Kasımpaşa vs Amed
Amed snatches a draw from Kasımpaşa
G. Orban's brace rescues a point for Amed in a lively Süper Lig clash.
Kasımpaşa looked set for a comfortable win after G. Yalçın and A. Benedyczak put them two goals ahead by the early second half. However, G. Orban's double for Amed, including a crucial strike in the 83rd minute, ensured the visitors fought back to earn a 2-2 draw. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a narrow home victory.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with Kasımpaşa facing off against Amed, a freshly promoted side eager to make their mark. Both teams are looking to set the tone early, with Kasımpaşa aiming to leverage their experience and Amed keen to prove their worth at this level.
Key facts
- 1.Kasımpaşa finished 13th in the Süper Lig last season with 35 points from 34 games.
- 2.Amed are newly promoted and have yet to play a league game this season.
- 3.Kasımpaşa have a points-per-game advantage of 1.03 over Amed's 0.00.
- 4.Kasımpaşa signed G. Yalçın on a free transfer during the summer.
- 5.Amed strengthened their squad with G. Gül and S. Ballet on permanent deals, plus G. Orban on loan.
- 6.The predicted final score is 1-0 in favour of Kasımpaşa.
- 7.The halftime score is expected to be 1-0, consistent with the fulltime prediction.
- 8.Three cards are expected in the match, indicating a moderately physical game.
The context
This fixture marks the first competitive outing for both sides this campaign. Kasımpaşa finished 13th last season in the Süper Lig, while Amed enter the competition from a lower division, making this a classic cross-division opener. The summer transfer window saw Kasımpaşa bolster their squad with the free-agent signing of G. Yalçın, while losing N. Opoku and P. Guèye on loan. Amed have strengthened their ranks with the arrivals of G. Gül and S. Ballet on permanent deals, plus G. Orban on loan, aiming to hit the ground running.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Kasımpaşa
Away — Amed
Analysis
Aggregated probabilities favour a home win at 59%, with the most likely scoreline being a narrow 1-0 victory for Kasımpaşa. The halftime prediction also sees Kasımpaşa leading 1-0, suggesting an early goal could be decisive. The expected total of three cards indicates a competitive but controlled match. Kasımpaşa's points-per-game advantage from last season (1.03) over Amed's zero reflects their higher-tier experience, which should prove crucial in managing the game.
Prediction
We anticipate Kasımpaşa to edge out Amed with a 1-0 win, taking the lead by halftime and maintaining their advantage through to fulltime. The match is likely to be closely contested, but Kasımpaşa's familiarity with this level and recent squad additions give them the edge.
The verdict
As the season gets underway, Kasımpaşa look set to start on a positive note, while Amed will take valuable lessons from this baptism of fire. Expect a tight encounter with Kasımpaşa just shading it in a low-scoring affair.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Yalçın
Assist: Winck
Diagne
Gül
Benedyczak
Assist: Rafferty
Sabia
Yellow Card
Orban
Ballet
Rafferty
Baldursson
Demirbay
Yellow Card
Cissé
Demirbay
Benedyczak
Orban
Assist: Khalil
Sabia
Rak-Sakyi
Yellow Card
Boz
Yellow Card
Bates
Yellow Card
Yalçın
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 |  Rizespor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 |  Kasımpaşa | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 7 |  Başakşehir | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 11 |  Gaziantep FK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 |  Amed | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Beşiktaş | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Match Statistics
Kasımpaşa
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1A. GianniotisG
- 2Cláudio WinckD
- 4A. ArousD
- 7A. KolM
- 9A. BenedyczakF
- 16A. BaldurssonM
- 19M. RaffertyM
- 26K. DemirbayM
- 27M. IlieD
- 45A. KarapoD
- 50G. YalçınM
Substitutes
- 5J. JessenD
- 8A. MüjdeM
- 14K. MouangaD
- 17J. Rak-SakyiF
- 23Sinan AlkaşF
- 25A. YanarG
- 35M. DenizF
- 51Elson MendesM
- 66E. BozM
Amed
3-4-3Starting XI
- 4D. BatesD
- 5L. DellovaD
- 7E. KrasniqiM
- 10S. BalletF
- 17U. MeraşM
- 18G. GülM
- 22R. RavelosonM
- 33A. CisséD
- 40A. LafontG
- 45M. DiagneF
- 91D. SabiaF
Substitutes
- 3M. AcerD
- 6C. ÜstündagM
- 8F. SoyalpM
- 21M. YeşilD
- 27B. BozanG
- 47K. DemirtaşD
- 74M. KhalilM
- 93R. LutinM
- 97B. KizildemirM
- 99G. OrbanF
Kasımpaşa
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Yalçın | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2/4 |
| A. Benedyczak | F | 82 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| Cláudio Winck | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Arous | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Kol | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 5/7 |
| M. Rafferty | M | 67 | 6.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| M. Ilie | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Baldursson | M | 72 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Demirbay | M | 82 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| A. Karapo | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| J. Rak-Sakyi | F | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Gianniotis | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Müjde | M | 8 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elson Mendes | M | 23 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| E. Boz | M | 18 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Deniz | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sinan Alkaş | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Jessen | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Yanar | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Mouanga | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Amed
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Orban | F | 44 | 9.0 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| A. Lafont | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Bates | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Ballet | F | 66 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/9 |
| D. Sabia | F | 86 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 6 | 5/8 |
| L. Dellova | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Diagne | F | 46 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| G. Gül | M | 46 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| U. Meraş | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Cissé | D | 77 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| E. Krasniqi | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/5 |
| M. Khalil | M | 13 | 6.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| R. Raveloson | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Soyalp | M | 44 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| M. Yeşil | D | 4 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Lutin | M | 24 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Acer | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Demirtaş | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Üstündag | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Bozan | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Kizildemir | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Kasımpaşa vs Amed?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Kasımpaşa to win against Amed.
- What score did Fipster predict for Kasımpaşa vs Amed?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Kasımpaşa 1–0 Amed.
- What were the win probabilities for Kasımpaşa vs Amed?
- Fipster's model gave Kasımpaşa a 85% chance of winning, Amed a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.