Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK
Kocaelispor secures solid home win
Goals from B. Kutlu and D. Agyei seal a 2-0 victory in Süper Lig action
Kocaelispor claimed a confident 2-0 victory over Gaziantep FK in the Süper Lig, with B. Kutlu opening the scoring shortly after the break and D. Agyei doubling the lead in the second half. The home side controlled the match after the interval, ensuring a clean sheet and three points. Fipster's prediction of a home win was on the money, though the exact scoreline proved slightly more comfortable than forecast.
Outcome probability
As the regular season unfolds, Kocaelispor and Gaziantep FK prepare to face off in what promises to be a tightly contested match. Both teams have shown moments of promise, but the home side's recent form and attacking prowess give them a slight edge.
Match factors
Kozłowski's strong away scoring form
Kacper Kozłowski has scored 2 goals in 4 games with excellent away form, posing a key threat to Kocaelispor's defense
Kocaelispor's home scoring consistency
Kocaelispor averages 1.5 goals per home game with key scorers like Ayé and Kutlu contributing effectively
Show's creative influence
Show has 1 assist in 5 games and high passing volume, driving Kocaelispor's attacking play
Gaziantep FK missing key attackers
Gaziantep FK is without 4 attackers including S. Hansen and F. Bavuk, reducing attacking depth
Dijksteel's dual role
Anfernee Dijksteel combines defensive solidity with assist potential, aiding Kocaelispor's build-up
The context
Kocaelispor currently hold a better league position and points per game than Gaziantep FK, suggesting a stronger overall campaign so far. However, Gaziantep FK have the upper hand in recent head-to-head encounters, winning three of the last four matches between these sides. Matches between them tend to be lively affairs, averaging nearly three goals per game.
Key insights
Kacper Kozłowski
Gaziantep FK
Kozłowski’s excellent away scoring form makes him a key offensive threat despite his team’s attacking absences.
Süper Lig 26/272 goals in 4 games
Florian Ayé
Kocaelispor
Ayé’s consistent home scoring rate and recent performances position him as Kocaelispor’s primary goal threat.
Süper Lig 26/271 goal in 3 games, 63.3 avg mins/game
Show
Kocaelispor
Show’s creative influence and high passing volume drive Kocaelispor’s attacking play and assist potential.
Süper Lig 26/271 assist in 5 games, 90.8 avg mins/game
Anfernee Dijksteel
Kocaelispor
Dijksteel’s dual role in defense and assists provides Kocaelispor with stability and attacking support.
Süper Lig 26/271 assist in 5 games, 90.8 avg mins/game
Analysis
Kocaelispor's home scoring consistency is a key factor, averaging 1.5 goals per home game with notable contributions from Florian Ayé and Berkan Kutlu. Ayé, the primary striker, boasts a solid home scoring rate and has been influential in attack. Midfielder Show adds creativity and assists, driving the team's offensive play. Defensively, Anfernee Dijksteel offers solidity and the ability to contribute assists, enhancing build-up play.
Gaziantep FK, despite missing several key attackers, rely heavily on Kacper Kozłowski, who has been in excellent away form with two goals in four games. Midfielder Alexandru Maxim also plays a crucial role as a playmaker with two assists this season. However, the absence of key forwards may limit their attacking depth, making it challenging to outscore the home side.
Key facts
- 1.Kocaelispor have a better league position and points per game than Gaziantep FK.
- 2.Gaziantep FK have won 3 of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Kocaelispor.
- 3.Head-to-head matches between these teams average 2.8 total goals.
- 4.Kocaelispor average 1.5 goals per home game this season.
- 5.Florian Ayé has scored 1 goal in 3 appearances with a strong home scoring rate.
- 6.Kacper Kozłowski has scored 2 goals in 4 games, showing excellent away form.
- 7.Gaziantep FK are missing 4 key attackers, reducing their attacking options.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards a home win for Kocaelispor with a 2-1 scoreline. The aggregated probabilities favour the home side, and the expected goals from key players like Ayé and Kutlu support this outcome. Gaziantep FK will pose a threat, particularly through Kozłowski, but the home team's balanced attack and defensive contributions should secure a narrow victory.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Kocaelispor
Away — Gaziantep FK
The verdict
In summary, expect a competitive match with Kocaelispor edging out Gaziantep FK by a single goal. The home side's scoring consistency and creative midfield presence are likely to be decisive, while Gaziantep FK's attacking limitations may prevent them from salvaging a point.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Haïdara
Dervişoğlu
Yellow Card
Kutlu
Assist: Santos Sousa
Luis Pérez
Gidado
Santos Sousa
Yellow Card
Kozłowski
Yellow Card
Maxim
Dervişoğlu
Altunbaş
Ayé
Agyei
Assist: Kutlu
Meleke
Susoho Sissoho
Santos Sousa
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 3 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 |  Kocaelispor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 5 |  Rizespor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 |  Alanyaspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 |  Gaziantep FK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 |  Amed | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
Match Statistics
Kocaelispor
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2A. DijksteelD
- 5E. OrtakayaD
- 10B. KutluM
- 11Gonçalo Santos SousaF
- 14ShowM
- 20Mahamadou Susoho SissohoM
- 21M. HaïdaraD
- 22U. YıldızD
- 26M. AltunbaşF
- 83S. ÖztaşdelenG
- 97F. AyéF
Substitutes
- 3M. CinanD
- 7D. AgyeiF
- 16D. CeylanD
- 17Arda OzyarF
- 23O. PiriG
- 27Ege BilimM
- 32M. BakuM
- 41O. ÖztongaD
- 75T. BingölD
- 89B. YıldızF
Gaziantep FK
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 2Luis PérezD
- 4A. KızıldağD
- 6U. MelekeM
- 8V. GidadoM
- 10K. KozłowskiM
- 14M. AbenaD
- 18D. SorescuM
- 23K. ÇalhanoğluD
- 25K. TobiaszG
- 28H. DervişoğluF
- 44A. MaximM
Substitutes
- 3D. CamaraM
- 5E. SarıkayaD
- 7J. BacunaM
- 9T. StewartF
- 17K. GassamaM
- 19S. DursunF
- 21A. SyllaD
- 22S. HansenF
- 35A. DadakdenizG
- 61O. ÖzçiçekM
Kocaelispor
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkan Kutlu | M | 83 | 8.2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Mahamadou Susoho | M | 83 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Show | M | 83 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| Florian Ayé | F | 74 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gonçalo Sousa | F | 83 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 3 | 3/4 |
| Serhat Öztaşdelen | G | 83 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Emir Ortakaya | D | 83 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Massadio Haïdara(C) | D | 24 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Metehan Altunbaş | F | 74 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Uğur Kaan Yıldız | D | 83 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Anfernee Jamal Dijksteel | D | 83 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Deniz Ceylan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Onurcan Piri | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tayfur Bingöl | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ege Bilim | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bedirhan Yıldız | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arda Ozyar | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Onur Öztonga | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dan Agyei | F | 9 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Makana Baku | M | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Muharrem Cinan | D | 59 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Gaziantep FK
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arda Kızıldağ | D | 83 | 7.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Alexandru Maxim(C) | M | 70 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Ulrich Meleke | M | 79 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Kacper Tobiasz | G | 83 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kacper Kozłowski | M | 83 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1/3 |
| Halil Dervişoğlu | F | 70 | 6.5 | — | — | 4 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Luis Pérez | D | 60 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Deian Sorescu | M | 83 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Gidado Victor Ntino-Emo | M | 60 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Kerim Çalhanoğlu | D | 83 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Myenty Abena | D | 83 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Abakar Sylla | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Karamba Gassama | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ogün Özçiçek | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Trivante Stewart | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Efe Sarıkaya | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ataberk Dadakdeniz | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Drissa Camara | M | 23 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Serdar Dursun | F | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sontje Hansen | F | 23 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Juninho Bacuna | M | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Kocaelispor to win against Gaziantep FK.
- What score did Fipster predict for Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Kocaelispor 2–1 Gaziantep FK.
- What were the win probabilities for Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK?
- Fipster's model gave Kocaelispor a 47% chance of winning, Gaziantep FK a 26% chance, and a 27% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 47% confidence — a medium-confidence call.