Inter vs Parma
Match recap
Inter beat Parma 2–0 in their Serie A fixture. Thuram and Mkhitaryan scored for Inter. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.09 for Inter versus 0.27 for Parma. Inter sit 1st in the Serie A table while Parma are 13th.
Analysis
As the Serie A season nears its climax, Inter welcome Parma to the iconic San Siro. With Inter topping the table and Parma languishing in mid-table obscurity, this fixture promises a display of dominance from the home side.
Inter currently lead the league with 79 points and boast a formidable +49 goal difference. Parma, sitting 12th with 42 points, have struggled defensively, conceding over 1.1 goals per away game. Historically, Inter have the upper hand with 9 wins in 20 encounters against Parma.
Inter's attacking prowess is spearheaded by M. Thuram, who has netted 12 goals this season and is in scintillating form with a goal per game in his last five outings. Midfield maestro F. Dimarco, despite injury concerns, remains a key creative force with 16 assists. Parma's defensive frailties and injury woes further tip the scales in Inter's favour.
Prediction
Expect Inter to take an early lead, reflected in the predicted 1-0 halftime score, before sealing the deal with a second goal in the second half. The match is likely to be competitive but controlled, with a total of four cards expected as tensions simmer.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Inter's creative midfield dominance
Inter's midfielders like Dimarco and Barella provide superior passing and assist potential compared to Parma's midfield.
Superior scoring form for Inter attackers
Thuram's recent goal rate and Esposito's contributions give Inter a clear edge in goal-scoring potential.
Key Inter attackers unavailable
Absence of Lautaro Martínez and Thuram due to injury reduces Inter's attacking options but others step up.
Inter's strong home scoring streak
Inter has scored in last 5 home games, averaging 2.8 goals, indicating strong offensive momentum at home.
Parma's defensive vulnerabilities
Parma concedes over 1.1 goals away and has multiple defensive injuries, likely exploited by Inter's attack.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Inter's superior form, home advantage, and attacking depth make a 2-0 victory the most probable outcome. Parma will need a miracle to upset the hosts at San Siro, but football, as always, can surprise.
- Inter lead Serie A with 79 points and a +49 goal difference.
- Parma sit 12th with 42 points and defensive struggles away from home.
- Inter have won 9 of the last 20 matches against Parma.
- Head-to-head matches average 2.8 goals, favouring a multi-goal game.
- M. Thuram has scored 12 goals this season, averaging 1.0 goals in last 5 games.
- F. Dimarco leads with 16 assists, providing key creativity for Inter.
- Parma concedes over 1.1 goals per away game, highlighting defensive issues.
- Total cards predicted at 4, indicating a moderately physical encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Inter
Away — Parma
No standout top scorers flagged for Parma
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Thuram
Assist: Zieliński
Esposito
Zieliński
Yellow Card
Bastoni
Keita
Zieliński
Thuram
Pellegrino
Bernabé
Gabriel Strefezza
Mkhitaryan
Assist: Lautaro Martínez
Valeri
Barella
Match Statistics
Inter
Starting XI
- 1Y. SommerG
- 2D. DumfriesM
- 7P. ZielińskiM
- 8P. SučićM
- 9M. ThuramF
- 23N. BarellaM
- 25M. AkanjiD
- 31Y. BisseckD
- 32F. DimarcoM
- 94F. EspositoF
- 95A. BastoniD
Substitutes
- 6S. de VrijD
- 10Lautaro MartínezF
- 11Luis HenriqueF
- 12R. Di GennaroG
- 13Josep MartínezG
- 14A. BonnyF
- 15F. AcerbiD
- 16D. FrattesiM
- 17A. DioufM
- 20H. ÇalhanoğluM
- 22H. MkhitaryanM
- 30Carlos AugustoD
- 36M. DarmianD
- 43M. CocchiD
- 48M. MosconiF
Parma
Starting XI
- 3A. N'DiayeD
- 7Gabriel StrefezzaF
- 9Mateo PellegrinoF
- 10Adrián BernabéM
- 14E. ValeriM
- 15E. Del PratoM
- 16M. KeitaM
- 31Z. SuzukiG
- 37M. TroiloD
- 39A. CircatiD
- 41H. NicolussiM
Substitutes
- 5L. ValentiD
- 8N. EstévezM
- 11P. AlmqvistF
- 17J. OndrejkaF
- 21G. OristanioM
- 22O. SørensenM
- 23N. ElphegeF
- 24C. OrdoñezM
- 27S. BritschgiD
- 29F. CarboniD
- 40E. CorviG
- 66F. RinaldiG
Inter
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolò Barella(C) | M | 89 | 7.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 0/2 |
| Yann Bisseck | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alessandro Bastoni | D | 67 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Piotr Zieliński | M | 67 | 7.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Federico Dimarco | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Manuel Akanji | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Petar Sučić | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Marcus Thuram | F | 67 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| Denzel Dumfries | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Yann Sommer | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francesco Pio Esposito | F | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Stefan de Vrij | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matteo Darmian | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hakan Çalhanoğlu | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francesco Acerbi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luís Henrique | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Davide Frattesi | M | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Josep Martínez | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raffaele Di Gennaro | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andy Diouf | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matteo Cocchi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mattia Mosconi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lautaro Martínez | F | 23 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Henrikh Mkhitaryan | M | 23 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Carlos Augusto | D | 23 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny | F | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
Parma
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrián Bernabé | M | 75 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zion Suzuki | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Strefezza | F | 75 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Emanuele Valeri | M | 85 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hans Nicolussi Caviglia | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Mandela Keita | M | 67 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Alessandro Circati | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Enrico Delprato(C) | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Mariano Troilo | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdoulaye Ndiaye | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Mateo Pellegrino | F | 67 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Edoardo Corvi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lautaro Valenti | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nahuel Estévez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gaetano Oristanio | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jacob Ondrejka | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Filippo Rinaldi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sascha Britschgi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Ordoñez | M | 23 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Franco Carboni | D | 8 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Pontus Almqvist | F | 15 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oliver Sørensen | M | 15 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nesta Elphege | F | 23 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |