Juventus vs Bologna
Match recap
Juventus beat Bologna 2–0 in their Serie A fixture. David and Thuram scored for Juventus. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.31 for Juventus versus 0.59 for Bologna. Juventus sit 6th in the Serie A table while Bologna are 8th.
Analysis
Juventus host Bologna in what promises to be a closely contested Serie A fixture. With Juventus holding a strong home record and a slight edge in expected goals, this match is poised for a narrow home victory.
Juventus currently sit 4th in the league with 63 points, comfortably ahead of Bologna who are 8th with 48 points. Historically, Juventus have dominated this fixture, winning 14 of the last 20 encounters without a single loss to Bologna. The match kicks off at Juventus' home ground, where their striker J. David has been particularly effective.
Juventus' midfield maestro M. Locatelli is expected to control the tempo with his exceptional passing accuracy and defensive contributions. Despite the absence of key players like W. McKennie and P. Kalulu due to suspension, Juventus' squad depth and home advantage should see them edge out Bologna. J. David's consistent scoring form at home adds a crucial attacking threat, while Bologna's recent inconsistency and injury concerns dampen their chances.
Prediction
The prediction favours a 1-0 victory for Juventus, reflecting their superior expected goals and historical dominance. The halftime score is also expected to be 1-0, indicating an early goal that Juventus will defend resolutely. The match is likely to see a total of three cards, suggesting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Key attackers missing for Juventus
Top scorer K. Yıldız and creative winger Francisco Conceição are injured, reducing attacking options.
Juventus midfield dominance
Locatelli's passing and tackling stats well above league average provide control in midfield.
J. David's scoring form vs Bologna
David scored in last home match vs Bologna and has strong home goal rate, key scoring threat.
Bologna's attacking inconsistency
Bologna's top scorers have lower recent goal involvement and several key players injured.
Suspensions weaken Juventus defense and midfield
Kalulu and McKennie suspended, impacting defensive solidity and midfield creativity.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Juventus' home advantage, midfield control, and key player performances make them favourites to secure a narrow 1-0 win over Bologna. While Bologna will put up a fight, the odds and form suggest Juventus will maintain their unbeaten record against this opponent.
- Juventus have won 14 of 20 matches against Bologna, with no losses and 6 draws.
- Juventus rank 4th with 63 points; Bologna are 8th with 48 points.
- Juventus have higher expected goals (1.10) than Bologna (0.54) in this fixture.
- J. David scored in the last home match against Bologna and has 5 goals this season.
- M. Locatelli leads Juventus in passes with 88% accuracy and 4 assists.
- W. McKennie and P. Kalulu are suspended, impacting Juventus' midfield and defense.
- Bologna's top scorers have lower recent goal involvement and injury concerns.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Juventus
Away — Bologna
No standout top scorers flagged for Bologna
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
David
Assist: Kalulu
Holm
Thuram
Assist: McKennie
Pobega
Sohm
Cambiaghi
Sohm
Cambiaghi
Locatelli
Yellow Card
Helland
David
Conceição
Conceição
David
Castro
Cambiaso
Boga
Match Statistics
Juventus
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 2E. HolmM
- 3BremerD
- 5M. LocatelliM
- 6L. KellyD
- 7Francisco ConceiçãoF
- 13J. BogaF
- 15P. KaluluD
- 16M. Di GregorioG
- 22W. McKennieM
- 27A. CambiasoM
- 30J. DavidF
Substitutes
- 4F. GattiD
- 8T. KoopmeinersM
- 10K. YıldızF
- 11E. ZhegrovaF
- 18F. KostićM
- 19K. ThuramM
- 20L. OpendaF
- 21F. MirettiM
- 23C. PinsoglioG
- 42S. ScagliaG
Bologna
4-3-3Starting XI
- 4T. PobegaM
- 5E. HellandD
- 7R. OrsoliniF
- 8R. FreulerM
- 9S. CastroF
- 13F. RavagliaG
- 20N. ZorteaD
- 23S. SohmM
- 26J. LucumíD
- 28N. CambiaghiF
- 33Juan MirandaD
Substitutes
- 6N. MoroM
- 10F. BernardeschiF
- 11J. RoweF
- 14T. HeggemD
- 17João MárioD
- 19L. FergusonM
- 21J. OdgaardF
- 22C. LykogiannisD
- 25M. PessinaG
- 29L. De SilvestriD
- 41M. VitíkD
- 73F. CastaldoF
- 82Matteo FranceschelliG
Juventus
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lloyd Kelly | D | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Manuel Locatelli(C) | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2/2 |
| Jeremie Boga | F | 86 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 6/7 |
| Pierre Kalulu | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Francisco Conceição | F | 72 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/4 |
| Emil Holm | M | 45 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Weston McKennie | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Jonathan David | F | 72 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Bremer | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Andrea Cambiaso | M | 80 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Michele Di Gregorio | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Teun Koopmeiners | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabio Miretti | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Simone Scaglia | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlo Pinsoglio | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Filip Kostic | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Loïs Openda | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khéphren Thuram | M | 45 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Federico Gatti | D | 10 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kenan Yıldız | F | 18 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Edon Zhegrova | F | 18 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Bologna
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommaso Pobega | M | 58 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Federico Ravaglia | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Remo Freuler(C) | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Eivind Helland | D | 68 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jhon Lucumí | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Riccardo Orsolini | F | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| Simon Sohm | M | 59 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Juan Miranda | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Nadir Zortea | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Santiago Castro | F | 77 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| Nicolò Cambiaghi | F | 59 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Lorenzo De Silvestri | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matteo Franceschelli | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francesco Castaldo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Massimo Pessina | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Vitík | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Mário | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Charalampos Lykogiannis | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jens Odgaard | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikola Moro | M | 32 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Jonathan Rowe | F | 31 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Torbjørn Heggem | D | 22 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lewis Ferguson | M | 31 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Federico Bernardeschi | F | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |