Internacional vs Gremio
Match recap
Internacional and Gremio drew 0–0 in their Serie A fixture. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.89 for Internacional versus 0.22 for Gremio. Internacional sit 16th in the Serie A table while Gremio are 18th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-1 Internacional win
Actual
0–0
Outcome probability
The upcoming clash between Internacional and Gremio promises to be a lively affair, with both sides eager to climb the league table. Internacional, showing a bit more spark recently, look poised to take control early and keep the momentum flowing.
Match factors
Internacional's attacking midfield strength
Internacional's midfielders Alan Patrick and Vitinho have strong goal and assist contributions, providing creative edge.
Johan Carbonero's dual threat
Carbonero leads Internacional in goals (7) and assists (4), making him a key offensive threat.
Gremio's reliance on Carlos Vinícius
Vinícius is Gremio's top scorer with 10 goals but has not scored recently, indicating potential pressure.
Internacional's recent scoring streak
Internacional has scored in 4 of last 5 home games, supporting predicted 3 goals.
Full squad availability for both teams
No confirmed injuries for either team, so strongest lineups expected.
The context
This fixture is part of the regular season's 11th round in the league. Internacional currently sit just above Gremio in the standings, with both teams struggling to find consistent form. Their head-to-head history is fairly balanced, but recent performances suggest a slight edge for Internacional.
Key insights
- J
Johan Carbonero Balanta
Internacional
Carbonero leads Internacional in goals and assists, making him a key offensive threat with strong recent form.
Serie A 26/277 goals and 4 assists in 29 appearances this season
Alan Patrick
Internacional
Alan Patrick provides creative spark with 5 goals and 2 assists, crucial in midfield for build-up play.
Serie A 26/275 goals and 2 assists in 25 appearances this season
Carlos Vinícius
Gremio
Vinícius is Gremio's top scorer with 10 goals but has struggled to find the net recently, adding pressure on the attack.
Serie A 26/2710 goals in 29 appearances this season, no goals in last 10 games
Analysis
Internacional have demonstrated a knack for scoring early, with a predicted halftime lead of 2-0 reflecting their attacking midfield strength, particularly from Alan Patrick and Johan Carbonero Balanta. Gremio's main threat, Carlos Vinícius, has been less prolific lately, which could hamper their comeback chances. Discipline is expected to be moderate, with around four cards likely to be shown.
Key facts
- 1.Internacional currently rank 17th with 32 points from 30 games.
- 2.Gremio sit just below at 18th with 31 points from 30 games.
- 3.In 20 head-to-head meetings, Internacional have won 9, Gremio 5, with 6 draws.
- 4.Head-to-head matches average 2.5 goals per game.
- 5.Internacional have scored in 4 of their last 5 home games.
- 6.Johan Carbonero leads Internacional with 7 goals and 4 assists this season.
- 7.Carlos Vinícius is Gremio's top scorer with 10 goals but has not scored recently.
- 8.Predicted total cards in the match is 4.
Prediction
We anticipate Internacional to take a commanding 2-0 lead by halftime and eventually secure a 3-1 victory. Their home advantage and attacking prowess should be decisive, while Gremio may manage a consolation goal but struggle to keep pace.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Internacional
Away — Gremio
The verdict
All signs point to a confident Internacional performance, leveraging their creative midfield and recent scoring form. Gremio will need to find a way to break down a solid home defence if they are to avoid defeat. Expect a competitive match with plenty of action and a clear winner by the final whistle.
Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 00:12 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Borré
Yellow Card
Martins
Yellow Card
Tetê
Pedro Gabriel
Yellow Card
Villagra
Yellow Card
Borré
Amuzu
Carlos Vinícius
Yellow Card
Henrique
Mercado
Yellow Card
Alan Patrick
Villagra
Carbonero
Pedro Gabriel
Carlos Vinícius
Viery
Red Card
Bernabéi
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 37 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -4 | 35 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 33 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -16 | 26 |
Match Statistics
Internacional
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1S. RochetG
- 4F. TorresD
- 5R. VillagraM
- 7J. CarboneroM
- 8Bruno HenriqueM
- 10Alan PatrickM
- 15Bruno GomesD
- 19R. BorréF
- 25G. MercadoD
- 26A. BernabéiD
- 28VitinhoM
Substitutes
- 9AlerrandroF
- 11KaykyF
- 12AnthoniG
- 14A. RodríguezM
- 17TabataF
- 18JuninhoD
- 20ClaytonD
- 27PaulinhoM
- 29Thiago MaiaM
- 31AllexM
- 32Diego EsserG
- 35B. AguirreD
Gremio
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1WevertonG
- 5J. NardoniM
- 6Gustavo MartinsD
- 7C. PavónD
- 8ArthurM
- 9F. AmuzuM
- 19E. NoriegaM
- 21TetêM
- 44VieryD
- 54Pedro GabrielD
- 95Carlos ViníciusF
Substitutes
- 2F. BalbuenaD
- 4W. KannemannD
- 11M. MonsalveM
- 12Gabriel GrandoG
- 14Marcos RochaD
- 17DodiM
- 22M. BraithwaiteF
- 33L. PérezM
- 37Gabriel MecF
- 38Caio PaulistaD
- 47RogerM
- 99J. EnamoradoF
Internacional
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitinho | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Gabriel Mercado | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Sergio Rochet | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Félix Torres | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alan Patrick(C) | M | 80 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Bruno Gomes | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Alexandro Bernabei | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Johan Carbonero | M | 80 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Rodrigo Villagra | M | 80 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Bruno Henrique | M | 72 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Rafael Borré | F | 59 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Bruno Tabata | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juninho | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Clayton Sampaio | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Braian Aguirre | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anthoni | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Allex | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Esser | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alan Rodríguez | M | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Paulinho Paula | M | 18 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiago Maia | M | 10 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kayky | F | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alerrandro | F | 31 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
Gremio
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erick Noriega | M | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Arthur(C) | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Weverton | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Martins | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristian Pavón | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| Viery | D | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Juan Nardoni | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Francis Amuzu | M | 67 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Pedro Gabriel | D | 80 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Tetê | M | 56 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Carlos Vinícius | F | 81 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Walter Kannemann | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabián Balbuena | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Rocha | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dodi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Monsalve | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Grando | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leonel Pérez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Roger | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Caio Paulista | D | 10 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| José Enamorado | F | 34 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/4 |
| Martin Braithwaite | F | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Mec | F | 23 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Internacional vs Gremio?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Internacional to win against Gremio.
- What score did Fipster predict for Internacional vs Gremio?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Internacional 3–1 Gremio.
- What were the win probabilities for Internacional vs Gremio?
- Fipster's model gave Internacional a 95% chance of winning, Gremio a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.