Kocaelispor vs Göztepe
Göztepe sneak past Kocaelispor
A late penalty wasn't enough for Kocaelispor to avoid defeat.
Göztepe edged a tight Süper Lig clash 2-1 at Kocaelispor, with an own goal by Show giving them an early advantage and N. Dismas sealing the win after the break. Despite B. Kutlu's penalty bringing Kocaelispor back into the game late on, they couldn't find an equaliser. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a comfortable home win.
Outcome probability
Kocaelispor and Göztepe face off in the 8th round of the regular season, with Kocaelispor showing stronger form and a clear edge in recent encounters.
Match factors
Kocaelispor's midfield creativity vs Göztepe's defense
Berkan Kutlu and Gonçalo Santos Sousa provide strong attacking midfield presence, likely to exploit Göztepe's defensive vulnerabilities
Juan's scoring form boosts Göztepe's attack
Juan has scored 4 goals in 6 games with 5 in last 5, making him a key threat despite away status
Kocaelispor's strong home scoring streak
Kocaelispor has scored in last 3 home games, supporting predicted 3 goals at home
Full squad availability for both teams
No confirmed injuries or suspensions, so all key players are available to influence the match
The context
Kocaelispor currently sit 4th in the league with 6 points from 3 games, while Göztepe languish near the bottom at 16th with just 1 point. Historically, Kocaelispor have the upper hand, winning half of their four meetings with Göztepe and drawing the rest.
Key insights
Berkan Kutlu
Kocaelispor
Berkan Kutlu’s above-average goal rate for a midfielder and strong home scoring form make him a key attacking threat.
Süper Lig 26/272 goals in 7 games, 0.29 goals/game
Gonçalo Santos Sousa
Kocaelispor
As the top assister with 2 assists in 6 games, Gonçalo Santos Sousa is the creative hub likely to unlock Göztepe’s defence.
Süper Lig 26/272 assists in 6 games, 0.33 assists/game
Juan
Göztepe
Juan’s excellent recent scoring form, with 5 goals in his last 5 games, makes him a significant threat despite the away status.
Süper Lig 26/274 goals in 6 games, 0.67 goals/game
Analysis
Kocaelispor's midfield creativity, led by Berkan Kutlu and Gonçalo Santos Sousa, is expected to exploit Göztepe's defensive vulnerabilities. Berkan Kutlu boasts a solid home scoring record with 2 goals in 7 appearances, while Gonçalo Santos Sousa contributes with 2 assists in 6 games. On the other side, Göztepe's main threat is Juan, who has netted 4 goals in 6 games, including 5 in his last 5 outings, but the away side's overall form and league position suggest they will struggle to contain Kocaelispor's attacking prowess.
Key facts
- 1.Kocaelispor have won 2 of 4 head-to-head meetings; Göztepe have yet to win against them.
- 2.Kocaelispor rank 4th with 6 points from 3 games; Göztepe are 16th with 1 point.
- 3.Kocaelispor average 2.00 points per game, Göztepe only 0.33.
- 4.Berkan Kutlu has scored 2 goals in 7 games, showing strong home form.
- 5.Juan is Göztepe's top scorer with 4 goals in 6 games.
- 6.Gonçalo Santos Sousa leads Kocaelispor with 2 assists in 6 games.
- 7.No confirmed injuries or suspensions for either team.
Prediction
The forecast sees Kocaelispor taking a 1-0 lead by halftime and extending their advantage to a 3-1 victory by full time. The match is expected to feature around 4 cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Kocaelispor
Away — Göztepe
The verdict
With both teams fielding their full squads, Kocaelispor's superior form and home advantage should see them comfortably through. Göztepe will need a miracle to upset the hosts, but for now, the smart money is on a confident Kocaelispor win.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 23:27 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Show (OG)
Altunbaş
Yıldız
Susoho Sissoho
Yellow Card
Cinan
Agyei
André Henrique
Yellow Card
Dismas
Assist: Juan
Dismas
Yellow Card
Kutlu
Penalty
André Henrique
Juan
Susoho Sissoho
Antunes
Dismas
Rhaldney
Ortakaya
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 3 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 |  Kocaelispor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 5 |  Rizespor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 15 |  Çorum FK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 |  Göztepe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 |  Erzurumspor FK | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 1 |
Match Statistics
Kocaelispor
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2A. DijksteelD
- 3M. CinanD
- 5E. OrtakayaD
- 7D. AgyeiF
- 10B. KutluM
- 11Gonçalo Santos SousaF
- 14ShowM
- 20Mahamadou Susoho SissohoM
- 22U. YıldızD
- 26M. AltunbaşF
- 83S. ÖztaşdelenG
Substitutes
- 6M. MaglicaD
- 8T. GulliksenM
- 17Arda OzyarF
- 23O. PiriG
- 27Ege BilimM
- 32M. BakuM
- 41O. ÖztongaD
- 75T. BingölD
- 97F. AyéF
- 99R. RivasF
Göztepe
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 1A. ÖzçimenG
- 2A. KurtulanM
- 4T. AltıkardeşD
- 5RhaldneyM
- 7André HenriqueF
- 8A. AntunesF
- 9JuanF
- 12R. AkonnorM
- 19N. Sonko-SundbergD
- 20N. DismasM
- 26M. BokeleD
Substitutes
- 6Alex MatosM
- 10E. BekiroğluM
- 13Ege YildirimD
- 14T. BökeF
- 17G. BayrakdarF
- 18F. AnjorinM
- 22S. ArmstrongF
- 33Ş. ÖztürkG
- 39JandersonF
- 71Nevzat ÜzelG
Kocaelispor
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emir Ortakaya | D | 80 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Gonçalo Sousa | F | 80 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Show | M | 80 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Anfernee Jamal Dijksteel(C) | D | 80 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Berkan Kutlu | M | 80 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Muharrem Cinan | D | 58 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Uğur Kaan Yıldız | D | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Metehan Altunbaş | F | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Mahamadou Susoho | M | 80 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Serhat Öztaşdelen | G | 80 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dan Agyei | F | 74 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Makana Baku | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tayfur Bingöl | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Onurcan Piri | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Onur Öztonga | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matej Maglica | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ege Bilim | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arda Ozyar | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rigoberto Rivas | F | 35 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen | M | 22 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Florian Ayé | F | 35 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Göztepe
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arda Özçimen | G | 80 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Novatus Miroshi | M | 80 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Taha Altıkardeş | D | 80 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Malcom Bokele(C) | D | 80 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexis Antunes | F | 80 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 0/4 |
| Noah Sonko Sundberg | D | 80 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rhaldney | M | 80 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Arda Kurtulan | M | 80 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/4 |
| Richard Akonnor | M | 80 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Juan Santos da Silva | F | 80 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| André Henrique | F | 80 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Efkan Bekiroğlu | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tino Anjorin | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gökdeniz Bayrakdar | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bekir Turaç Böke | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sinclair Armstrong | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Matos | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Janderson | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mehmet Şamil Öztürk | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ege Yildirim | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nevzat Üzel | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Kocaelispor vs Göztepe?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Kocaelispor to win against Göztepe.
- What score did Fipster predict for Kocaelispor vs Göztepe?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Kocaelispor 3–1 Göztepe.
- What were the win probabilities for Kocaelispor vs Göztepe?
- Fipster's model gave Kocaelispor a 85% chance of winning, Göztepe a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.