Larne vs FK Crvena Zvezda
- Aggregate:
- FK Crvena Zvezda 9 0 Larne
- Advances:
- FK Crvena Zvezda
Match recap
FK Crvena Zvezda beat Larne 4–0 in their UEFA Champions League fixture.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-3 FK Crvena Zvezda win
Actual
0–4
Outcome probability
The upcoming clash between Larne and FK Crvena Zvezda in the 2nd Qualifying Round promises an intriguing contest, with the visitors expected to maintain their recent dominance.
Match factors
FK Crvena Zvezda's attacking dominance expected
FK Crvena Zvezda averages 2.25 goals per game vs Larne's 0.75, indicating strong offensive edge
Larne's top scorers show limited scoring depth
Only two Larne players have scored this season, both with 1 goal each, limiting scoring options
FK Crvena Zvezda's recent big win vs Larne
FK Crvena Zvezda defeated Larne 5-0 away recently, showing psychological and form advantage
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, so no impact from missing players expected
The context
In this competition, Larne have played four matches, winning two but losing two, conceding 10 goals while scoring only 3. FK Crvena Zvezda have also played four matches, winning two and losing two, but with a more potent attack, netting 9 goals and conceding 3. The only previous meeting saw FK Crvena Zvezda triumph 4-0, highlighting their edge in this fixture.
Key insights

D. Bent
Larne
D. Bent's scoring rate of 1 goal per game is well above the league midfielder average, making him a key contributor to Larne's limited goals this season.
UEFA Champions League 26/271 goal in 1 game, 90 mins played

M. Ridley
Larne
M. Ridley has an unusually high goal scoring record for a defender, with 1 goal in 1 game, providing offensive support especially on set pieces.
UEFA Champions League 26/271 goal in 1 game, 90 mins played

R. Doherty
Larne
R. Doherty's assist rate exceeds the league average for midfielders, making him a key creative player for Larne.
UEFA Champions League 26/271 assist in 1 game, 76 mins played
Analysis
FK Crvena Zvezda's attacking prowess is evident, averaging 2.25 goals per game against Larne's 0.75. Larne's scoring options are limited, with only two players having found the net this season, both with a single goal. FK Crvena Zvezda's recent 5-0 away win over Larne adds psychological weight to their advantage. Both teams have full squads available, so no injury concerns should affect the outcome.
Key facts
- 1.Larne have played 4 matches in this competition (W2 D0 L2, GF 3 / GA 10).
- 2.FK Crvena Zvezda have played 4 matches in this competition (W2 D0 L2, GF 9 / GA 3).
- 3.FK Crvena Zvezda won the only head-to-head match 4-0 against Larne.
- 4.FK Crvena Zvezda average 2.25 goals per game vs Larne's 0.75 in this competition.
- 5.Larne's top scorers each have only 1 goal this season, limiting their attacking threat.
- 6.Both teams have full squads available with no confirmed injuries.
Prediction
We predict FK Crvena Zvezda to win 3-1, leveraging their superior offensive capabilities and recent form against Larne. While the confidence in this call is cautious due to limited data, the statistical edge and past results favour the visitors.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
The verdict
Expect FK Crvena Zvezda to continue their strong showing in this competition with a convincing 3-1 victory over Larne, who will need to find more firepower to challenge effectively in future ties.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 10:59 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
No recent fixture data
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
FK Crvena Zvezda has no record in this competition yet, so there is nothing to compare these totals against.
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Yellow Card
Goal
Penalty
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
Unknown
Unknown
Goal
Unknown
Goal
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Goal
Larne
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1R. FergusonG
- 3M. RidleyD
- 4A. DonnellyD
- 6C. GallagherM
- 11S. GrahamD
- 15R. DohertyM
- 22J. McEneffM
- 23T. CosgroveD
- 25D. SloanM
- 26D. BentM
- 30M. LustyF
Substitutes
- 2L. WallaceD
- 7C. McKendryM
- 9P. O'NeillF
- 14B. MageeM
- 19K. O'Hara
- 31D. CollettG
- 36Dylan GrahamG
- 45M. GibsonF
- 47J. SimpsonM
FK Crvena Zvezda
4-3-2-1Starting XI
- 1MatheusG
- 4M. IvanićM
- 13M. VeljkovićD
- 15M. Abu FaniM
- 17Bruno DuarteF
- 21T. ElšnikM
- 22V. KostovM
- 23N. TiknizyanD
- 25S. ErakovićD
- 66Seol Young-WooD
- 75L. LoizouM
Substitutes
- 7M. ArnautovićF
- 8K. BalovM
- 9J. EnemF
- 10A. KataiM
- 14O. BukariM
- 24N. StankovićD
- 27M. StrikaD
- 30F. Tebo UchennaD
- 45S. GudeljD
- 50S. Radanovic
- 70M. ChamM
- 77I. GutešaG
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Larne vs FK Crvena Zvezda?
- Fipster's AI model predicted FK Crvena Zvezda to win against Larne.
- What score did Fipster predict for Larne vs FK Crvena Zvezda?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Larne 1–3 FK Crvena Zvezda.
- What were the win probabilities for Larne vs FK Crvena Zvezda?
- Fipster's model gave Larne a 32% chance of winning, FK Crvena Zvezda a 35% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.




