Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor
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Challenge a friendKasımpaşa and Samsunspor face off in the eighth round of the regular season, with both sides eager to climb the league table. The fixture promises a tactical battle, with Kasımpaşa holding a slight edge in recent form and home scoring.
The context
In their six previous encounters, Samsunspor have a slight upper hand with three wins to Kasımpaşa's two, and one draw. Currently, Kasımpaşa sit 6th in the league with five points from three games, while Samsunspor are 9th with four points. Matches between these sides tend to be moderately high scoring, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
Match factors
Benedyczak's scoring form vs Samsunspor defense
Benedyczak's 4 goals in 6 games highlight his threat against a Samsunspor defense conceding 2.14 goals per game
Kasımpaşa's better home scoring and defense
Kasımpaşa averages 1 goal scored and 1 conceded at home, better than Samsunspor's away stats
Kasımpaşa's positive scoring streak at home
Kasımpaşa has scored in 2 of last 3 home games, showing attacking momentum
Samsunspor missing key attacker Fatih Kaya
Kaya is out with muscle injury, reducing Samsunspor's attacking options and scoring potential
Analysis
Kasımpaşa's attacking threat is spearheaded by Adrian Benedyczak, who has netted four goals in six appearances, boasting a strong scoring rate especially at home. Cláudio Winck's delivery from defence adds an extra dimension with his two assists. Samsunspor, missing key attacker Fatih Kaya due to a muscle injury, may struggle to find the net. Kasımpaşa's home form shows a positive scoring streak, having scored in two of their last three home games, while Samsunspor's away record is less convincing.
Key insights
Adrian Benedyczak
Kasımpaşa
Benedyczak's 4 goals in 6 games highlight his threat against a Samsunspor defence conceding over 2 goals per game.
Süper Lig 26/274 goals in 6 appearances, 0.67 goals/game
- F
Fatih Kaya
Samsunspor
Kaya is out with a muscle injury, reducing Samsunspor's attacking options and scoring potential.
Süper Lig 26/271 goal in current season
Prediction
The most likely outcome is a narrow 1-0 victory for Kasımpaşa, with the home side taking the lead by halftime and holding on to their advantage. The match is expected to be tight, with a total of around three cards issued, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Key facts
- 1.Kasımpaşa rank 6th with 5 points from 3 games (W1 D2 L0).
- 2.Samsunspor rank 9th with 4 points from 3 games (W1 D1 L1).
- 3.In 6 head-to-head meetings, Samsunspor have 3 wins, Kasımpaşa 2, with 1 draw.
- 4.Head-to-head matches average 2.5 goals, with Samsunspor scoring more overall.
- 5.Kasımpaşa have scored in 2 of their last 3 home games.
- 6.Adrian Benedyczak is Kasımpaşa's top scorer with 4 goals in 6 games.
- 7.Fatih Kaya is out with a muscle injury, weakening Samsunspor's attack.
- 8.Kasımpaşa average 1 goal scored and 1 conceded at home, better than Samsunspor's away stats.
The verdict
While the margin is expected to be slim, Kasımpaşa's home advantage and attacking form give them the edge. Samsunspor will need to overcome their injury setbacks and defensive vulnerabilities to challenge the hosts. Expect a closely fought match with Kasımpaşa just about coming out on top.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Kasımpaşa
Away — Samsunspor
No standout top scorers flagged for Samsunspor
Prediction generated 10 Oct 2026, 14:57 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 |  Rizespor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 |  Kasımpaşa | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 7 |  Başakşehir | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 8 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 9 |  Samsunspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 |  Alanyaspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who does Fipster predict will win Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor?
- Fipster's AI model predicts Kasımpaşa to win against Samsunspor.
- What is the predicted score for Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor?
- Fipster predicts a final score of Kasımpaşa 1–0 Samsunspor.
- What are the win probabilities for Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor?
- Fipster's model gives Kasımpaşa a 37% chance of winning, Samsunspor a 31% chance, and a 32% chance of a draw.
- How confident is Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigns this prediction 37% confidence — a low-confidence call.