Kairat Almaty vs Sutjeska
- Aggregate:
- Kairat Almaty 4 1 Sutjeska
- Advances:
- Kairat Almaty
Match recap
Kairat Almaty beat Sutjeska 2–1 in their UEFA Champions League fixture.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-0 Kairat Almaty win
Actual
2–1
Outcome probability
Kairat Almaty and Sutjeska face off in the 1st Qualifying Round of the competition, with both sides eager to make a strong start. The match promises a tactical battle, with Kairat looking to capitalise on their home advantage and recent positive encounters against Sutjeska.
Match factors
Kairat Almaty’s defensive midfield control
Midfielders like Oiva Jukkola and Jaakko Oksanen show strong passing and tackling, likely to disrupt Sutjeska’s attack
Kairat Almaty’s home scoring consistency
Kairat averages 1 goal per home game with a 33% clean sheet rate, supporting a narrow 1-0 predicted win
Marc Gual’s recent impact vs Sutjeska
Gual scored in last meeting and maintains solid form with multiple shots and good ratings
Full squad availability for both teams
No confirmed injuries or outs, so all key players are available, maintaining tactical balance
The context
Kairat Almaty have played six matches in this competition, winning three and losing three, scoring five goals and conceding four. Sutjeska, on the other hand, have struggled with two losses in two matches, scoring once and conceding four. Historically, Kairat have the upper hand with two wins from two meetings against Sutjeska.
Key insights
- M
Marc Gual
Kairat Almaty
Gual scored twice in the last meeting against Sutjeska and maintains solid recent form with multiple shots and good ratings.
UEFA Champions League 26/272 goals in last meeting vs Sutjeska; solid recent ratings (7.2)
- L
Lucas Áfrico
Kairat Almaty
Scored in last home win versus Sutjeska and contributes strongly in passing and defence.
UEFA Champions League 26/27Scored in last home win vs Sutjeska; 73 passes, 2 tackles, 3 shots in recent match
- A
Aleksandr Shirobokov
Kairat Almaty
Key defensive role with high passing volume and interceptions, stabilizing the defence.
UEFA Champions League 26/2777 passes in recent match; key defensive tackles and interceptions
- O
Oiva Jukkola
Kairat Almaty
Active in attack and defence, contributing creativity and solidity in midfield.
UEFA Champions League 26/272 shots, 2 tackles; recent rating 7.3
Analysis
Kairat's midfield duo, Oiva Jukkola and Jaakko Oksanen, have shown strong passing and tackling abilities, likely to disrupt Sutjeska's attacking rhythm. Defensively, Aleksandr Shirobokov's high passing volume and key interventions help stabilize the backline. Marc Gual remains a threat upfront, having scored twice in previous meetings against Sutjeska and maintaining solid recent form. Both teams have full squads available, ensuring a balanced tactical contest.
Key facts
- 1.Kairat Almaty have a 3-0-3 record in this competition with 5 goals scored and 4 conceded.
- 2.Sutjeska have lost both their matches in this competition, scoring 1 and conceding 4.
- 3.Kairat Almaty have won both previous head-to-head meetings against Sutjeska.
- 4.Marc Gual scored 2 goals in the last meeting versus Sutjeska and maintains solid form.
- 5.Midfielders Oiva Jukkola and Jaakko Oksanen show strong passing and tackling stats.
- 6.Aleksandr Shirobokov plays a key defensive role with high passing volume and interceptions.
- 7.Both teams have full squad availability with no confirmed injuries.
Prediction
The most probable outcome is a narrow home win for Kairat Almaty, with a 1-0 scoreline being the single most likely result. While the probabilities for other outcomes are relatively close, Kairat's home scoring consistency and defensive midfield control give them the edge in this encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Kairat Almaty
Away — Sutjeska
No standout best passers flagged for Sutjeska
The verdict
Expect a closely fought match where Kairat Almaty's midfield dominance and home advantage should see them edge out Sutjeska by a single goal. It might not be a goal fest, but it promises enough action to keep fans entertained.
Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 12:55 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Yellow Card
Goal
Unknown
Unknown
Goal
Goal
Kairat Almaty
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1T. AnarbekovG
- 3Luís MataD
- 4D. KasabulatM
- 7JorginhoM
- 13J. OksanenM
- 14A. MartynovichD
- 19O. JukkolaM
- 20E. TapalovD
- 24A. MrynskiyD
- 28Marc GualF
- 44Lucas ÁfricoD
Substitutes
- 5L. KurginD
- 6A. SadybekovM
- 8O. BaybekM
- 9EdmilsonF
- 11S. ZeballosM
- 17A. TuyakbayevM
- 25A. ShirobokovD
- 27M. AbishM
- 30D. BuchG
- 32A. NurgalievD
- 81I. BekbolatF
- 82S. KalmurzaG
Sutjeska
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1V. GiljenG
- 2A. GolubovićD
- 6D. HočkoM
- 9P. AničićM
- 11V. ČavorM
- 15B. KopitovićD
- 20J. ČađenovićM
- 22A. RažnatovićD
- 72A. Babic
- 77M. ŠimunM
- 99M. MrvaljevićF
Substitutes
- 3M. CamaraM
- 4M. VračarD
- 5I. PajovićM
- 7A. BoljevićM
- 10B. ToškovićF
- 12T. DurovicG
- 19A. ŠćekićM
- 21D. ÄetkoviÄM
- 25M. ĐukanovićD
- 30A. KecojevićM
- 44R. DedićD
- 55S. BabićF
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Kairat Almaty vs Sutjeska?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Kairat Almaty to win against Sutjeska.
- What score did Fipster predict for Kairat Almaty vs Sutjeska?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Kairat Almaty 1–0 Sutjeska.
- What were the win probabilities for Kairat Almaty vs Sutjeska?
- Fipster's model gave Kairat Almaty a 35% chance of winning, Sutjeska a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.