Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht
Anderlecht cruise to comfortable win
A commanding 3-0 victory silences Jagiellonia at home.
Anderlecht put on a clinical display in the UEFA Europa League, with M. Cvetković opening the scoring in the first half before M. Winkler and Jayden Onia Seke added late goals to seal a 3-0 win. This result was a clear upset against Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a narrow home win for Jagiellonia, proving the visitors' dominance on the night.
Outcome probability
This Group Stage encounter between Jagiellonia and Anderlecht promises a tactical battle, with both sides boasting impressive recent form. Jagiellonia have been prolific at home, while Anderlecht arrive on the back of a winning streak.
Match factors
Jagiellonia's strong scoring streak
Jagiellonia has scored in their last 4 matches, showing consistent attacking form at home.
Anderlecht's unbeaten winning run
Anderlecht is on a 5-match winning streak with goals scored in all, indicating strong offensive momentum.
Jagiellonia's superior home scoring rate
Jagiellonia averages 3 goals per home game, above league averages, giving them an attacking edge at home.
Anderlecht's strong away scoring and defense
Anderlecht scores 1.67 goals and concedes only 0.33 away, showing balanced away performance.
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have no confirmed absences, so full squads available for tactical plans.
The context
Jagiellonia have played four matches in this competition so far, remaining unbeaten with three wins and a draw, scoring nine goals and conceding three. Anderlecht have been equally impressive, winning five and drawing one in six matches, netting 14 goals and conceding just four. Both teams come into this fixture with strong momentum and full squads available.
Key facts
- 1.Jagiellonia unbeaten in 4 matches in this competition (W3 D1 L0).
- 2.Anderlecht unbeaten in 6 matches in this competition (W5 D1 L0).
- 3.Jagiellonia average 3 goals per home game in this competition.
- 4.Anderlecht score 1.67 goals and concede 0.33 goals per away game.
- 5.No confirmed injuries for either team, full squads available.
- 6.Most probable final score is 1-0 to Jagiellonia.
- 7.Halftime score predicted as 1-0, consistent with fulltime result.
- 8.Expected total cards in the match: 4.
Analysis
Jagiellonia's home scoring rate is notably high, averaging three goals per game, which gives them an attacking edge in this fixture. Anderlecht, meanwhile, have demonstrated balanced away form, scoring 1.67 goals and conceding only 0.33 per away match. The prediction leans towards a narrow home win, with Jagiellonia likely to score early and hold on, as suggested by the consistent 1-0 halftime and fulltime scoreline probabilities.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Jagiellonia
Away — Anderlecht
Prediction
The forecast is for Jagiellonia to take the lead by halftime and maintain their advantage to secure a 1-0 victory. The match is expected to be competitive, with a total of around four cards likely, reflecting a keenly contested encounter.
The verdict
In summary, Jagiellonia's strong home form and scoring consistency should see them edge out Anderlecht in a close match. Anderlecht's unbeaten run on the road will ensure they put up a fight, but the home side's early goal and defensive resilience are expected to be decisive.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
CvetkoviÄ
Conceição
Yellow Card
Finndell
Aasgaard
Yellow Card
Bernardo Vital
Yellow Card
Jóźwiak
Szmyt
Degreef
Ambros
Kozlowski
Yellow Card
Llansana
Yellow Card
Winkler
Assist: Llansana
Klynge
CvetkoviÄ
Stroeykens
Onia Seke
Assist: Llansana
Onia Seke
Yellow Card
Prelec
Winkler
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 27 |  Plzen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 |  Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 29 |  Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 30 |  AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Jagiellonia
4-3-3Starting XI
- 4Y. KobayashiD
- 5Bernardo VitalD
- 7K. SzmytF
- 14H. FinndellM
- 19A. KlyngeM
- 23Guilherme Manuel Serrão MontóiaD
- 27Rodrigo ConceiçãoD
- 50S. AbramowiczG
- 72K. JóźwiakF
- 85Eryk KozlowskiM
- 99N. PrelecF
Substitutes
- 1M. PerchelG
- 3D. StojinovićD
- 6T. RomanczukM
- 10J. AgbonifoF
- 11Jesús ImazM
- 17Y. SyllaF
- 20B. WdowikD
- 21Sergio LozanoM
- 30O. SowM
- 32A. ĆirkovićF
- 44A. KonstantopoulosD
Anderlecht
4-3-3Starting XI
- 4G. BianconeD
- 5O. ReabciukD
- 9M. CvetkoviÄF
- 10M. WinklerF
- 18L. AmbrosM
- 19T. AasgaardM
- 26C. CoosemansG
- 27L. PétrotD
- 29M. StroeykensM
- 50K. BarryD
- 83T. DegreefF
Substitutes
- 6L. AugustinssonD
- 8R. AmanéM
- 11O. AntmanF
- 14D. SikanF
- 21T. BentayebF
- 24E. LlansanaM
- 32J. HeekerenG
- 49Jayden Onia SekeF
- 53N. CobiellaM
- 55M. KanaM
- 79A. MaamarD
- 91A. BertacciniF
Jagiellonia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Abramowicz | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Sow | M | 44 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| A. Ćirković | F | 25 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Eryk Kozlowski | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Agbonifo | F | 25 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| N. Prelec | F | 82 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Rodrigo Conceição | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4/6 |
| Y. Kobayashi | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bernardo Vital | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| K. Szmyt | F | 65 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| H. Finndell | M | 46 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jesús Imaz | M | 8 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Klynge | M | 77 | 5.7 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| T. Romanczuk | M | 13 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Jóźwiak | F | 65 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Perchel | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Sylla | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Konstantopoulos | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Lozano | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Wdowik | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Stojinović | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Anderlecht
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Winkler | F | 82 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| M. CvetkoviÄ | F | 78 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| G. Biancone | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| O. Reabciuk | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| K. Barry | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Jayden Onia Seke | F | 25 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| L. Pétrot | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Stroeykens | M | 78 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| L. Ambros | M | 65 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2/3 |
| E. Llansana | M | 25 | 7.0 | — | 2 | — | — | 2 | — |
| T. Aasgaard | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| M. Kana | M | 12 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Coosemans | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bertaccini | F | 12 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Antman | F | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Degreef | F | 65 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| T. Bentayeb | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Amané | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Maamar | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Augustinsson | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Cobiella | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Heekeren | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Sikan | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Jagiellonia to win against Anderlecht.
- What score did Fipster predict for Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Jagiellonia 1–0 Anderlecht.
- What were the win probabilities for Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?
- Fipster's model gave Jagiellonia a 85% chance of winning, Anderlecht a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.