Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann
Brann storms Kauno Žalgiris with Holm hat-trick
A dominant away display saw Brann dismantle Kauno Žalgiris 4-1 in the Europa Conference League.
Brann overturned expectations with a commanding 4-1 victory over Kauno Žalgiris, powered by N. Holm's impressive hat-trick including goals before the break and a late strike. Despite an early penalty goal from N. Castro, Kauno Žalgiris could only muster a single reply through Renan Oliveira. This result defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a home win, showcasing Brann's clinical edge on the road.
Outcome probability
Kauno Žalgiris and Brann face off in a Group Stage clash where a tight contest is expected. Both sides have shown attacking intent, but the home side looks poised to take the spoils.
Match factors
Brann's attacking threat led by Holm
N. Holm has scored 2 goals in 4 games this season, showing strong finishing form for Brann.
Brann's recent scoring streak
Brann has scored in 4 of last 5 games, indicating good attacking momentum despite conceding often.
Soltvedt's assist potential from defense
J. Soltvedt's assist record and set-piece role provide Brann a creative outlet from the back.
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, so no impact from missing players expected.
The context
Brann have played six matches in this competition, recording three wins, two draws, and one loss, scoring 11 goals and conceding eight. Kauno Žalgiris' recent form in the group stage is less documented, but the home advantage and tactical setup could prove decisive.
Key insights
N. Holm
Brann
N. Holm has been Brann's main attacking threat with 2 goals in 4 games, showing strong finishing form.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/272 goals in 4 games this season
J. Soltvedt
Brann
J. Soltvedt provides creativity from defence and is key on set pieces, leading Brann with 1 assist.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/271 assist in 6 games this season
Analysis
The probabilities favour a home win, with a 2-1 scoreline the most likely outcome. Kauno Žalgiris are expected to take a 1-0 lead by halftime, maintaining control before Brann mount a late response. Brann's attacking threat is led by N. Holm, who has scored twice this season and remains a key figure. J. Soltvedt's creativity from defence also poses a danger, especially on set pieces. However, Kauno Žalgiris' steady defence and ability to capitalise on chances should see them through.
Key facts
- 1.Kauno Žalgiris are predicted to lead 1-0 at halftime.
- 2.Brann have scored 11 goals in 6 matches in this competition.
- 3.N. Holm is Brann's top scorer with 2 goals this season.
- 4.J. Soltvedt leads Brann in assists with 1 this season.
- 5.The most probable final score is 2-1 in favour of Kauno Žalgiris.
- 6.Brann's recent form includes scoring in 4 of their last 5 games.
- 7.No confirmed injuries for either team, full squads available.
Prediction
We predict Kauno Žalgiris to win 2-1, leading 1-0 at halftime. The home side's ability to start strong and manage the game will be crucial, while Brann will push for an equaliser but fall just short.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Kauno Žalgiris
No standout top scorers flagged for Kauno Žalgiris
Away — Brann
The verdict
This match promises a competitive encounter with Kauno Žalgiris narrowly prevailing. Expect a disciplined home performance and moments of quality from Brann's key players, but ultimately the hosts will claim the three points.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Castro
Penalty
Renan Oliveira
Holm
Assist: Soltvedt
Fiolić
Yellow Card
Leonardo
Yellow Card
Holm
Assist: Guðmundsson
Ourega
Yellow Card
Fiolić
Leonardo
Lekiatas
Edokpolor
Yellow Card
Ourega
Magnússon
Guðmundsson
Yellow Card
Torsvik
Soltvedt
Renan Oliveira
Holm
Assist: Eriksen
Guðmundsson
Castro
Hernández
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 2 |  FC Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 3 |  Brann | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Kauno Žalgiris
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 3A. TolordavaD
- 10G. SirgedasM
- 15LeonardoM
- 17I. FiolićM
- 19Renan OliveiraF
- 20A. KalikM
- 37N. EdokpolorD
- 45J. MoutachyD
- 55T. ŠvedkauskasG
- 70F. OuregaM
- 77R. LekiatasD
Substitutes
- 7A. BenchaibM
- 8Y. KarashimaM
- 9L. KrekovićF
- 14V. SlivkaM
- 22D. MikelionisG
- 23A. HernándezD
- 24M. BurbaF
- 27G. DebeljuhF
- 47V. PociusM
- 62L. KastratiD
Brann
4-3-3Starting XI
- 3F. KnudsenD
- 9N. CastroF
- 10K. IngasonM
- 12S. NilsenG
- 15J. TorsvikD
- 17J. SoltvedtD
- 18J. SørensenD
- 19E. GuðmundssonM
- 22S. MagnússonF
- 25N. Jensen WassbergM
- 29N. HolmF
Substitutes
- 1M. DyngelandG
- 2L. CornicD
- 11B. FinneF
- 16K. EriksenM
- 20V. DragsnesD
- 23T. PedersenD
- 36H. StaksetG
- 39J. LægreidF
- 41A. WilhelmsenD
- 43B. HaugenM
Kauno Žalgiris
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renan Oliveira | F | 82 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Gratas Sirgėdas(C) | M | 85 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| Joris Moutachy | D | 85 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 4/5 |
| Anthony Kalik | M | 85 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Tomas Švedkauskas | G | 85 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Fiolić | M | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Fabien Ourega | M | 63 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Rokas Lekiatas | D | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Léo Ribeiro | M | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Nosa Iyobosa Edokpolor | D | 85 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Anton Tolordava | D | 85 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Vejas Pocius | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yukiyoshi Karashima | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Debeljuh | F | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lirim Kastrati | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Deividas Mikelionis | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amine Benchaib | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leon Kreković | F | 40 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Vykintas Slivka | M | 40 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Aldayr Hernández | D | 40 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Motiejus Burba | F | 22 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Brann
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Jean Holm | F | 85 | 8.6 | 2 | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Niklas Castro | F | 85 | 8.3 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | 4 | — |
| Eggert Aron Guðmundsson | M | 85 | 7.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 5 | 2/2 |
| Jonas Torsvik | D | 75 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Jacob Lungi Sørensen | D | 85 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sævar Atli Magnússon | F | 68 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| Joachim Soltvedt | D | 75 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Simen Vidtun Nilsen | G | 85 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kristall Máni Ingason | M | 85 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| Niklas Jensen Wassberg | M | 85 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen(C) | D | 85 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Julian Lægreid | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bård Finne | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mathias Dyngeland | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brage Berg Haugen | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leo Cornic | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andreas Wilhelmsen | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Håkon Melås Hellesøy | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vetle Dragsnes | D | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Thore Pedersen | D | 10 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kristian Eriksen | M | 17 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Kauno Žalgiris to win against Brann.
- What score did Fipster predict for Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Kauno Žalgiris 2–1 Brann.
- What were the win probabilities for Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann?
- Fipster's model gave Kauno Žalgiris a 52% chance of winning, Brann a 24% chance, and a 24% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 52% confidence — a medium-confidence call.