Internacional vs Chapecoense-sc
Match recap
Internacional beat Chapecoense-sc 2–0 in their Serie A fixture. Mercado and Alan Patrick scored for Internacional. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 3.83 for Internacional versus 0.46 for Chapecoense-sc. Internacional sit 16th in the Serie A table while Chapecoense-sc are 20th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-1 Internacional win
Actual
2–0
Outcome probability
This clash between Internacional and Chapecoense-sc promises to be an intriguing encounter as both sides look to improve their standings in the league. Internacional have shown more consistency this season, while Chapecoense-sc will be eager to upset the odds.
Match factors
Internacional's attacking midfield strength
Internacional's midfielders like Alan Patrick and Vitinho have strong recent scoring and assist form, providing creative edge.
J. Carbonero's dual threat
Carbonero leads Internacional in goals (7) and assists (4), making him a key offensive threat.
Chapecoense's Marcinho in good scoring form
Marcinho has scored 2 goals in last 5 matches, showing improved form despite team struggles.
No confirmed absences for either team
Both teams have no confirmed injuries, so full squads available to execute tactics.
The context
In the regular season's eighth round, Internacional and Chapecoense-sc face off with contrasting league positions. Internacional sit 17th with 32 points from 30 games, whereas Chapecoense-sc are 20th with 18 points from 29 games. Historically, their head-to-head meetings have been fairly balanced, with Internacional winning six and Chapecoense-sc five out of 13 encounters, averaging 2.3 goals per match.
Key insights
J. Carbonero
Internacional
Carbonero leads Internacional in goals and assists, making him a pivotal offensive threat this season.
Serie A 26/277 goals and 4 assists in 29 appearances this season.
Alan Patrick
Internacional
Alan Patrick’s recent goal contributions and role as captain provide a creative edge in midfield.
Serie A 26/275 goals in 25 appearances this season, with recent scoring form at home.
Marcinho
Chapecoense-sc
Marcinho has shown improved scoring form recently, posing a key threat for Chapecoense-sc.
Serie A 26/275 goals in 27 appearances this season, including 2 goals in the last 5 matches.
Analysis
Internacional's attacking midfielders, particularly Alan Patrick and Vitinho, have been instrumental in creating chances and scoring goals this season. J. Carbonero stands out as a dual threat, leading the team with seven goals and four assists, making him a key figure in their offensive play. Chapecoense-sc's Marcinho has shown some recent scoring form, but overall, the visitors have struggled to find consistency. Both teams have full squads available, so tactical execution will be crucial.
Key facts
- 1.Internacional are ranked 17th with 32 points from 30 games (W7 D11 L12).
- 2.Chapecoense-sc are ranked 20th with 18 points from 29 games (W3 D9 L17).
- 3.In 13 head-to-head meetings, Internacional have won 6, Chapecoense-sc 5, with 2 draws.
- 4.Head-to-head matches average 2.3 total goals (16 for Internacional, 14 for Chapecoense-sc).
- 5.Internacional have a significantly better goal difference (26 goals) than Chapecoense-sc this season.
- 6.J. Carbonero leads Internacional with 7 goals and 4 assists this season.
- 7.Alan Patrick and Vitinho provide creative strength in Internacional's midfield.
- 8.Marcinho is Chapecoense-sc's top scorer with 5 goals this season.
Prediction
The prediction leans strongly towards a home win for Internacional, with a likely final score of 3-1. The halftime score is expected to be 1-0, reflecting a steady start for the home side. The match is also anticipated to feature around four cards, indicating a competitive but controlled game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Internacional
Away — Chapecoense-sc
The verdict
Internacional's superior form and attacking options should see them through to a comfortable victory over Chapecoense-sc. While the visitors may find moments to threaten, the home side's quality and recent performances suggest they will take all three points.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 23:16 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Mercado
Assist: Vitinho
Clar
Carvalheira
Penalty confirmed
Bruno Leonardo
Yellow Card
Alan Patrick
Penalty
Bahia
Yellow Card
Bolasie
Giovanni Augusto
Bahia
Carbonero
Gomes
Everton
Yellow Card
Italo
Henrique
Borré
Vitinho
Yellow Card
Everton
Yellow Card
Everton
Red Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 37 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -4 | 35 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 33 |
| 19 |  Remo | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -16 | 26 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | -32 | 18 |
Match Statistics
Internacional
3-5-2Starting XI
- 1S. RochetG
- 4F. TorresD
- 5R. VillagraM
- 6Matheus BahiaM
- 7J. CarboneroF
- 8Bruno HenriqueM
- 10Alan PatrickM
- 15Bruno GomesD
- 19R. BorréF
- 25G. MercadoD
- 28VitinhoM
Substitutes
- 9AlerrandroF
- 12AnthoniG
- 14A. RodríguezM
- 16RonaldoM
- 17TabataF
- 18JuninhoD
- 26A. BernabéiD
- 27PaulinhoM
- 29Thiago MaiaM
- 31AllexM
- 35B. AguirreD
- 41Victor GabrielD
Chapecoense-sc
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3DomaD
- 10Giovanni AugustoM
- 11Y. BolasieF
- 12Léo VieiraG
- 22Higor MeritãoM
- 26EvertonD
- 27CamiloM
- 33Bruno LeonardoD
- 37W. ClarD
- 77ItaloM
- 99Rafael CarvalheiraM
Substitutes
- 1Rafael SantosG
- 2Marcos ViníciusD
- 4João PauloD
- 5João VitorM
- 7MarcinhoF
- 18Neto PessoaF
- 19David AntunesM
- 20Jean CarlosM
- 25Victor CaetanoD
- 70RubensM
- 91Bruno PachecoD
- 97ÊnioM
Internacional
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Patrick(C) | M | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Bruno Gomes | D | 69 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Gabriel Mercado | D | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Rafael Borré | F | 83 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/3 |
| Rodrigo Villagra | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| Vitinho | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| Félix Torres | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Johan Carbonero | F | 62 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Bruno Henrique | M | 83 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Sergio Rochet | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Bahia | M | 62 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Braian Aguirre | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juninho | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ronaldo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Allex | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Tabata | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anthoni | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alan Rodríguez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexandro Bernabei | D | 28 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Victor Gabriel | D | 21 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiago Maia | M | 14 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulinho Paula | M | 28 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Alerrandro | F | 14 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
Chapecoense-sc
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camilo | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Higor Meritão | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Giovanni Augusto | M | 60 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Léo Vieira | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Doma | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Leonardo(C) | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yannick Bolasie | F | 60 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Rafael Carvalheira | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Italo | M | 78 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Everton | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Walter Clar | D | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| David Antunes | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Vitor | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ênio | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Paulo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Victor Caetano | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Vinícius | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Santos | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jean Carlos | M | 30 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/4 |
| Marcinho | F | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Neto Pessoa | F | 30 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rubens Tadeu | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Bruno Pacheco | D | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3/4 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Internacional vs Chapecoense-sc?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Internacional to win against Chapecoense-sc.
- What score did Fipster predict for Internacional vs Chapecoense-sc?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Internacional 3–1 Chapecoense-sc.
- What were the win probabilities for Internacional vs Chapecoense-sc?
- Fipster's model gave Internacional a 95% chance of winning, Chapecoense-sc a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.