Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia
Jagiellonia rally past Ararat-Armenia
A quick response and second-half strike secure a 3-1 win for the hosts
Ararat-Armenia struck first through Zidane Banjaqui's early goal at 11 minutes, but Jagiellonia responded swiftly with K. Jóźwiak equalising just two minutes later. Rodrigo Conceição's first-half effort and O. Sow's second-half goal sealed a 3-1 victory for Jagiellonia. Fipster's prediction of a home win was spot on, though the exact scoreline differed slightly.
Outcome probability
Jagiellonia and Ararat-Armenia face off in a Group Stage clash where the home side's recent form suggests a comfortable win. Both teams have shown promise, but Jagiellonia's attacking prowess is expected to shine through.
Match factors
Jagiellonia's strong scoring streak
Jagiellonia has scored in their last 4 matches, showing consistent attacking form.
Jagiellonia's home scoring advantage
Jagiellonia averages 3 goals per home game, well above league averages, boosting their win probability.
Full squads available for both teams
No confirmed injuries or doubtful players for either team, so full-strength lineups expected.
The context
In this competition, Jagiellonia have played four matches unbeaten, winning three and drawing one, scoring nine goals and conceding three. Ararat-Armenia have played two matches with one win and one draw, scoring two and conceding just one. Both teams come into this fixture with solid recent knockout wins, setting the stage for an intriguing encounter.
Key facts
- 1.Jagiellonia have won 3 and drawn 1 of their 4 matches in this competition, scoring 9 goals and conceding 3.
- 2.Ararat-Armenia have played 2 matches with 1 win and 1 draw, scoring 2 and conceding 1 goal.
- 3.Jagiellonia average 3 goals per home game, well above the league average.
- 4.Both teams have full squads available with no confirmed injuries.
- 5.Jagiellonia have scored in their last 4 matches, showing consistent attacking form.
- 6.The predicted halftime score is 1-0 in favour of Jagiellonia.
- 7.The predicted fulltime score is 3-0 to Jagiellonia.
- 8.Total cards predicted in the match are 4.
Analysis
Jagiellonia's consistent scoring streak, netting in their last four matches, highlights their offensive strength. They average three goals per home game, well above the league average, which gives them a significant edge. Ararat-Armenia, while resilient, have a more modest record with fewer matches played and goals scored. Both teams have full squads available, so this match should be decided by form and tactical execution rather than absences.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Jagiellonia
Away — Ararat-Armenia
Prediction
Expect Jagiellonia to take an early lead, going into halftime 1-0 up, and then extend their advantage to a 3-0 victory by full time. The home side's attacking consistency and defensive solidity should see them comfortably outclass Ararat-Armenia in this Group Stage fixture.
The verdict
With both teams at full strength, Jagiellonia's superior form and goal-scoring ability make them the clear favourites. Ararat-Armenia will need to raise their game significantly to avoid a heavy defeat. This one looks like a straightforward home win, with Jagiellonia continuing their impressive run in the competition.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Zidane Banjaqui
Assist: Carlier
Jóźwiak
Zidane Banjaqui
Romanczuk
Yellow Card
Bruno Wilson
Yellow Card
Conceição
Assist: Klynge
Yellow Card
Sow
Assist: Imaz
Tera
Yellow Card
Sow
Imaz
Luís Felipe
Tera
Jóźwiak
Serobyan
Sandro Lima
Szmyt
Romanczuk
Stojinović
Yellow Card
Kozlowski
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 27 |  Plzen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 |  Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 29 |  Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 35 |  AC Milan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Jagiellonia
4-4-2Starting XI
- 4Y. KobayashiD
- 5Bernardo VitalD
- 6T. RomanczukM
- 7K. SzmytM
- 11Jesús ImazF
- 19A. KlyngeM
- 20B. WdowikD
- 27Rodrigo ConceiçãoD
- 30O. SowF
- 50S. AbramowiczG
- 72K. JóźwiakM
Substitutes
- 1M. PerchelG
- 3D. StojinovićD
- 10J. AgbonifoF
- 14H. FinndellM
- 21Sergio LozanoM
- 23Guilherme Manuel Serrão MontóiaD
- 32A. ĆirkovićF
- 44A. KonstantopoulosD
- 85Eryk KozlowskiM
Ararat-Armenia
3-4-3Starting XI
- 2Hugo OliveiraM
- 5Luís FelipeD
- 8J. BalantaM
- 11Zidane BanjaquiF
- 16E. GrigoryanM
- 17M. CarlierD
- 20A. TeraM
- 43Bruno WilsonD
- 77A. SerobyanF
- 91Sandro LimaF
- 98João BravimG
Substitutes
- 1A. NersesyanG
- 7Z. ShaghoyanF
- 9A. EloyanM
- 10A. AmbartsumyanM
- 14Bruno PereiraD
- 19K. MuradyanM
- 25A. NdourF
- 47A. MalisD
- 95FrançaF
Jagiellonia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Conceição | D | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 5/5 |
| O. Sow | F | 66 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| K. Jóźwiak | M | 68 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1/3 |
| A. Klynge | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — |
| Jesús Imaz | F | 68 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Y. Kobayashi | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bernardo Vital | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ćirković | F | 11 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| S. Abramowicz | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Agbonifo | F | 24 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| B. Wdowik | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| K. Szmyt | M | 79 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Sergio Lozano | M | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| T. Romanczuk | M | 80 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Eryk Kozlowski | M | 22 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Stojinović | D | 22 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Konstantopoulos | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Perchel | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Finndell | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Ararat-Armenia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Carlier | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Zidane Banjaqui | F | 17 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Z. Shaghoyan | F | 73 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2/4 |
| Sandro Lima | F | 76 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| França | F | 14 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Hugo Oliveira | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Luís Felipe | D | 68 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Wilson | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| E. Grigoryan | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Balanta | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| A. Serobyan | F | 76 | 6.0 | — | — | 5 | 1 | — | 2/7 |
| A. Eloyan | M | 14 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| K. Muradyan | M | 22 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Tera | M | 68 | 5.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| João Bravim | G | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ambartsumyan | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Malis | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ndour | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Pereira | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Nersesyan | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Jagiellonia to win against Ararat-Armenia.
- What score did Fipster predict for Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Jagiellonia 3–0 Ararat-Armenia.
- What were the win probabilities for Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia?
- Fipster's model gave Jagiellonia a 85% chance of winning, Ararat-Armenia a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.