Internacional vs Corinthians
Internacional edge Corinthians in tight tussle
Vitinho's early strike sets the tone for a narrow home victory.
Internacional secured a 2-1 win over Corinthians in Serie A, with Vitinho opening the scoring right from the first minute. Alan Patrick doubled the lead after the break, but Corinthians' Andre pulled one back shortly after, keeping the contest alive. The result matched Fipster's medium-confidence prediction perfectly, proving the call spot on.
Outcome probability
This fixture between Internacional and Corinthians promises a closely fought contest as both sides look to improve their league standings. Expect a competitive match with goals from both teams, setting the stage for a narrow home win.
Match factors
Corinthians missing key striker Yuri Alberto
Yuri Alberto, top scorer for Corinthians with 3 goals, is confirmed out due to muscle injury, weakening their attack
Carbonero's scoring form vs Corinthians' defense
Carbonero's 7 goals this season and strong home form pose a significant threat to Corinthians' defense
Rodrigo Garro's creative influence for Corinthians
Garro leads Corinthians with 6 assists, providing key chances despite team's recent struggles
Internacional's attacking midfielders in form
Alan Patrick and Vitinho show recent goal and assist contributions, boosting Internacional's attack
Internacional's defensive stalwarts key to containing Corinthians
Gabriel Mercado and Matheus Bahia provide defensive stability crucial against Corinthians' forwards
The context
Currently, Internacional sit 18th in the league with 28 points from 28 games, while Corinthians are slightly better placed at 14th with 32 points from 27 matches. The head-to-head record is fairly balanced, with 4 wins for Internacional, 3 for Corinthians, and 13 draws in 20 meetings. Both teams have scored 23 goals each in these encounters, averaging 2.3 goals per game.
Key insights
- J
Johan Carbonero Balanta
Internacional
Carbonero leads Internacional's attack with 7 goals this season and has been particularly effective at home, making him a key threat against Corinthians.
Serie A 26/277 goals in 26 apps, 0.27 goals/game
Rodrigo Garro
Corinthians
Garro is the creative hub for Corinthians, leading the team with 6 assists and consistently providing key chances despite the team's struggles.
Serie A 26/276 assists in 25 apps, 0.24 assists/game
- Y
Yuri Alberto
Corinthians
Corinthians' attack is weakened by the absence of top scorer Yuri Alberto, who is out with a muscle injury, reducing their goal threat.
Serie A 26/273 goals this season
- A
Alan Patrick
Internacional
Alan Patrick has contributed significantly to Internacional's attack with recent goal and assist contributions, boosting their offensive options.
Serie A 26/274 goals in 23 apps, 0.17 goals/game
Analysis
Internacional's attack is spearheaded by Johan Carbonero Balanta, who leads the team with 7 goals this season and has been in strong form at home. His threat is compounded by midfielders Alan Patrick and Vitinho, who have contributed goals and assists recently. Defensively, Gabriel Mercado provides stability crucial to containing Corinthians' forwards. Corinthians, meanwhile, rely heavily on Rodrigo Garro's creativity, who tops their assists chart with 6 this season. However, the absence of their key striker Yuri Alberto due to injury weakens their attacking options. The predicted halftime score of 1-1 reflects the balanced nature of the contest, but Internacional's home advantage and attacking form give them the edge for a 2-1 fulltime win.
Key facts
- 1.Internacional are 18th in the league with 28 points from 28 games (W6 D10 L12).
- 2.Corinthians are 14th with 32 points from 27 games (W8 D8 L11).
- 3.In 20 head-to-head matches, Internacional have won 4, Corinthians 3, with 13 draws.
- 4.Head-to-head matches average 2.3 goals per game, with 23 goals each for Internacional and Corinthians.
- 5.Johan Carbonero Balanta leads Internacional with 7 goals this season.
- 6.Rodrigo Garro is Corinthians' top assister with 6 assists this season.
- 7.Corinthians' key striker Yuri Alberto is out with a muscle injury.
- 8.Predicted halftime score is 1-1, fulltime 2-1 in favour of Internacional.
Prediction
We anticipate a tight match with both teams finding the net in the first half, ending 1-1 at halftime. Ultimately, Internacional's attacking prowess and home form should see them clinch a 2-1 victory, edging out Corinthians in this regular season fixture.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Internacional
Away — Corinthians
No standout top scorers flagged for Corinthians
The verdict
This encounter is set to be a spirited affair with plenty of action. Internacional's ability to capitalise on their home advantage and key players' form should be the deciding factor. Corinthians will need to overcome the loss of their striker and rely on Garro's creativity to challenge for points.
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 20:59 UTC · Fipster Model v1.161
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Vitinho
Assist: Alan Patrick
Breno
Yellow Card
Kaio César
Yellow Card
Bernabéi
Yellow Card
Breno
Aguirre
Villagra
Yellow Card
Gustavo Henrique
Yellow Card
Paulinho
Yellow Card
Bernabéi
Maia
Juninho
Alerrandro
Alan Patrick
Assist: Henrique
Gabriel Paulista
Yuri Alberto
Andre
Assist: Vitinho
Garro
Yellow Card
Garro
Depay
Mercado
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 37 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -4 | 35 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 33 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 31 |
Match Statistics
Internacional
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5R. VillagraM
- 9AlerrandroF
- 10Alan PatrickM
- 12AnthoniG
- 15Bruno GomesD
- 18JuninhoD
- 25G. MercadoD
- 26A. BernabéiM
- 28VitinhoM
- 29Thiago MaiaM
- 35B. AguirreD
Substitutes
- 6Matheus BahiaD
- 7J. CarboneroF
- 8Bruno HenriqueM
- 16RonaldoM
- 17N. EliassonM
- 23Matheus CunhaG
- 27PaulinhoM
- 30CalebeM
- 44Victor JoaoF
- 46Pedro KauãD
- 49J. BezerraF
Corinthians
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Hugo SouzaG
- 2MatheuzinhoD
- 3Gabriel PaulistaD
- 7BrenoM
- 8R. GarroM
- 9Yuri AlbertoF
- 10M. DepayM
- 13Gustavo HenriqueD
- 14RanieleM
- 21Matheus BiduD
- 37Kaio CésarM
Substitutes
- 11VitinhoF
- 18Pedro RaulF
- 20P. MilansD
- 23Matheus PereiraM
- 26F. AngileriD
- 29AllanM
- 35CharlesM
- 49AndreM
- 51Kauê CamargoG
- 55I. MachadoD
- 56Guilherme InácioF
- 77J. LingardM
Internacional
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Patrick | M | 90 | 9.0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1/1 |
| Vitinho | M | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | — | — |
| Anthoni | G | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Gomes | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| B. Aguirre | D | 46 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Carbonero | F | 17 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Juninho | D | 73 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Mercado | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiago Maia | M | 65 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Bruno Henrique | M | 25 | 6.8 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Matheus Bahia | D | 25 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Villagra | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ronaldo | M | 17 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alerrandro | F | 73 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Paulinho | M | 44 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Bernabéi | M | 65 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Victor Joao | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Bezerra | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Kauã | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Cunha | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Calebe | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Eliasson | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Corinthians
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Souza | G | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andre | M | 44 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Matheus Bidu | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| Yuri Alberto | F | 80 | 6.9 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2/4 |
| Matheuzinho | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0/1 |
| R. Garro | M | 88 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Depay | M | 88 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1/6 |
| Vitinho | F | 11 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Henrique | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Paulista | D | 79 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Raul | F | 2 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Kaio César | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 5 | 2 | 2 | 9/16 |
| Guilherme Inácio | F | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raniele | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Breno | M | 46 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Matheus Pereira | M | 2 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Angileri | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Lingard | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Allan | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Milans | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kauê Camargo | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Charles | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Machado | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Internacional vs Corinthians?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Internacional to win against Corinthians.
- What score did Fipster predict for Internacional vs Corinthians?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Internacional 2–1 Corinthians.
- What were the win probabilities for Internacional vs Corinthians?
- Fipster's model gave Internacional a 48% chance of winning, Corinthians a 26% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 48% confidence — a medium-confidence call.