Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor snatches draw at Kasımpaşa
N. Saviolo's first-half strike cancelled out by A. Benedyczak's penalty after the break.
Trabzonspor took the lead just before half-time through N. Saviolo, only for Kasımpaşa to level from the spot early in the second half thanks to A. Benedyczak. The 1-1 draw defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a narrow home win, proving this Süper Lig clash was tighter than expected.
Analysis
As the new season kicks off, Kasımpaşa and Trabzonspor face off in what promises to be a competitive encounter. Both teams start with zero points, eager to make a strong statement early on.
This match marks the first round of the regular season, with both teams yet to play any games or earn points. Historically, Trabzonspor have had the upper hand in their head-to-head clashes, but Kasımpaşa will be keen to overturn that trend on home turf.
Looking at their past 20 meetings, Trabzonspor lead with 10 wins compared to Kasımpaşa's 4, with 6 draws. The average goals per match stand at a healthy 3.4, suggesting an open game with chances at both ends. Despite Trabzonspor's historical advantage, the prediction leans towards a home win, reflecting Kasımpaşa's potential to capitalize early in the season.
Prediction
The forecast is a 2-1 victory for Kasımpaşa, with a 35% confidence level supporting this outcome. While Trabzonspor have been strong opponents historically, the home side's chances of a narrow win are the most probable scenario based on current data.
Outcome probability
Key Takeaways
Expect a spirited contest with Kasımpaşa just edging out Trabzonspor in a match that could set the tone for the season. Fans should brace for a tight game with goals and a few cards along the way.
- Trabzonspor have won 10 of the 20 head-to-head matches against Kasımpaşa.
- Kasımpaşa have won 4 head-to-head matches, with 6 draws between the sides.
- The average goals scored per head-to-head match is 3.4, indicating attacking play.
- Both teams start the season with zero points and no games played.
- Kasımpaşa are ranked 13th and Trabzonspor 14th in the league standings before kickoff.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Kasımpaşa
Away — Trabzonspor
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Baldursson
Yellow Card
Saviolo
Assist: Mimaroğlu
Diabaté
Benedyczak
Penalty
Mimaroğlu
Saviolo
Şimşir
Ben Ouanes
Yellow Card
Ben Ouanes
Yalçın
Malinovskyi
Benedyczak
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 |  Rizespor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 |  Kasımpaşa | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 7 |  Başakşehir | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 8 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 9 |  Samsunspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Match Statistics
Kasımpaşa
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1A. GianniotisG
- 2Cláudio WinckD
- 4A. ArousD
- 9A. BenedyczakF
- 12M. Ben OuanesM
- 16A. BaldurssonM
- 27M. IlieD
- 34F. DiabatéM
- 50G. YalçınM
- 51Elson MendesM
Substitutes
- 7A. KolF
- 8A. MüjdeM
- 10H. HajradinovićM
- 19M. RaffertyM
- 25A. YanarG
- 30A. T. DagbasiD
- 45A. KarapoD
- 66E. BozM
Trabzonspor
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8B. BouchouariM
- 15S. SavićD
- 17R. MalinovskyiM
- 19M. EskihellaçD
- 20Wagner PinaD
- 24A. OnanaG
- 27C. NwaiwuD
- 30P. OnuachuF
- 58A. ŞimşirM
- 70N. SavioloM
- 77M. MimaroğluM
Substitutes
- 1A. YıldırımG
- 4S. AkaydinD
- 10Mohamed SalahF
- 11O. TufanM
- 14U. NayirF
- 25O. ÇevikkanG
- 39C. ÖzkacarD
- 55S. Lopes CabralD
- 57M. KabasakalM
Kasımpaşa
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andri Fannar Baldursson | M | 93 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrian Benedyczak | F | 92 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 5 | 3 | — | — |
| Adem Arous | D | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andreas Gianniotis | G | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elson Mendes | M | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Mortadha Ben Ouanes(C) | M | 78 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Matei Ilie | D | 93 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Güven Yalçın | M | 82 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Fousseni Diabaté | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Cláudio Winck | D | 93 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Emirhan Boz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Yavuz Kol | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Emre Yanar | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Atakan Mujde | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmet Taha Dağbaşı | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Haris Hajradinović | M | 48 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Ayberk Karapo | D | 11 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcus Rafferty | M | 15 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Trabzonspor
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| André Onana | G | 93 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mustafa Eskihellaç | D | 93 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 3/3 |
| Noah Saviolo | M | 67 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/4 |
| Chibuike Nwaiwu | D | 93 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Metehan Mimaroğlu | M | 58 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Benjamin Bouchouari | M | 93 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Stefan Savić(C) | D | 93 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Ruslan Malinovskyi | M | 84 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Paul Onuachu | F | 93 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Wagner Pina | D | 93 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Aral Şimşir | M | 67 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Umut Nayir | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samet Akaydın | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cenk Özkaçar | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Onuralp Çevikkan | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmet Doğan Yıldırım | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sidny Lopes Cabral | D | 26 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Salah | F | 35 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 3/5 |
| Ozan Tufan | M | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Melih Kabasakal | M | 26 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Kasımpaşa to win against Trabzonspor.
- What score did Fipster predict for Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Kasımpaşa 2–1 Trabzonspor.
- What were the win probabilities for Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor?
- Fipster's model gave Kasımpaşa a 35% chance of winning, Trabzonspor a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.