Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş
Beşiktaş held to draw by Kasımpaşa
Kasımpaşa claw back twice to deny Beşiktaş a win in Süper Lig thriller
Beşiktaş looked comfortable with early goals from L. Trossard and D. Vlahović, but Kasımpaşa fought back with strikes from Cláudio Winck and M. Rafferty to secure a 2-2 draw. The home side's resilience denied Beşiktaş a straightforward victory and defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a 4-0 home win.
Outcome probability
Kasımpaşa and Beşiktaş face off in the 10th round of the regular season, with Kasımpaşa looking to extend their impressive start. The hosts have shown solid attacking form, while Beşiktaş have struggled to find consistency this campaign.
Match factors
Kasımpaşa's attacking defenders pose dual threat
Adam Arous and Cláudio Winck combine strong defensive skills with goal and assist contributions, stretching opposition defense.
Benedyczak's consistent scoring and assisting form
Adrian Benedyczak leads Kasımpaşa with 6 goals and 2 assists in 9 games, showing high involvement in goals.
Vlahović's prolific scoring despite away challenge
Dušan Vlahović has 6 goals in 6 games, maintaining strong scoring form even on the road.
Beşiktaş missing key playmaker Orkun Kökçü
Orkun Kökçü is confirmed out due to foot injury, reducing midfield creativity and assist potential.
Kasımpaşa's home scoring streak supports predicted win
Kasımpaşa has scored in all last 4 home games, indicating strong offensive momentum at home.
The context
In their 20 previous encounters, Beşiktaş hold a slight edge with 9 wins to Kasımpaşa's 7, alongside 4 draws. These matches have been relatively high-scoring affairs, averaging 3.6 goals per game. Currently, Kasımpaşa sit 6th in the league with 5 points from 3 games, whereas Beşiktaş are down in 13th with 3 points from 2 games.
Key insights
Adrian Benedyczak
Kasımpaşa
Leads team scoring with 6 goals and 2 assists in 9 games, showing high involvement in goals.
Süper Lig 26/276 goals and 2 assists in 9 appearances
Adam Arous
Kasımpaşa
Unusually high scoring defender with 2 goals, excellent passing accuracy and threat on set pieces.
Süper Lig 26/272 goals in 8 appearances, 86% passing accuracy
Dušan Vlahović
Beşiktaş
Top scorer with 6 goals in 6 games, maintaining strong scoring form despite away fixture.
Süper Lig 26/276 goals in 6 appearances
- O
Orkun Kökçü
Beşiktaş
Confirmed out with a foot injury, reducing midfield creativity and assist potential.
Analysis
Kasımpaşa's attacking threat is spearheaded by Adrian Benedyczak, who boasts 6 goals and 2 assists in 9 appearances, making him a key figure in their offensive play. Defensively, Adam Arous adds an extra dimension with his goal contributions and set-piece threat. Beşiktaş rely heavily on Dušan Vlahović, who has an impressive 6 goals in 6 games, but the absence of creative midfielder Orkun Kökçü due to injury hampers their midfield dynamism. Kasımpaşa's recent home scoring streak and balanced squad depth give them a tactical advantage.
Key facts
- 1.Kasımpaşa have won 7 of 20 head-to-head matches against Beşiktaş, who have 9 wins.
- 2.The average goals per head-to-head match is 3.6, with Kasımpaşa scoring 35 and Beşiktaş 37 in total.
- 3.Kasımpaşa currently rank 6th with 5 points from 3 games (W1 D2 L0).
- 4.Beşiktaş are 13th with 3 points from 2 games (W1 D0 L1).
- 5.Adrian Benedyczak leads Kasımpaşa with 6 goals and 2 assists in 9 appearances.
- 6.Dušan Vlahović has scored 6 goals in 6 games for Beşiktaş.
- 7.Orkun Kökçü is out with a foot injury, reducing Beşiktaş's midfield creativity.
- 8.Kasımpaşa have scored in all their last 4 home games.
Prediction
Expect Kasımpaşa to take control early, leading 2-0 at halftime before cruising to a 4-0 victory. The match is likely to feature four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter. Kasımpaşa's blend of attacking flair and defensive solidity should prove too much for Beşiktaş on this occasion.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Kasımpaşa
Away — Beşiktaş
The verdict
This fixture promises a dominant display from Kasımpaşa, who appear well-equipped to exploit Beşiktaş's vulnerabilities. Fans can anticipate a confident home side extending their unbeaten run with a comprehensive win.
Prediction generated 26 Oct 2026, 17:53 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Yellow Card
Trossard
Assist: Yılmaz
Černý
Vlahović
Assist: Murillo
Winck
Assist: Hajradinović
Olaitan
Rak-Sakyi
Topçu
Arous
Yellow Card
Hajradinović
Murillo
Trossard
Kol
Karapo
Rafferty
Assist: Demirbay
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 |  Rizespor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 |  Kasımpaşa | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 7 |  Başakşehir | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 12 |  Amed | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Beşiktaş | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 |  Eyüpspor | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
Match Statistics
Kasımpaşa
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1A. GianniotisG
- 2Cláudio WinckD
- 4A. ArousD
- 7A. KolM
- 9A. BenedyczakF
- 10H. HajradinovićM
- 17J. Rak-SakyiM
- 26K. DemirbayM
- 27M. IlieD
- 45A. KarapoD
- 51Elson MendesM
Substitutes
- 5J. JessenD
- 8A. MüjdeM
- 11T. DiarraF
- 18Ö. BayramD
- 19M. RaffertyM
- 25A. YanarG
- 30A. T. DagbasiD
- 35M. DenizF
- 50G. YalçınF
- 66E. BozM
Beşiktaş
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1A. NübelG
- 4W. NdidiM
- 6S. ÖzcanM
- 12E. AgbadouD
- 15J. OlaitanM
- 18V. ČernýM
- 19L. TrossardM
- 28D. VlahovićF
- 33R. YılmazD
- 53E. TopçuD
- 62A. MurilloD
Substitutes
- 7M. RashicaM
- 8K. YılmazM
- 9Oh Hyeon-GyuF
- 11K. OuattaraD
- 22Taylan BulutD
- 29I. FakiliF
- 35Tiago DjalóD
- 58Y. ÖzcanD
- 80D. AlemdarG
- 90S. KılıçsoyF
Kasımpaşa
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cláudio Winck | D | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Haris Hajradinović(C) | M | 83 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | — |
| Kerem Demirbay | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 4 | — |
| Jesurun Rak-Sakyi | M | 66 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Andreas Gianniotis | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matei Ilie | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrian Benedyczak | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Elson Mendes | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Ali Yavuz Kol | M | 86 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/5 |
| Ayberk Karapo | D | 86 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Adem Arous | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Atakan Mujde | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ömer Bayram | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Emre Yanar | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiemoko Diarra | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jakob Jessen | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mecit Deniz | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmet Taha Dağbaşı | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emirhan Boz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcus Rafferty | M | 7 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Güven Yalçın | F | 24 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Beşiktaş
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leandro Trossard | M | 83 | 8.6 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2/4 |
| Dušan Vlahović | F | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Salih Özcan | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amir Murillo | D | 83 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Rıdvan Yılmaz | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Emirhan Topçu(C) | D | 76 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emmanuel Agbadou | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Václav Černý | M | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Wilfred Ndidi | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Junior Olaitan | M | 63 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Alexander Nübel | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Kartal Kayra Yılmaz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Milot Rashica | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Doğan Alemdar | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kassoum Ouattara | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Semih Kılıçsoy | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yasin Özcan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Taylan Bulut | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hyeon-gyu Oh | F | 27 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| İlhan Fakılı | F | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Tiago Djaló | D | 14 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Kasımpaşa to win against Beşiktaş.
- What score did Fipster predict for Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Kasımpaşa 4–0 Beşiktaş.
- What were the win probabilities for Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş?
- Fipster's model gave Kasımpaşa a 95% chance of winning, Beşiktaş a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.