Internacional vs Mirassol
Match recap
Mirassol beat Internacional 2–1 in their Serie A fixture. Alan Patrick scored for Internacional; Oliveira and André Luís replied for Mirassol. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.23 for Internacional versus 1.63 for Mirassol. Internacional sit 16th in the Serie A table while Mirassol are 15th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
2-0 Internacional win
Actual
1–2
Outcome probability
This clash between Internacional and Mirassol promises to be a tactical battle with Internacional expected to come out on top. Both teams have had their moments this season, but the home side's attacking midfield strength and goal difference give them the edge.
Match factors
Internacional's attacking midfield strength
Internacional's midfielders Alan Patrick and Vitinho have strong recent scoring and assist form, providing creative edge
Johan Carbonero's goal involvement
Carbonero leads Internacional with 7 goals and 4 assists, showing high involvement in team's scoring
Mirassol's key assist providers Igor Formiga and Alesson
Both defenders and attackers provide significant assists, posing threat from wide areas
Internacional's home scoring consistency
Internacional has scored in 4 of last 5 home games, supporting predicted 2-0 win
Eduardo's scoring threat for Mirassol
Eduardo has 6 goals this season with strong recent form, key offensive player for Mirassol
The context
In the regular season's 12th round, Internacional sit 17th with 32 points from 30 games, while Mirassol are slightly ahead in 15th place with 33 points. Despite Mirassol's better head-to-head record, Internacional boast a significantly better goal difference, hinting at their potential to dominate this encounter.
Key insights
- J
Johan Carbonero Balanta
Internacional
Carbonero leads Internacional with 7 goals and 4 assists, showing high involvement in the team's scoring.
Serie A 26/277 goals and 4 assists in 29 appearances this season.
Alan Patrick
Internacional
Alan Patrick provides creative edge with 5 goals this season, contributing significantly to the midfield attack.
Serie A 26/275 goals in 25 appearances this season.
Igor Formiga
Mirassol
Formiga is Mirassol's top assister with 5 assists, posing a threat from wide areas.
Serie A 26/275 assists in 27 appearances this season.
- E
Eduardo
Mirassol
Eduardo is Mirassol's leading scorer with 6 goals, a key offensive threat.
Serie A 26/276 goals this season.
Analysis
Internacional's attacking prowess is spearheaded by Johan Carbonero Balanta, who leads the team with 7 goals and 4 assists this season. Midfielders Alan Patrick and Vitinho add creativity and scoring threat, making Internacional's attack well-rounded. Mirassol, meanwhile, rely on Eduardo's 6 goals and the assist contributions from Igor Formiga and Alesson. However, Internacional's consistent home scoring form and superior goal difference suggest they will control the match and keep Mirassol at bay.
Key facts
- 1.Internacional have a significantly better goal difference (+5) than Mirassol this season.
- 2.Mirassol lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Internacional's none in 3 meetings.
- 3.Internacional are ranked 17th with 32 points from 30 games (W7 D11 L12).
- 4.Mirassol are ranked 15th with 33 points from 30 games (W8 D9 L13).
- 5.Johan Carbonero Balanta is Internacional's top scorer with 7 goals and 4 assists this season.
- 6.Alan Patrick has scored 5 goals this season, providing midfield attacking strength.
- 7.Internacional have scored in 4 of their last 5 home games.
- 8.Mirassol's Eduardo has 6 goals this season, leading their scoring charts.
Prediction
We predict a 2-0 victory for Internacional, with a halftime lead of 1-0. The home side's attacking midfield and goal-scoring consistency should see them break down Mirassol's defence while maintaining a clean sheet. Expect Johan Carbonero Balanta to be heavily involved in the goals.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Internacional
Away — Mirassol
No standout top scorers flagged for Mirassol
The verdict
Internacional's blend of attacking talent and home form makes them the favourites to secure all three points. Mirassol will need to tighten up defensively and find a way to disrupt Internacional's midfield creativity if they hope to avoid defeat.
Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 00:38 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Alex Muralha
Yellow Card
Oliveira
Yellow Card
Oliveira
Assist: Alesson
André Luís
Assist: Alesson
Aguirre
José Aldo
Yellow Card
Walter
Yellow Card
Denilson
Paulinho
Vitinho
Alesson
Shaylon
Gomes
Allex
Reinaldo
André Luís
Alan Patrick
Assist: Borré
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 |
| 14 |  Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 37 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -4 | 35 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 33 |
Match Statistics
Internacional
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4F. TorresD
- 5R. VillagraM
- 10Alan PatrickM
- 12AnthoniG
- 15Bruno GomesD
- 19R. BorréF
- 27PaulinhoM
- 28VitinhoM
- 31AllexM
- 35B. AguirreD
- 41Victor GabrielD
Substitutes
- 7J. CarboneroF
- 8Bruno HenriqueM
- 9AlerrandroF
- 11KaykyF
- 17TabataF
- 18JuninhoD
- 20ClaytonD
- 22KauanG
- 29Thiago MaiaM
- 30AlissonD
- 33B. ArhinM
- 44Victor JoaoF
Mirassol
3-5-2Starting XI
- 2Lucas OliveiraD
- 3Willian MachadoD
- 6ReinaldoM
- 7ShaylonM
- 8DenilsonM
- 21José AldoM
- 22WalterG
- 32Igor FormigaM
- 34João VictorD
- 77AlessonF
- 99André LuísF
Substitutes
- 9Nathan FogaçaF
- 10ChicoM
- 12Victor LuísD
- 17Everton GaldinoF
- 20Daniel BorgesD
- 23Alex MuralhaG
- 27A. GaleanoF
- 29Tiquinho SoaresF
- 95EdsonF
- 97RodriguesD
Internacional
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Patrick(C) | M | 90 | 8.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1/1 |
| Rodrigo Villagra | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Rafael Borré | F | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Félix Torres | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Bruno Gomes | D | 74 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Victor Gabriel | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Braian Aguirre | D | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Paulinho Paula | M | 67 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Vitinho | M | 67 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Allex | M | 81 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Anthoni | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Kauan | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juninho | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Henrique | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Victor Alves de Morais Francisco | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Arhin | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alisson Rodrigues de Melo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Clayton Sampaio | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiago Maia | M | 16 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Bruno Tabata | F | 23 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kayky | F | 9 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Johan Carbonero | F | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| Alerrandro | F | 23 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Mirassol
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter | G | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Luis | F | 81 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| João Victor(C) | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Oliveira | D | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Alesson | F | 70 | 7.5 | — | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2/3 |
| Igor Formiga | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Willian Machado | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Reinaldo | M | 81 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| José Aldo | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/2 |
| Shaylon | M | 71 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Denilson | M | 63 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Antonio Galeano | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chico | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Everton Galdino | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigues | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Borges | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Muralha | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiquinho Soares | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Eduardo | F | 20 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Nathan Fogaça | F | 9 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Victor Luis | D | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Neto Moura | M | 27 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Edson Carioca | F | 19 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Internacional vs Mirassol?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Internacional to win against Mirassol.
- What score did Fipster predict for Internacional vs Mirassol?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Internacional 2–0 Mirassol.
- What were the win probabilities for Internacional vs Mirassol?
- Fipster's model gave Internacional a 71% chance of winning, Mirassol a 14% chance, and a 15% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 71% confidence — a high-confidence call.