contrasts sharply with Pisa's leaky defence. Lazio have scored in four of their last five home games, while Pisa have conceded in all their last five away matches. Key attackers like G. Isaksen and M. Cancellieri offer goal threats, supported by midfielders such as T. Bašić who provide creative assists.


Prediction

The forecast is a narrow 1-0 victory for Lazio, with the first half likely to see the only goal scored. The match is expected to be competitive but controlled, with a total of around four cards anticipated. Confidence in this outcome stands at 68%, reflecting Lazio's superior form and home advantage.

Outcome probability

Lazio 68%Draw 16%Pisa 16%

Key Insights

Tactical Advantagehigh

Lazio's Defensive Solidity vs Pisa's Struggling Attack

Lazio's defenders like Mario Gila and Adam Marušić outperform Pisa's attackers, limiting their scoring chances.

Statistical Edgehigh

Superior Passing and Possession Control by Lazio

Lazio's midfielders and defenders have higher passing accuracy and volume, enabling better game control.

Form Momentummedium

Lazio's Recent Home Scoring Consistency

Lazio has scored in 4 of last 5 home games, boosting confidence for scoring in this match.

Head To Head Factorhigh

Pisa's Defensive Weaknesses Exposed in Recent Matches

Pisa has conceded in all last 5 away games, indicating vulnerability Lazio can exploit.

Injury Impacthigh

No Significant Injuries Affecting Lazio's Key Players

Lazio has no reported injuries, maintaining full strength for this fixture.

Key Takeaways

In summary, Lazio's blend of defensive solidity and home scoring consistency should see them edge out Pisa in a tight encounter. Pisa's defensive vulnerabilities and poor away record make it tough for them to claim points here. Expect a disciplined, tactical game with Lazio holding firm for the win.

  • Lazio are 9th in Serie A with 51 points from 37 games.
  • Pisa sit bottom at 20th with 18 points from 37 games.
  • Lazio have a neutral goal difference, far better than Pisa's -44.
  • Previous Lazio vs Pisa meeting ended in a 0-0 draw.
  • Lazio have scored in 4 of their last 5 home matches.
  • Pisa have conceded in all of their last 5 away games.
  • Mario Gila boasts 90% passing accuracy and 44 tackles this season.
  • G. Isaksen is Lazio's top scorer with 5 goals this season.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

HomeLazio

G. Isaksen

G. Isaksen

Attacker

Lazio

Total Goals
5
League avg: 1.04
29 played
18 starts
1579 mins
~54 mins/game
M. Cancellieri

M. Cancellieri

Attacker

Lazio

Total Goals
4
League avg: 1.04
28 played
19 starts
1597 mins
~57 mins/game
T. Noslin

T. Noslin

Attacker

Lazio

Total Goals
4
League avg: 1.04
27 played
7 starts
1012 mins
~37 mins/game

AwayPisa

No standout top scorers flagged for Pisa