Internacional vs Palmeiras
Match recap
Palmeiras beat Internacional 3–1 in their Serie A fixture. Ronaldo scored for Internacional; Gómez, Vitor Roque, and Andreas Pereira replied for Palmeiras. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.15 for Internacional versus 0.91 for Palmeiras. Internacional sit 16th in the Serie A table while Palmeiras are 1st.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-2 Palmeiras win
Actual
1–3
Outcome probability
This clash between Internacional and Palmeiras promises a lively encounter, with both sides showing attacking intent early on. The halftime scoreline of 1-1 reflects a balanced first half, but Palmeiras' superior firepower could tilt the scales in their favour as the match progresses.
Match factors
Palmeiras' superior attacking depth
Palmeiras have multiple high-scoring forwards and creative midfielders, giving them an edge in attack.
Internacional's defensive vulnerability
Internacional concedes on average 1.28 goals per game and has a current streak of conceding in last 5 matches.
J. Carbonero's recent impact
Carbonero has scored 1 goal in last 5 and has 4 assists this season, showing good form.
Internacional missing key goalkeeper S. Rochet
Rochet is confirmed out, weakening Internacional's defensive stability and increasing goal risk.
Andreas Pereira's creative influence for Palmeiras
Pereira leads assists with 10 this season, key to Palmeiras' attacking transitions and chance creation.
The context
In the regular season's third round, Palmeiras sit comfortably near the top of the league table, while Internacional find themselves struggling in the lower half. Historically, Palmeiras have edged these encounters, winning half of their 20 meetings. The average goals per game in their head-to-heads hover around 1.9, suggesting a moderately open affair.
Key insights
J. López
Palmeiras
Top scorer with 9 goals this season, consistently leading the attack and a key factor in Palmeiras' offensive threat.
Serie A 26/279 goals in 26 appearances, 0.35 goals/game
Andreas Pereira
Palmeiras
Leads the league with 10 assists, crucial for Palmeiras' creative play and chance creation.
Serie A 26/2710 assists in 28 appearances, 0.36 assists/game
J. Carbonero
Internacional
Leads Internacional in goals and assists, providing key attacking contributions despite the team's struggles.
Serie A 26/277 goals and 4 assists in 27 appearances
- S
S. Rochet
Internacional
Confirmed out, weakening Internacional's defensive stability and increasing the likelihood of conceding goals.
Analysis
Palmeiras boast a potent attacking lineup led by J. López, their top scorer with 9 goals this season, supported by creative forces like Andreas Pereira, who leads the league with 10 assists. Internacional's J. Carbonero is a key threat, contributing both goals and assists, but the home side's defensive vulnerabilities, compounded by the absence of goalkeeper S. Rochet, could prove costly. Palmeiras' ability to exploit these weaknesses, combined with their superior goal difference and form, gives them the edge despite the close halftime score.
Key facts
- 1.Palmeiras rank 2nd in the league with 60 points from 29 games, showing strong form.
- 2.Internacional sit 17th with 31 points from 29 games, indicating struggles.
- 3.Palmeiras have a superior goal difference of +32 compared to Internacional.
- 4.In 20 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras have won 10, Internacional 5, with 5 draws.
- 5.Head-to-head matches average 1.9 goals, suggesting moderate scoring games.
- 6.Internacional's goalkeeper S. Rochet is out, weakening their defense.
- 7.J. López is Palmeiras' top scorer with 9 goals this season.
- 8.Andreas Pereira leads Palmeiras with 10 assists, key in chance creation.
Prediction
Expect Palmeiras to clinch a 2-1 win after a 1-1 halftime stalemate. The away side's attacking depth and creative midfield play should see them break through in the second half, while Internacional may struggle to contain their opponents without their key goalkeeper.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Internacional
Away — Palmeiras
The verdict
While the match could have gone either way at halftime, Palmeiras' quality and depth are likely to shine through by fulltime. Internacional will need to tighten up defensively and find more from their attacking stars to avoid defeat.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 17:38 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Gómez
Assist: Andreas Pereira
Ronaldo
Victor Gabriel
Vitor Roque
Paulinho
Yellow Card
Andreas Pereira
Yellow Card
Alan Patrick
Paulinho
Maurício
Vitor Roque
Allan
López
Andreas Pereira
Assist: Evangelista
Ronaldo
Carbonero
Piquerez
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 |
| 2 |  Flamengo | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | +36 | 67 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 37 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -4 | 35 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 33 |
Match Statistics
Internacional
3-5-2Starting XI
- 1S. RochetG
- 7J. CarboneroF
- 10Alan PatrickM
- 15Bruno GomesD
- 16RonaldoM
- 19R. BorréF
- 25G. MercadoD
- 26A. BernabéiM
- 27PaulinhoM
- 28VitinhoM
- 41Victor GabrielD
Substitutes
- 4F. TorresD
- 5R. VillagraM
- 8Bruno HenriqueM
- 9AlerrandroF
- 11KaykyF
- 12AnthoniG
- 14A. RodríguezM
- 17TabataF
- 29Thiago MaiaM
- 31AllexM
- 35B. AguirreD
- 44Victor JoaoF
Palmeiras
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1Carlos MiguelG
- 8Andreas PereiraM
- 9Vitor RoqueF
- 12KhellvenD
- 15G. GómezD
- 17Marlon FreitasM
- 18MaurícioM
- 22J. PiquerezD
- 26MuriloD
- 40AllanM
- 42J. LópezF
Substitutes
- 3Bruno FuchsD
- 4A. GiayD
- 6JeftéD
- 11Bruno RodriguesF
- 14Marcelo LombaG
- 19R. SosaF
- 30Lucas EvangelistaM
- 31Luighi HanriF
- 32E. MartínezM
- 48LarsonM
- 50Luis FelipeM
Internacional
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronaldo | M | 85 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Johan Carbonero | F | 85 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2/3 |
| Alexandro Bernabei | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Sergio Rochet | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Borré | F | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Vitinho | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Paulinho Paula | M | 61 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Alan Patrick(C) | M | 61 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| Victor Gabriel | D | 51 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Gomes | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 3/5 |
| Gabriel Mercado | D | 90 | 5.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Bruno Tabata | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Villagra | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Henrique | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiago Maia | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anthoni | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Allex | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joao Victor | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Braian Aguirre | D | 29 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Alan Rodríguez | M | 29 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kayky | F | 15 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Félix Torres | D | 39 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Alerrandro | F | 15 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Palmeiras
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gustavo Gómez(C) | D | 90 | 8.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Andreas Pereira | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Vitor Roque | F | 67 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | — | 1/3 |
| Joaquín Piquerez | D | 89 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Carlos Miguel | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marlon Freitas | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Khellven | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| Murilo | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| José López | F | 81 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2/4 |
| Mauricio | M | 67 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Allan | M | 81 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 2/4 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Bruno Rodrigues | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcelo Lomba | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Fuchs | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emiliano Martínez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Riquelme Fillipi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Pacheco | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Larson | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Evangelista | M | 9 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ramón Sosa | F | 23 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Agustín Giay | D | 9 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jefté | D | 11 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Luighi Hanri | F | 23 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Internacional vs Palmeiras?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Palmeiras to win against Internacional.
- What score did Fipster predict for Internacional vs Palmeiras?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Internacional 1–2 Palmeiras.
- What were the win probabilities for Internacional vs Palmeiras?
- Fipster's model gave Internacional a 32% chance of winning, Palmeiras a 36% chance, and a 32% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 36% confidence — a low-confidence call.