Internacional vs Coritiba
Internacional scrapes late penalty win
Alerrandro's stoppage-time spot-kick seals a narrow victory.
In a tight Serie A encounter, Internacional edged past Coritiba with a solitary goal from Alerrandro's penalty deep into stoppage time. Despite Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a comfortable 4-0 win, the match proved far more cagey, though the call for a home victory was ultimately correct.
Outcome probability
Internacional and Coritiba face off in a regular season clash where the home side looks poised to assert their superiority. With a strong attacking lineup and a solid defensive record, Internacional aim to capitalize on their form and secure a comprehensive victory.
Match factors
Internacional's attacking midfield trio in strong form
Carbonero, Alan Patrick, and Bernabéi show good recent scoring and assist form, likely to dominate midfield and create chances
Coritiba's top scorer Pedro Rocha is a key threat
Rocha leads Coritiba with 9 goals and consistent starts, but Internacional's defense may contain him
Alerrandro's assist form supports goal creation
Alerrandro has 5 assists this season with 2 in last 5 games, boosting Internacional's attack
Coritiba missing key midfielder Lucas Ronier
Ronier is confirmed out, weakening Coritiba's midfield creativity and defensive balance
The context
This fixture is part of the 34th round of the regular season in competition 71. Internacional currently sit 18th with 35 points, while Coritiba are 12th with 39 points. Despite Coritiba's higher position, Internacional boast a better goal difference, hinting at their potential to outscore their opponents decisively.
Key insights
- J
Johan Carbonero Balanta
Internacional
Top scorer with 7 goals and strong recent home form, Carbonero is pivotal in Internacional's attacking threat.
Serie A 26/277 goals in 31 apps, 0.23 avg per game
Alan Patrick
Internacional
Creative midfielder with 6 goals this season, Alan Patrick's recent scoring form boosts Internacional's midfield dominance.
Serie A 26/276 goals in 31 apps, 0.19 avg per game
Alexandro Bernabéi
Internacional
Consistent starter with 5 goals, Bernabéi adds midfield goal threat and stability.
Serie A 26/275 goals in 29 apps, 0.17 avg per game
Pedro Rocha
Coritiba
Coritiba's top scorer with 9 goals, Rocha is a key threat but faces a tough defensive challenge from Internacional.
Serie A 26/279 goals in 32 apps, 0.28 avg per game
Analysis
Historically, Internacional have the upper hand in head-to-head encounters, winning 8 of 19 matches against Coritiba, who have managed only 2 wins with 9 draws. The average goals per match between these sides is 2.3, with Internacional netting 27 goals compared to Coritiba's 16. Key players like Johan Carbonero Balanta, the home side's top scorer with 7 goals, and creative midfielder Alan Patrick, who has 6 goals, are expected to spearhead the attack. Coritiba's main threat, Pedro Rocha, leads his team with 9 goals but may find Internacional's defence a tough nut to crack. Additionally, Coritiba will miss key midfielder Lucas Ronier, weakening their midfield creativity and balance.
Key facts
- 1.Internacional have won 8 of 19 matches against Coritiba, with 9 draws and 2 losses.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 2.3 goals, with Internacional scoring 27 and Coritiba 16 in total.
- 3.Internacional rank 18th with 35 points from 33 games; Coritiba 12th with 39 points from 32 games.
- 4.Internacional have a better goal difference by 7 goals compared to Coritiba this season.
- 5.Johan Carbonero Balanta is Internacional's top scorer with 7 goals in 31 appearances.
- 6.Alan Patrick has contributed 6 goals this season, showing good recent form.
- 7.Coritiba's top scorer Pedro Rocha has 9 goals but faces a strong defensive challenge.
- 8.Coritiba will miss key midfielder Lucas Ronier, impacting their midfield strength.
Prediction
We anticipate Internacional to take an early lead, reflected in a 2-0 halftime scoreline, and continue their dominance to finish 4-0. The match is expected to be competitive but controlled, with a moderate number of cards, likely around four, as the referee manages the game firmly but fairly.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Internacional
Away — Coritiba
The verdict
In summary, Internacional's attacking prowess and home advantage should see them comfortably dispatch Coritiba. With key players in form and a tactical edge in midfield, the home side is set to deliver a commanding performance and a clean sheet.
Prediction generated 2 Nov 2026, 06:07 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Vitinho
Yellow Card
Cóser
Yellow Card
Fonseca
Yellow Card
Jacy
Bahia
Breno Lopes
Fonseca
Rocha
Maia
Yellow Card
Aguirre
Maia
Gomes
Carbonero
Santos
Moledo
Yellow Card
Alerrandro
Penalty
Maripán
Red Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | +42 | 76 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 41 |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | -13 | 38 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -6 | 37 |
Match Statistics
Internacional
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5R. VillagraM
- 6Matheus BahiaM
- 7J. CarboneroF
- 9AlerrandroF
- 15Bruno GomesD
- 18JuninhoD
- 22KauanG
- 25G. MercadoD
- 28VitinhoF
- 29Thiago MaiaM
- 35B. AguirreM
Substitutes
- 3G. MaripánD
- 8Bruno HenriqueM
- 16RonaldoM
- 17N. EliassonM
- 26A. BernabéiD
- 27PaulinhoM
- 30CalebeM
- 31AllexM
- 41Victor GabrielD
- 43Henrique MenkeG
- 44Victor JoaoF
- 49J. BezerraF
Coritiba
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Pedro LuccasG
- 2TingaD
- 5N. FonsecaM
- 10JosuéF
- 19S. GómezM
- 21Thiago SantosM
- 23Tiago CóserD
- 26Bruno MeloD
- 32Pedro RochaM
- 55JacyD
- 77Breno LopesM
Substitutes
- 3MaiconD
- 4Rodrigo MoledoD
- 7J. LavegaF
- 14F. BustosD
- 17B. OcampoF
- 18Paulo RobertoM
- 22Pedro RangelG
- 25RichardM
- 36Vini PaulistaF
- 50TissiM
- 66Rodrigo GeladoD
- 99Rodrigo RodriguesF
Internacional
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thiago Maia | M | 76 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Rodrigo Villagra | M | 98 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alerrandro | F | 98 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Bruno Gomes | D | 82 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Jose Juninho | D | 98 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Johan Carbonero | F | 82 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 1/3 |
| Kauan | G | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Bahia | M | 67 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Mercado(C) | D | 98 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Vitinho | F | 98 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 4 | 1/2 |
| Braian Aguirre | M | 76 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| João Victor Alves de Morais Francisco | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guillermo Maripán | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Victor Gabriel | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Allex | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Henrique Menke | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Niclas Eliasson | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulinho Paula | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Henrique | M | 22 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| João Pedro Bezerra de Oliveira Lo | F | 16 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexandro Bernabei | D | 31 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Calebe Gonçalves | M | 22 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ronaldo | M | 16 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Coritiba
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Melo | D | 98 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Thiago Santos | M | 84 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Josué | F | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Jacy Maranhão(C) | D | 57 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tinga | D | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Breno Lopes | M | 69 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Pedro Morisco | G | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Rocha | M | 69 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Sebastián Gómez | M | 98 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Fonseca | M | 69 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Tiago Cóser | D | 98 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Pedro Rangel | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Rodrigues | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brian Ocampo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maicon | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulo Roberto | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitor Gonçalves Tissi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Gelado | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joaquín Lavega | F | 29 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vini Paulista | F | 29 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Fabricio Bustos | D | 29 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Richard | M | 14 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Moledo | D | 41 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Internacional vs Coritiba?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Internacional to win against Coritiba.
- What score did Fipster predict for Internacional vs Coritiba?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Internacional 4–0 Coritiba.
- What were the win probabilities for Internacional vs Coritiba?
- Fipster's model gave Internacional a 95% chance of winning, Coritiba a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.