Internacional vs Santos
Santos surge past Internacional in five-goal thriller
Gabriel Barbosa's early brace sets the tone for a narrow away win.
Santos took an early grip on the Serie A clash with Gabriel Barbosa scoring twice before the break, including a penalty, and C. Oliva adding a third to put the visitors firmly in control. Internacional fought back after the break with goals from B. Aguirre and a stoppage-time penalty by Bruno Henrique, but it wasn't enough to overturn the deficit. The 3-2 result matched Fipster's call for an away win, albeit with a slightly different scoreline, proving the prediction had merit despite low confidence.
Outcome probability
As the Brazilian league season rolls on, Internacional and Santos prepare to face off in what promises to be a tightly contested match. Both sides have had their ups and downs this season, making this a crucial fixture for league positioning.
Match factors
Gabriel Barbosa's superior scoring rate
Gabriel Barbosa leads Santos with 8 goals in 17 games, a 0.47 goals/game rate, well above league average for attackers
Johan Carbonero's dual threat
Carbonero contributes 6 goals and 3 assists, showing strong all-around attacking impact for Internacional
Neymar's recent goal and assist form
Neymar has 2 goals and 1 assist in last 5 matches, indicating strong recent attacking form
Internacional's home scoring consistency
Internacional scores more at home (1.1 goals/game) than away, leveraging home advantage despite overall struggles
Santos' strong away scoring streak
Santos has scored in all last 5 away games, showing attacking resilience on the road
The context
Currently, Internacional sit 17th with 25 points from 24 games, while Santos are slightly better placed at 14th with 29 points. Historically, Internacional have the upper hand in their head-to-head meetings, winning 9 of 20 matches against Santos' 3 victories, with 8 draws. Matches between these two sides tend to be lively, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
Key insights
Gabriel Barbosa
Santos
Gabriel Barbosa leads Santos with a strong scoring rate, netting 8 goals in 17 games and 3 in his last 4 away matches, making him a key threat on the road.
Serie A 26/278 goals, 17 appearances, 0.47 goals/game
- J
Johan Carbonero Balanta
Internacional
Carbonero is Internacional's top scorer with 6 goals and 3 assists, showing strong home form and being central to their attacking play.
Serie A 26/276 goals, 22 appearances, 0.27 goals/game; 3 assists, 22 appearances, 0.14 assists/game
Neymar
Santos
Neymar has been in good recent form with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 matches, adding creativity and finishing prowess for Santos.
Serie A 26/276 goals, 11 appearances, 0.55 goals/game; 3 assists, 11 appearances, 0.27 assists/game
Analysis
Santos boast a strong away scoring streak, having found the net in each of their last five away games. Their top scorer, Gabriel Barbosa, has been in fine form with 8 goals in 17 appearances, including 3 goals in his last 4 away matches. Neymar also adds firepower with 6 goals in 11 games and recent contributions of 2 goals and an assist in the last five matches. Internacional rely heavily on Johan Carbonero Balanta, their top scorer with 6 goals and 3 assists, particularly effective at home. Despite this, the aggregate probabilities favour an away win, with the most likely scoreline being 2-1 to Santos, reflecting a competitive but ultimately narrow victory.
Key facts
- 1.Internacional have won 9 of 20 head-to-head matches against Santos, who have won 3, with 8 draws.
- 2.Matches between these teams average 2.5 goals, with Internacional scoring 31 and Santos 20 in total.
- 3.Internacional are 17th in the league with 25 points from 24 games (5 wins, 10 draws, 9 losses).
- 4.Santos sit 14th with 29 points from 24 games (7 wins, 8 draws, 9 losses).
- 5.Santos have scored in each of their last 5 away games, showing strong attacking form on the road.
- 6.Gabriel Barbosa is Santos' top scorer with 8 goals in 17 games, including 3 in the last 4 away matches.
- 7.Johan Carbonero Balanta leads Internacional with 6 goals and 3 assists, particularly effective at home.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards a 2-1 win for Santos, capitalising on their recent away form and attacking prowess. Internacional will likely put up a strong fight, especially with Carbonero's influence, but Santos' firepower should be the deciding factor.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Internacional
Away — Santos
The verdict
Expect a keenly fought encounter with goals at both ends, but ultimately Santos are tipped to take the spoils by a single goal margin. Fans should brace for an entertaining match with plenty of attacking intent from both sides.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Rollheiser
Yellow Card
Barbosa
Card upgrade confirmed
Bahia
Red Card
Barbosa
Penalty
Oliva
Assist: Rollheiser
Sanabria
Aguirre
Assist: Maia
Caballero
Barbosa
Yellow Card
Maia
Ronaldo
Yellow Card
Henrique Pereira
Yellow Card
Vitinho
Yellow Card
Paulinho
Yellow Card
Escobar
Yellow Card
Alan Patrick
Ronaldo
Aguirre
Yellow Card
Barbosa
Gabriel Bontempo
Rollheiser
Henrique Pereira
Carbonero
Penalty confirmed
Henrique
Penalty
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | +26 | 56 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +3 | 36 |
| 10 |  Santos | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 |  Sao Paulo | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | +1 | 33 |
| 17 |  Vasco DA Gama | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | -12 | 28 |
| 18 |  Internacional | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -5 | 28 |
| 19 |  Remo | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -13 | 23 |
Match Statistics
Internacional
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4F. TorresD
- 6Matheus BahiaD
- 7J. CarboneroM
- 10Alan PatrickM
- 15Bruno GomesD
- 16RonaldoM
- 19A. SanabriaF
- 23Matheus CunhaG
- 25G. MercadoD
- 28VitinhoM
- 29Thiago MaiaM
Substitutes
- 3G. MaripánD
- 5R. VillagraM
- 8Bruno HenriqueM
- 9AlerrandroF
- 12AnthoniG
- 17N. EliassonM
- 18JuninhoD
- 27PaulinhoM
- 35B. AguirreD
- 44Victor JoaoF
- 49J. BezerraF
- 51Joao Gabriel Kempes GoncalvesM
Santos
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8Gabriel BontempoM
- 9Gabriel BarbosaF
- 14Luan PeresD
- 15Willian ArãoD
- 17G. CaballeroM
- 18Igor ViniciusD
- 28C. OlivaM
- 31G. EscobarD
- 32B. RollheiserM
- 48Gustavo Henrique PereiraM
- 77Gabriel BrazãoG
Substitutes
- 1DiógenesG
- 5João SchmidtM
- 6ArthurM
- 11RonyF
- 16ThacianoM
- 25Gabriel MeninoM
- 26João Paulo AnaniasD
- 27D. FernandesF
- 30M. TercerosM
- 42João AlencarD
- 45LimaM
- 81S. PierriM
Internacional
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Henrique | M | 15 | 6.8 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| G. Mercado | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Thiago Maia | M | 62 | 6.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| J. Carbonero | M | 85 | 6.5 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3/4 |
| B. Aguirre | D | 44 | 6.4 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| A. Sanabria | F | 46 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Ronaldo | M | 75 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Bruno Gomes | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| F. Torres | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| R. Villagra | M | 15 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Alan Patrick | M | 75 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| N. Eliasson | M | 5 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Cunha | G | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulinho | M | 28 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitinho | M | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/3 |
| Matheus Bahia | D | 28 | 4.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Joao Gabriel Kempes Goncalves | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Victor Joao | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Bezerra | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anthoni | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juninho | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alerrandro | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Maripán | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Santos
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Oliva | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Gabriel Barbosa | F | 78 | 8.2 | 2 | — | 4 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| Igor Vinicius | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Brazão | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Willian Arão | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Rollheiser | M | 83 | 6.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| G. Escobar | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Arthur | M | 35 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Luan Peres | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Gabriel Bontempo | M | 78 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Gustavo Henrique Pereira | M | 83 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| M. Terceros | M | 7 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Caballero | M | 55 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Thaciano | M | 12 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Lima | M | 12 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| João Schmidt | M | 7 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Alencar | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Paulo Ananias | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Pierri | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Fernandes | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rony | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Menino | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diógenes | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |