Inter vs Hellas Verona
Match recap
Inter and Hellas Verona drew 1–1 in their Serie A fixture. Edmundsson scored for Inter; Bowie replied for Hellas Verona. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.71 for Inter versus 1.20 for Hellas Verona. Inter sit 1st in the Serie A table while Hellas Verona are 19th.
Analysis
As the Serie A season nears its climax, Inter welcome Hellas Verona to the San Siro for what looks like a straightforward affair. With Inter sitting comfortably at the top of the table and Hellas Verona struggling near the bottom, the stage is set for a dominant home performance.
Inter have a rich history of success against Hellas Verona, winning 16 of their last 20 encounters without a single defeat. Currently first in the league with 85 points, Inter boast a goal difference of +88, a stark contrast to Hellas Verona's 20th place and 20 points tally. This gulf in quality and form is reflected in the upcoming fixture.
Inter's attacking options remain potent despite the absence of Lautaro Martínez, with M. Thuram leading the charge having scored 13 goals this season and netting 5 in the last 5 games. F. Dimarco's exceptional assist tally of 16 this season, coupled with his 92% passing accuracy, ensures Inter's creativity is in safe hands. Defensively, stalwarts like M. Akanji and A. Bastoni provide solidity. Hellas Verona, missing key attacker G. Orban, lack the firepower to trouble Inter's well-drilled defence.
Prediction
We confidently predict Inter to take a 1-0 lead into halftime before extending their dominance to a 3-0 fulltime victory. The match is expected to be competitive but controlled, with a total of three cards likely to be shown. Inter's home advantage and superior squad depth make this a near-certainty.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Inter's attacking depth compensates for missing Lautaro
Despite Lautaro Martínez's injury, Thuram and others maintain strong scoring threat
Dimarco's exceptional assist rate boosts Inter's chance creation
Dimarco's 16 assists and 0.48 assists per game far exceed league averages
Inter's strong home scoring streak supports predicted 3-0 win
Inter has scored in last 5 home games with average 2.7 goals per game
Hellas Verona's key attacker Orban missing weakens their offense
Orban's absence reduces Verona's already low scoring rate (0.7 goals per game)
Inter's defensive stalwarts Akanji and Bastoni strengthen backline
Akanji and Bastoni's passing and tackling stats exceed league defender averages
Key Takeaways
In summary, Inter's superior form, tactical depth, and historical dominance over Hellas Verona point to a comfortable home win. Fans can expect a clinical performance with goals from key players and a disciplined defensive display to keep a clean sheet.
- Inter have won 16 of their last 20 matches against Hellas Verona, with 4 draws and no losses.
- Inter lead Serie A with 85 points and a +88 goal difference this season.
- Hellas Verona sit 19th with only 20 points, highlighting a significant quality gap.
- M. Thuram is Inter's top scorer with 13 goals, including 5 in the last 5 games.
- F. Dimarco leads assists for Inter with 16 this season and a 92% passing accuracy.
- Inter have scored in their last 5 home games, averaging 2.7 goals per match.
- Hellas Verona's key attacker G. Orban is injured and unavailable for this match.
- The predicted total cards for the match is 3, indicating a moderately disciplined game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Inter
Away — Hellas Verona
No standout top scorers flagged for Hellas Verona
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Bernede
Edmundsson (OG)
Belghali
Valentini
Yellow Card
Suslov
Diouf
Bonny
Darmian
Lautaro Martínez
Sommer
Frese
Lovrić
Gagliardini
Yellow Card
Bowie
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | +54 | 87 |
| 2 |  Napoli | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | +22 | 76 |
| 18 |  Cremonese | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 |  Hellas Verona | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | -36 | 21 |
| 20 |  Pisa | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | -45 | 18 |
Match Statistics
Inter
3-5-2Starting XI
- 1Y. SommerG
- 6S. de VrijD
- 8P. SučićM
- 10Lautaro MartínezF
- 11Luis HenriqueM
- 14A. BonnyF
- 15F. AcerbiD
- 17A. DioufM
- 22H. MkhitaryanM
- 30Carlos AugustoM
- 36M. DarmianD
Substitutes
- 2D. DumfriesD
- 7P. ZielińskiM
- 9M. ThuramF
- 12R. Di GennaroG
- 13Josep MartínezG
- 16D. FrattesiM
- 20H. ÇalhanoğluM
- 23N. BarellaM
- 25M. AkanjiD
- 31Y. BisseckD
- 32F. DimarcoD
- 43M. CocchiD
- 48M. MosconiF
- 94F. EspositoF
- 95A. BastoniD
Hellas Verona
5-3-2Starting XI
- 1L. MontipòG
- 3M. FreseD
- 4S. LovrićM
- 5A. EdmundssonD
- 6N. ValentiniD
- 7R. BelghaliD
- 10T. SuslovF
- 15V. NelssonD
- 18K. BowieF
- 24A. BernedeM
- 63R. GagliardiniM
Substitutes
- 9A. SarrF
- 11J. Akpa AkproM
- 12D. BradarićD
- 14Pol LirolaD
- 19T. SlotsagerD
- 21A. HarrouiM
- 34S. PerilliG
- 36C. NiasseM
- 37A. Bella-KotchapD
- 41IsaacF
- 70Fallou ChamD
- 72J. AjayiF
- 73Al MusratiM
- 90Ioan VermeșanF
- 94G. TonioloG
Inter
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petar Sučić | M | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0/1 |
| Henrikh Mkhitaryan | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1/4 |
| Yann Sommer | G | 81 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andy Diouf | M | 63 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 5/7 |
| Stefan de Vrij | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Luís Henrique | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Carlos Augusto | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Matteo Darmian | D | 64 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Francesco Acerbi | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny | F | 64 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/3 |
| Lautaro Martínez(C) | F | 75 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Hakan Çalhanoğlu | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Davide Frattesi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alessandro Bastoni | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolò Barella | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yann Bisseck | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manuel Akanji | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcus Thuram | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Denzel Dumfries | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matteo Cocchi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josep Martínez | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francesco Pio Esposito | F | 26 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raffaele Di Gennaro | G | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Piotr Zieliński | M | 27 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Federico Dimarco | D | 26 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Mattia Mosconi | F | 15 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
Hellas Verona
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrias Edmundsson | D | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Lorenzo Montipò(C) | G | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Victor Nelsson | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Kieron Bowie | F | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Nicolás Valentini | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Sandi Lovrić | M | 84 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Antoine Bernede | M | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Roberto Gagliardini | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafik Belghali | D | 61 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Frese | D | 84 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Tomáš Suslov | F | 61 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/5 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Moatasem Al-Musrati | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giacomo Toniolo | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tobias Slotsager | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Junior Ajayi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isaac | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fallou Cham | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cheikh Niasse | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Armel Bella-Kotchap | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pol Lirola | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Simone Perilli | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Domagoj Bradarić | D | 11 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Abdou Harroui | M | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Jean Daniel Akpa-Akpro | M | 29 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amin Sarr | F | 29 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ioan Vermesan | F | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |