Lazio vs Monza
Lazio's early blitz secures solid win
Three goals, including a quick double, set Lazio on course against Monza.
Lazio stormed ahead with Nuno Tavares and G. Isaksen scoring in the first half, establishing a commanding lead. Monza's S. Goglichidze pulled one back just after the break, but A. Pinamonti sealed the victory late on for Lazio. Fipster's high-confidence prediction nailed the exact 3-1 scoreline, proving spot on.
Outcome probability
Lazio and Monza face off in a Serie A regular season match where the Biancocelesti look poised to extend their impressive run. With Lazio sitting comfortably in the upper half of the table and Monza struggling to find consistency, this encounter promises a tactical battle with goals.
Match factors
Lazio's Defensive Solidity vs Monza's Attack
Lazio's defenders like Floriani Mussolini excel in tackles and interceptions, likely to disrupt Monza's key scorer Varela.
Monza's Gustavo Varela in Red Hot Form
Varela has scored 4 goals in last 5 games, well above league average, making him Monza's main scoring threat.
Lazio's Consistent Scoring Streak
Lazio has scored in all last 5 matches, supporting the predicted 3 goals in this fixture.
Doubtful Status of Lazio Defender Doekhi
Doekhi's availability is uncertain; if he starts, Lazio's defense will be stronger against Monza's attackers.
The context
Lazio currently rank 5th in the league with 10 points from 4 games, boasting a strong goal difference of +3. Monza, on the other hand, sit 15th with 4 points from 5 games and a goal difference of -4. This contrast in form and results sets the stage for a challenging outing for the visitors.
Key insights
- R
Romano Floriani Mussolini
Lazio
Leads Lazio in tackles and interceptions, key to disrupting Monza's attack.
Serie A 26/272.25 tackles per game, above league average interceptions
Gustavo Varela
Monza
In red-hot form with 4 goals in last 5 games, main scoring threat for Monza.
Serie A 26/274 goals in last 5 games, 0.8 goals/game
Ricardo Mangas
Monza
Top assister for Monza, creative force with 2 assists in 4 games.
Serie A 26/272 assists in 4 games, 0.5 assists/game
Analysis
Lazio's defensive solidity, led by players like Romano Floriani Mussolini who averages 2.25 tackles per game, is expected to disrupt Monza's main attacking threat, Gustavo Varela, who has netted 4 goals in his last 5 matches. While Monza's Ricardo Mangas provides creativity with 2 assists in 4 games, Lazio's consistent scoring streak and superior points per game (2.50 vs 0.80) give them the edge. The doubtful status of Lazio's Danilho Doekhi adds a slight uncertainty to their defensive setup but is unlikely to derail their overall strength.
Key facts
- 1.Lazio are ranked 5th with 10 points from 4 games (W3 D1 L0).
- 2.Monza are ranked 15th with 4 points from 5 games (W1 D1 L3).
- 3.Lazio have a +3 goal difference compared to Monza's -4.
- 4.Lazio average 2.50 points per game, Monza 0.80.
- 5.Gustavo Varela has scored 4 goals in his last 5 matches for Monza.
- 6.Romano Floriani Mussolini averages 2.25 tackles per game for Lazio.
- 7.Ricardo Mangas leads Monza with 2 assists in 4 games.
Prediction
The forecast sees Lazio taking a 1-0 lead into halftime and extending their advantage to a 3-1 victory by full time. The match is expected to feature around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled contest. Lazio's home advantage and superior form make them the clear favourites to secure all three points.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Lazio
No standout top scorers flagged for Lazio
Away — Monza
The verdict
In summary, Lazio's blend of defensive discipline and attacking prowess should prove too much for Monza. Expect the Biancocelesti to maintain their strong league position with a confident 3-1 win, while Monza will need to regroup and address their defensive frailties moving forward.
Prediction generated 19 Sep 2026, 20:36 UTC · Fipster Model v1.158
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Nuno Tavares
Assist: Noslin
Carboni
Yellow Card
Isaksen
Assist: Noslin
Lucchesi
Red Card
Ngonge
Doekhi
Yellow Card
Folorunsho
Zeballos
Carboni
Goglichidze
Assist: Mota
Doekhi
Provstgaard
Yellow Card
Provstgaard
Frattesi
Diogo Leite
Yellow Card
Ricardo Mangas
Noslin
Nuno Tavares
Yellow Card
Pinamonti
Assist: Pedraza
Match Statistics
Lazio
4-3-3Starting XI
- 5D. DoekhiD
- 10M. ZaccagniF
- 11G. IsaksenF
- 14T. NoslinF
- 15R. Floriani MussoliniD
- 16D. FrattesiM
- 17Nuno TavaresD
- 21R. BelahyaneM
- 24K. TaylorM
- 25O. ProvstgaardD
- 35C. MandasG
Substitutes
- 2Diogo LeiteD
- 7F. Dele-BashiruM
- 9A. PinamontiF
- 23PedrazaD
- 28A. PrzyborekM
- 29M. LazzariM
- 32D. CataldiM
- 37J. ŠutaloD
- 40E. MottaG
- 47D. RenzettiG
- 63F. SerraF
- 71V. FarcomeniM
Monza
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1N. TörnqvistG
- 3L. LucchesiD
- 7Ricardo MangasM
- 9Gustavo VarelaF
- 14E. AkinsanmiroM
- 16C. NgongeM
- 19S. BirindelliM
- 22E. ZeballosM
- 44A. CarboniD
- 60E. KouadioD
- 90M. FolorunshoM
Substitutes
- 2S. GoglichidzeD
- 5Y. MayeD
- 6V. AntovD
- 8M. OndoaM
- 10P. CutroneF
- 20D. ThiamG
- 21L. ColomboM
- 24A. BakouneD
- 28A. ColpaniM
- 43A. StrajnarG
- 46Jay RobinsonF
- 47Dany MotaF
- 80M. MoutM
Lazio
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Noslin | F | 75 | 8.1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
| C. Mandas | G | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Isaksen | F | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | — | 0/3 |
| Nuno Tavares | D | 75 | 7.4 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| A. Pinamonti | F | 15 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| R. Belahyane | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Floriani Mussolini | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| J. Šutalo | D | 30 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedraza | D | 15 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| D. Doekhi | D | 53 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Frattesi | M | 60 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| K. Taylor | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Diogo Leite | D | 37 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Dele-Bashiru | M | 30 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| O. Provstgaard | D | 60 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Zaccagni | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| F. Serra | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Motta | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Renzetti | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Przyborek | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Lazzari | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Cataldi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Farcomeni | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Monza
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dany Mota | F | 44 | 7.6 | — | 1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | — |
| S. Goglichidze | D | 54 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Maye | D | 44 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| S. Birindelli | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 4 | — | 2 | — |
| M. Folorunsho | M | 46 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Akinsanmiro | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 3/3 |
| E. Kouadio | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Varela | F | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3/4 |
| N. Törnqvist | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bakoune | D | 20 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| C. Ngonge | M | 36 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| E. Zeballos | M | 46 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3/3 |
| M. Ondoa | M | 44 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Mangas | M | 70 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| A. Carboni | D | 46 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| L. Lucchesi | D | 35 | 5.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jay Robinson | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Strajnar | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Colombo | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Colpani | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Mout | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Antov | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Thiam | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Cutrone | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Lazio vs Monza?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Lazio to win against Monza.
- What score did Fipster predict for Lazio vs Monza?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Lazio 3–1 Monza.
- What were the win probabilities for Lazio vs Monza?
- Fipster's model gave Lazio a 87% chance of winning, Monza a 6% chance, and a 7% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 87% confidence — a high-confidence call.