Inter vs Parma
Inter cruise past Parma with commanding win
A dominant first-half display sets Inter on course for a comfortable victory.
Inter secured a convincing 3-0 victory over Parma in Serie A, with P. Sučić opening the scoring early on at 13 minutes. H. Çalhanoğlu then doubled the lead from the penalty spot shortly after, and M. Thuram added a third before the half-hour mark. Fipster's prediction of a home win was spot on, though the exact scoreline differed.
Outcome probability
Inter, known as the Nerazzurri, face Parma in the sixth round of the regular season. With Inter sitting comfortably near the top of the table and Parma struggling near the bottom, this match promises to be a showcase of Inter's attacking strength.
Match factors
Inter's attacking trio in strong form
Lautaro Martínez, Esposito, and Thuram combine high scoring and assist rates, likely overwhelming Parma's defense
Andy Diouf's creative dominance
Diouf leads assists with 3 in 3 games, surpassing league midfielder averages, boosting Inter's goal chances
Inter's unbeaten scoring streak at home
Inter has scored in all 3 recent home games, averaging 4 goals, indicating strong offensive momentum
Parma missing key midfielders
Parma's confirmed absences in midfield weaken creativity and defensive cover, increasing vulnerability
Defensive solidity from Bastoni and Akanji
Their high passing accuracy and defensive stats provide Inter stability to launch attacks and control game
The context
Inter currently hold 13 points from 5 games, placing them second in the league, while Parma have just 1 point from 4 games, languishing in 18th place. Historically, Inter have the upper hand with 9 wins in 20 meetings against Parma, who have won 5 times with 6 draws.
Key insights
Lautaro Martínez
Inter
Lautaro's scoring rate of 0.8 goals per game in the last 5 is well above the league average, making him the key threat for Inter.
Serie A 26/274 goals in last 5 games, 3 starts, 78 avg mins
Andy Diouf
Inter
Diouf's creative dominance with 3 assists in 3 games surpasses the league average, boosting Inter's goal chances significantly.
Serie A 26/273 assists in 3 games, 3 starts, 85 avg mins
Francesco Esposito
Inter
Esposito's consistent home scoring rate of 0.67 goals per game adds to Inter's attacking depth.
Serie A 26/272 goals in 4 games, 4 starts, 72.5 avg mins
Analysis
Inter's attacking trio, featuring Lautaro Martínez, Francesco Esposito, and Marcus Thuram-Ulien, have been in fine form, combining goals and assists to overwhelm opponents. Lautaro Martínez leads with 4 goals in the last 5 games, while Andy Diouf's creativity from midfield, with 3 assists in 3 games, adds to Inter's offensive threat. Parma's midfield absences and defensive vulnerabilities make them susceptible to Inter's well-organised and potent attack.
Key facts
- 1.Inter have won 9 of 20 meetings against Parma, with 6 draws and 5 losses.
- 2.Inter are 2nd in the league with 13 points from 5 games (W4 D1 L0).
- 3.Parma are 18th with 1 point from 4 games (W0 D1 L3).
- 4.Inter have a +7 goal difference this season compared to Parma's -4.
- 5.Lautaro Martínez has scored 4 goals in the last 5 games for Inter.
- 6.Andy Diouf leads the league with 3 assists in 3 games, all for Inter.
- 7.Inter have scored in all 3 recent home games, averaging 4 goals per game.
Prediction
Expect Inter to take an early lead and maintain control, with a halftime score of 2-0. The Nerazzurri should continue their dominance into the second half, finishing with a convincing 4-1 victory. The match is also likely to see around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Inter
Away — Parma
No standout top scorers flagged for Parma
The verdict
Inter's superior form, tactical cohesion, and home advantage make them clear favourites against Parma. Unless Parma can pull off a miracle, this one looks set to be a comfortable win for the Nerazzurri, who will aim to keep their unbeaten streak intact and continue their push near the top of the table.
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 15:01 UTC · Fipster Model v1.160
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Sučić
Penalty confirmed
Çalhanoğlu
Penalty
Thuram
Assist: Mkhitaryan
Thuram
Esposito
Çalhanoğlu
Elphege
Fabbian
Sierro
Diouf
Dimarco
Carboni
Touré
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 16 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 16 |
| 17 |  Genoa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 19 |  Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
Match Statistics
Inter
3-5-2Starting XI
- 1Josep MartínezG
- 8P. SučićM
- 9M. ThuramF
- 17A. DioufM
- 20H. ÇalhanoğluM
- 22H. MkhitaryanM
- 28B. PavardD
- 30Carlos AugustoD
- 31Y. BisseckD
- 32F. DimarcoM
- 94F. EspositoF
Substitutes
- 5A. StankovićM
- 7P. ZielińskiM
- 10Lautaro MartínezF
- 11Luis HenriqueF
- 12R. Di GennaroG
- 14A. BonnyF
- 23N. BarellaM
- 25M. AkanjiD
- 46L. BovioD
- 49I. ProvedelG
- 95A. BastoniD
- 99D. SpenceD
Parma
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 4V. SierroM
- 14E. ValeriM
- 15E. Del PratoM
- 16M. KeitaM
- 19E. TouréM
- 23N. ElphegeF
- 29F. CarboniD
- 34Diego CarlosD
- 37M. TroiloD
- 40E. CorviG
- 80G. FabbianM
Substitutes
- 7Ousmane DialloF
- 8B. CremaschiM
- 9D. RomeroF
- 10Adrián BernabéM
- 20M. FriganF
- 22S. GhidottiG
- 27S. BritschgiD
- 30G. DaffaraG
- 32C. OrdoñezM
- 47Abdou KonateM
- 72D. DrobnicD
- 76S. LontaniF
Inter
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Sučić | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Thuram | F | 61 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Pavard | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Çalhanoğlu | M | 61 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| H. Mkhitaryan | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| Y. Bisseck | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Augusto | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Josep Martínez | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Stanković | M | 29 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| F. Dimarco | M | 73 | 7.2 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Spence | D | 17 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Diouf | M | 73 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| Luis Henrique | F | 17 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Lautaro Martínez | F | 29 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | — |
| A. Bonny | F | 29 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| F. Esposito | F | 61 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| M. Akanji | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Zieliński | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Barella | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Bovio | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bastoni | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Di Gennaro | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Provedel | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Parma
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Keita | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 2/3 |
| V. Sierro | M | 62 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Carlos | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Lontani | F | 28 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Troilo | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| E. Del Prato | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Frigan | F | 6 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Romero | F | 29 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| E. Corvi | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Elphege | F | 61 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| F. Carboni | D | 78 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Valeri | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Touré | M | 84 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| S. Britschgi | D | 12 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrián Bernabé | M | 28 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| G. Fabbian | M | 62 | 5.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| B. Cremaschi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Ordoñez | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ousmane Diallo | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Drobnic | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Ghidotti | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdou Konate | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Daffara | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Inter vs Parma?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Inter to win against Parma.
- What score did Fipster predict for Inter vs Parma?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Inter 4–1 Parma.
- What were the win probabilities for Inter vs Parma?
- Fipster's model gave Inter a 95% chance of winning, Parma a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.