Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos steamroll Kairat Almaty
A commanding 5-1 away win leaves Kairat stunned and Fipster's prediction in tatters.
Panathinaikos delivered a dominant performance in the UEFA Europa Conference League, racing ahead with early goals from V. Taborda and a penalty by C. Dessers before the break. Dessers added a second after the interval, with Kangwa and Rastoder extending the lead further, leaving Kairat Almaty to salvage only a late consolation from Bekbolat. This emphatic 5-1 victory defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a narrow home win, proving the Greek side's firepower was too much to handle.
Outcome probability
As the group stage heats up, Kairat Almaty and Panathinaikos prepare to face off in what promises to be a closely contested match. Both teams have shown resilience and attacking intent in recent fixtures, setting the stage for an entertaining encounter.
Match factors
Panathinaikos' key attackers show strong scoring rates
C. Dessers leads with 3 goals in 3 games; A. Jagusic adds 2 goals in last 4, indicating attacking threat
Stefan de Vrij's dual role as defender and assist provider
De Vrij's 1 assist in last 4 games and consistent starts provide Panathinaikos with set-piece and build-up advantage
Panathinaikos scoring streak but also conceding consistently
Team has scored in last 5 games but also conceded in all, suggesting open match dynamics
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, so tactical choices will be key
The context
Panathinaikos have played six matches in this competition so far, managing one win and five draws, scoring nine goals and conceding eight. Their recent form suggests a knack for finding the net but also a tendency to concede, hinting at an open game. Kairat Almaty’s current standing and form details are less clear, but their home advantage and attacking options make them a threat.
Key insights
C. Dessers
Panathinaikos
Top scorer with 3 goals in 3 appearances, making him the focal point of Panathinaikos’ attack despite a recent goal drought.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/273 goals in 3 appearances, 115 minutes total
A. Jagusic
Kairat Almaty
Strong home scoring form with 2 goals in 3 home games, contributing significantly to Kairat’s attacking threat.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/272 goals in 6 appearances, 0.5 goals per game last 5
S. de Vrij
Panathinaikos
Consistent starter and set-piece threat, providing both defensive solidity and an assist in recent games.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/271 assist in 6 appearances, 85.7 avg minutes per game
Analysis
The prediction leans towards a home win for Kairat Almaty with a 2-1 scoreline, reflecting a slight edge despite the close probabilities for other outcomes. Panathinaikos’ attacking prowess is led by C. Dessers, who boasts three goals in three appearances, though he has been quiet recently. A. Jagusic’s strong home scoring record and recent goals add to Kairat’s attacking threat. Defensively, Stefan de Vrij offers Panathinaikos a reliable presence and set-piece threat. The match is expected to be competitive, with both sides likely to score, but Kairat’s home form and attacking midfield contributions could tip the balance.
Key facts
- 1.Panathinaikos have played 6 matches in this competition with 1 win and 5 draws.
- 2.Panathinaikos have scored 9 goals and conceded 8 in these matches.
- 3.The most probable fulltime scoreline is a 1-1 draw, closely followed by 2-1.
- 4.C. Dessers is Panathinaikos’ top scorer with 3 goals in 3 appearances.
- 5.A. Jagusic has scored 2 goals in his last 4 games, showing strong home form.
- 6.Stefan de Vrij provides defensive stability and set-piece threat for Panathinaikos.
- 7.No confirmed injuries for either team, so full squads are expected.
Prediction
We predict Kairat Almaty will clinch a 2-1 victory over Panathinaikos. The home side’s attacking midfielders and forwards are poised to make the difference, while Panathinaikos will push hard but ultimately fall just short.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Kairat Almaty
No standout top scorers flagged for Kairat Almaty
Away — Panathinaikos
The verdict
This encounter promises goals and competitive spirit, with Kairat Almaty narrowly prevailing. Fans can expect a lively match with key players like C. Dessers and A. Jagusic playing pivotal roles. A cautious call, but one that favours the home side edging out a close win.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Taborda
Assist: Kiriakopoulos
Dessers
Penalty
Tapalov
Yellow Card
Goal Disallowed - offside
Baybek
Palmer-Brown
Yellow Card
Mrynskiy
Yellow Card
Edmilson
Dessers
Assist: Tetteh
Dessers
Camara
Kangwa
Luís Mata
Andino
Louza
Oksanen
Gual
de Vrij
Rastoder
Kangwa
Yellow Card
Bekbolat
Assist: Shirobokov
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 2 |  FC Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 26 |  Getafe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 27 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 1 |
| 28 |  Ajax | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Kairat Almaty
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1T. AnarbekovG
- 3Luís MataD
- 8O. BaybekD
- 9EdmilsonF
- 13J. OksanenM
- 14A. MartynovichD
- 17A. TuyakbayevM
- 20E. TapalovD
- 22Gustavo MendonçaM
- 24A. MrynskiyM
- 28Marc GualM
Substitutes
- 4D. KasabulatD
- 5L. KurginD
- 6A. SadybekovM
- 15M. BirkurmanovF
- 19O. JukkolaM
- 25A. ShirobokovD
- 81I. BekbolatF
- 82S. KalmurzaG
Panathinaikos
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Iñaki PeñaG
- 6S. de VrijD
- 7A. TettehM
- 9C. DessersF
- 10Santino AndinoM
- 14E. Palmer-BrownD
- 19T. TsaprasD
- 20V. TabordaM
- 22E. CamaraM
- 26I. LouzaM
- 77G. KiriakopoulosD
Substitutes
- 2D. CalabriaD
- 3Georgios Marios KatrisD
- 4Pedro ChirivellaM
- 18S. KontourisM
- 28F. PellistriM
- 42K. KangwaM
- 53I. NempisF
- 55R. van DrongelenD
- 70K. KotsarisG
- 71C. GeitonasG
- 74E. RastoderF
- 99L. GarcíaF
Kairat Almaty
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edmilson | F | 45 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Azamat Tuyakbayev | M | 86 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/6 |
| Gustavo Mendonca | M | 86 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/3 |
| Aleksandr Mrynskiy | M | 86 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jaakko Oksanen | M | 65 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marc Gual | M | 65 | 6.0 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Olzhas Baibek | D | 32 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Erkin Tapalov | D | 86 | 5.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Luís Mata | D | 65 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Aleksandr Martynovich(C) | D | 86 | 5.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Temirlan Anarbekov | G | 86 | 4.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Mansur Birkurmanov | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sherkhan Kalmurza | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adilet Sadybekov | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ismail Bekbolat | F | 21 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Damir Kasabulat | D | 21 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Lev Kurgin | D | 21 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Aleksandr Shirobokov | D | 54 | 6.2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Oiva Jukkola | M | 41 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
Panathinaikos
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cyriel Dessers | F | 56 | 9.2 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| Imrân Louza | M | 65 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Georgios Kyriakopoulos | D | 86 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Stefan de Vrij(C) | D | 75 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Palmer Brown | D | 86 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Vicente Taborda | M | 86 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Andreas Tetteh | M | 86 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Etienne Camara | M | 56 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Triantafyllos Tsapras | D | 86 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santino Andino | M | 65 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/6 |
| Iñaki Peña | G | 86 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Christos Gitonas | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sotiris Kontouris | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Davide Calabria | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Konstantinos Kotsaris | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Levi García | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iason Nempis | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rick Van Drongelen | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kings Kangwa | M | 30 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Elmin Rastoder | F | 30 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Facundo Pellistri | M | 21 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Pedro Chirivella | M | 21 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Georgios Katris | D | 11 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Kairat Almaty to win against Panathinaikos.
- What score did Fipster predict for Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Kairat Almaty 2–1 Panathinaikos.
- What were the win probabilities for Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?
- Fipster's model gave Kairat Almaty a 35% chance of winning, Panathinaikos a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.