Internacional vs Flamengo
Internacional holds Flamengo to a draw
Vitinho and Samuel Lino trade blows in a balanced Serie A encounter
Internacional and Flamengo shared the spoils in a 1-1 draw in Serie A, with Vitinho opening the scoring for the home side in the first half and Samuel Lino equalising after the break for Flamengo. Despite Fipster's confident prediction of a Flamengo win, the match ended all square, defying the model's forecast and proving that sometimes the beautiful game has other plans.
Analysis
This clash between Internacional and Flamengo promises a tight contest with plenty of attacking flair. Flamengo's recent form and stronger league position make them favourites to snatch a narrow victory.
Both teams have shown competitive spirit this season, but Flamengo's higher league standing and better scoring record give them the edge. Historical head-to-head stats also lean slightly in Flamengo's favour, adding context to this intriguing encounter.
Flamengo's attacking trio, including Pedro and Samuel Lino, have been pivotal in their recent successes, combining goals and assists effectively. Internacional's Johan Carbonero is in fine form, but Flamengo's creative midfield and superior scoring rate suggest they will have the final say. The absence of Flamengo's Léo Ortiz may weaken their defence, but their offensive firepower should compensate.
Prediction
Expect Flamengo to lead 1-0 at halftime and hold on for a 2-1 win by fulltime. The match is likely to be competitive with around four cards shown, reflecting the intensity on the pitch.
Outcome probability
Match factors
Flamengo's defensive weakness due to Léo Ortiz absence
Léo Ortiz is confirmed out, reducing Flamengo's defensive solidity against Internacional's attackers
Flamengo's superior scoring and defensive record
Flamengo averages 1.9 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game, outperforming Internacional's 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded
Internacional's Johan Carbonero in excellent recent form
Carbonero scored 2 goals and 2 assists in last match, showing strong attacking form
Flamengo's creative midfield trio key to breaking down Internacional
Players like Jorginho, Samuel Lino, and Pedro provide high assist and goal threat, crucial for Flamengo's attack
Pedro's consistent scoring against Internacional
Pedro has multiple goals in recent matches versus Internacional, indicating a favorable matchup
Key Takeaways
In summary, Flamengo's attacking prowess and league superiority make them the favourites to claim all three points. Internacional will fight hard, but the visitors' quality should prevail in a closely contested match.
- Flamengo have a 77% probability of winning this match.
- The most probable fulltime score is 2-1 in favour of Flamengo.
- Halftime is expected to end 0-1, consistent with the final scoreline.
- Four total cards are predicted, indicating a moderately physical game.
- Flamengo rank significantly higher in the league standings than Internacional.
- In 20 head-to-head meetings, Flamengo have won 8 times compared to Internacional's 5.
- Head-to-head matches average 2.6 goals, aligning with the predicted 3 goals here.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Internacional
Away — Flamengo
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Vitinho
Evertton Araújo
Léo Pereira
Carrascal
Vitão
Yellow Card
Alex Sandro
Maripán
Henrique
Lino
Assist: Bruno Henrique
Alan Patrick
Jorginho
Carbonero
Villagra
Pulgar
Yellow Card
Mercado
Yellow Card
de la Cruz
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | +22 | 47 |
| 2 |  Flamengo | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | +19 | 39 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | +9 | 37 |
| 15 |  Santos | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | -4 | 22 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | -4 | 22 |
| 17 |  Gremio | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | -4 | 22 |
Match Statistics
Internacional
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3G. MaripánD
- 5R. VillagraM
- 6Matheus BahiaM
- 7J. CarboneroF
- 8Bruno HenriqueM
- 10Alan PatrickF
- 15Bruno GomesD
- 23Matheus CunhaG
- 25G. MercadoD
- 26A. BernabéiF
- 28VitinhoM
Substitutes
- 4F. TorresD
- 9AlerrandroF
- 12AnthoniG
- 14A. RodríguezM
- 18JuninhoD
- 27PaulinhoM
- 30CalebeM
- 31AllexM
- 46Pedro KauãD
- 49J. BezerraF
- 52Gabriel ViniciusM
- 53L. F. de Morais FranciscoD
Flamengo
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1A. RossiG
- 2G. VarelaD
- 4Léo PereiraD
- 9PedroF
- 10G. de ArrascaetaM
- 15J. CarrascalM
- 16Samuel LinoM
- 21JorginhoM
- 26Alex SandroD
- 44VitãoD
- 52Evertton AraújoM
Substitutes
- 3Léo OrtizD
- 5E. PulgarM
- 6Ayrton LucasD
- 8SaúlM
- 11EvertonF
- 13DaniloD
- 18N. de la CruzM
- 22Emerson RoyalD
- 27Bruno HenriqueF
- 42AndrewG
- 64WallaceF
- 99LorranM
Internacional
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitinho | M | 97 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Bruno Gomes | D | 97 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Matheus Cunha | G | 97 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guillermo Maripán | D | 68 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Matheus Bahia | M | 97 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Rodrigo Villagra | M | 84 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexandro Bernabei | F | 97 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Mercado | D | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Alan Patrick(C) | F | 81 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 0/1 |
| Bruno Henrique | M | 68 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Johan Carbonero | F | 84 | 6.2 | — | — | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Alan Rodríguez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anthoni | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Allex | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Kauã | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Pedro Bezerra de Oliveira Lo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luiz Felipe | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Vinicius Oliveira da Silva | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Calebe Gonçalves | M | 16 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Félix Torres | D | 13 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulinho Paula | M | 29 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Alerrandro | F | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jose Juninho | D | 29 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Flamengo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agustín Rossi | G | 97 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitão | D | 97 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro | F | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Samuel Lino | M | 97 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1/5 |
| Giorgian de Arrascaeta(C) | M | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/3 |
| Jorge Carrascal | M | 63 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2/3 |
| Léo Pereira | D | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorginho | M | 84 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Evertton Araujo | M | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Alex Sandro | D | 64 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| Guillermo Varela | D | 97 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Léo Ortiz | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saúl Ñíguez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ayrton Lucas | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Everton | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrew | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lorran | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wallace Yan | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Danilo | D | 52 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Erick Pulgar | M | 52 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Bruno Henrique | F | 34 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Emerson Royal | D | 33 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Nicolás de la Cruz | M | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |