Internacional vs Bahia
Match recap
Bahia beat Internacional 1–0 in their Serie A fixture. Willian José scored for Bahia. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.80 for Internacional versus 0.85 for Bahia. Internacional sit 16th in the Serie A table while Bahia are 7th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
2-1 Internacional win
Actual
0–1
Outcome probability
This clash between Internacional and Bahia promises a competitive encounter, with both sides eager to assert their dominance. Internacional's recent form and attacking prowess suggest they have the edge in this fixture.
Match factors
Internacional's attacking midfield strength
Internacional's midfielders Alan Patrick and Johan Carbonero have strong recent scoring and assist form, providing a tactical edge in creating and finishing chances.
Bahia's goal threat from defender Luciano Juba
Luciano Juba is a high-scoring defender with 9 goals this season, posing a unique threat on set pieces and open play for Bahia.
Internacional's home scoring consistency
Internacional averages 1.2 goals per home game, slightly above league average, supporting their predicted 2 goals in this match.
Alan Patrick's recent goal involvement
Alan Patrick has scored 2 goals in last 5 games and provided assists, showing strong form to influence this match.
Internacional's goalkeeper absence
S. Rochet is confirmed out, which may weaken Internacional's defense and increase pressure on defenders.
The context
In the league standings, Bahia sit comfortably in 6th place with 46 points from 29 games, boasting a superior goal difference and points-per-game ratio compared to Internacional, who are 17th with 31 points. Historically, Internacional have the upper hand in head-to-head meetings, winning 12 of 20 encounters.
Key insights
- J
Johan Carbonero Balanta
Internacional
Top scorer for Internacional with 7 goals, showing strong recent form and key attacking threat.
Serie A 26/277 goals in 27 appearances, 0.26 goals/game
Alan Patrick
Internacional
Midfielder with 5 goals this season, excellent recent form with goals and assists in last 5 games, leading the team's attack.
Serie A 26/275 goals in 28 appearances, 0.18 goals/game
Luciano Juba
Bahia
High-scoring defender with 9 goals this season, posing a unique threat on set pieces and open play.
Serie A 26/279 goals in 25 appearances, 0.36 goals/game
Analysis
Bahia's offensive threat is highlighted by defender Luciano Juba, who has an impressive 9 goals this season, unusual for a defender. However, Internacional's midfield duo, Johan Carbonero and Alan Patrick, have been in fine form, contributing significantly to goals and assists. Despite Internacional missing their goalkeeper S. Rochet, their home scoring consistency and tactical midfield advantage could prove decisive.
Key facts
- 1.Internacional have won 12 of 20 head-to-head matches against Bahia.
- 2.Bahia currently rank 6th in the league with 46 points from 29 games.
- 3.Internacional are 17th with 31 points from 29 games.
- 4.Bahia have a better goal difference (+12) than Internacional this season.
- 5.Bahia average 1.59 points per game, Internacional 1.07.
- 6.Luciano Juba is Bahia's top scorer with 9 goals this season.
- 7.Johan Carbonero is Internacional's top scorer with 7 goals this season.
- 8.Alan Patrick has scored 5 goals this season, showing strong recent form.
Prediction
We anticipate Internacional to take the lead by halftime and maintain their advantage to secure a 2-1 victory. The match is expected to be competitive, with a moderate number of cards predicted, reflecting a spirited but controlled contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Internacional
Away — Bahia
The verdict
Ultimately, Internacional's attacking midfield strength and home form should see them edge out Bahia in a closely fought match. Fans can expect an entertaining game with goals and tactical battles throughout.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 18:53 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Willian José
Paulinho
Yellow Card
Ronaldo
Yellow Card
Aguirre
Yellow Card
Juba
Yellow Card
Aguirre
Bahia
Paulinho
Rodrigo Nestor
Willian José
Victor Gabriel
Yellow Card
Pulga
Olivera
Alan Patrick
Ronaldo
Jean Lucas
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 |
| 6 |  Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | +7 | 50 |
| 7 |  Bahia | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | +5 | 49 |
| 8 |  Santos | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 45 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 37 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -4 | 35 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 33 |
Match Statistics
Internacional
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1S. RochetG
- 6Matheus BahiaD
- 7J. CarboneroM
- 10Alan PatrickM
- 16RonaldoM
- 19R. BorréF
- 25G. MercadoD
- 26A. BernabéiM
- 27PaulinhoM
- 35B. AguirreD
- 41Victor GabrielD
Substitutes
- 4F. TorresD
- 5R. VillagraM
- 8Bruno HenriqueM
- 9AlerrandroF
- 12AnthoniG
- 14A. RodríguezM
- 15Bruno GomesM
- 17TabataF
- 18JuninhoD
- 28VitinhoF
- 29Thiago MaiaM
- 31AllexM
Bahia
4-3-2-1Starting XI
- 1RonaldoG
- 3Gabriel XavierD
- 5N. AcevedoD
- 6Jean LucasM
- 11Rodrigo NestorM
- 12Willian JoséF
- 14ErickM
- 16Erick PulgaM
- 21S. RamosD
- 46Luciano JubaD
- 99C. OliveraM
Substitutes
- 7AdemirF
- 8Caio AlexandreM
- 15M. AraújoM
- 23M. SanabriaF
- 25IagoD
- 27EveraldoF
- 31Roman GomezD
- 34João PauloG
- 43Luiz GustavoD
- 44Marcos VictorD
- 63David MartinsM
- 89DellF
Internacional
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergio Rochet | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Mercado | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alan Patrick(C) | M | 73 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Johan Carbonero | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 4/6 |
| Victor Gabriel | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Braian Aguirre | D | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulinho Paula | M | 56 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexandro Bernabei | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Rafael Borré | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Matheus Bahia | D | 56 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Ronaldo | M | 82 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Félix Torres | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juninho | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Tabata | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiago Maia | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Villagra | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Allex | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anthoni | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Gomes | M | 45 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alerrandro | F | 17 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Vitinho | F | 34 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Henrique | M | 34 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Alan Rodríguez | M | 8 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Bahia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Ramos Mingo | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Willian José | F | 59 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolás Acevedo | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Gabriel Xavier | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Nestor | M | 58 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Jean Lucas | M | 85 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Erick | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Luciano Juba(C) | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Erick Pulga | M | 70 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Ronaldo | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristian Olivera | M | 70 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Román Gómez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luiz Gustavo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Victor | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iago Borduchi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Everaldo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Martins | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Paulo | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ademir | F | 20 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Caio Alexandre | M | 13 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michel Araújo | M | 32 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dell | F | 31 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Mateo Sanabria | F | 20 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Internacional vs Bahia?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Internacional to win against Bahia.
- What score did Fipster predict for Internacional vs Bahia?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Internacional 2–1 Bahia.
- What were the win probabilities for Internacional vs Bahia?
- Fipster's model gave Internacional a 53% chance of winning, Bahia a 23% chance, and a 24% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 53% confidence — a medium-confidence call.