Inter Miami vs New England Revolution
Match recap
Inter Miami and New England Revolution drew 1–1 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Berterame scored for Inter Miami; Gil replied for New England Revolution. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 3.00 for Inter Miami versus 1.54 for New England Revolution.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
4-2 Inter Miami win
Actual
1–1
Outcome probability
Inter Miami and New England Revolution recently played out a 1-1 draw, but the upcoming fixture promises more fireworks. Both teams have shown attacking intent, but the prediction leans towards a high-scoring home win for Inter Miami.
Match factors
Messi-Suárez-Berterame synergy fuels Inter Miami attack
Messi's 23 goals and Suárez's 14, combined with Berterame's link-up, create a potent front line.
Inter Miami's strong home scoring form
Inter Miami averages 2.79 goals per home game, above league average, supporting predicted 4 goals.
De Paul's recent assist surge at home
De Paul has 3 assists in last 3 home games, enhancing Inter Miami's creative threat.
New England missing key midfielder Yusuf
Yusuf's absence reduces New England's midfield creativity and goal threat, impacting attack.
New England's Gil remains key scoring threat
Gil leads New England with 12 goals and consistent starts, vital for their goal output.
The context
This match is part of the 2026 regular season, round 10. Inter Miami have demonstrated strong home form, while New England Revolution continue to rely on key players like Carles Gil for goals. The previous meeting ended in a stalemate, setting the stage for a more decisive result this time.
Key insights
L. Messi
Inter Miami
Leads team scoring with 23 goals and tops assists with 11, driving Inter Miami's potent attack.
Major League Soccer 26/2723 goals and 11 assists in 25 apps
L. Suárez
Inter Miami
Prolific home scorer with 14 goals, forming a lethal partnership with Messi.
Major League Soccer 26/2714 goals in 24 apps
R. De Paul
Inter Miami
Recent assist surge at home with 3 assists in last 3 home games boosts creative threat.
Major League Soccer 26/279 assists in 23 apps, 3 assists in last 3 home games
Carles Gil
New England Revolution
Top scorer with 12 goals, vital for New England's attacking output despite team struggles.
Major League Soccer 26/2712 goals in 28 apps
- A
A. Yusuf
New England Revolution
His absence due to injury reduces New England's midfield creativity and goal threat.
Major League Soccer 26/275 goals this season
Analysis
Inter Miami's attack, led by the lethal combination of Messi and Suárez, is expected to be too much for New England's defence. Messi's 23 goals and Suárez's 14 this season highlight their scoring threat, supported by De Paul's recent assist surge at home. New England's Carles Gil remains a key offensive outlet, but the absence of midfielder Yusuf weakens their creativity. The predicted 4-2 scoreline reflects an open, attacking game with Inter Miami capitalising on their home advantage.
Key facts
- 1.Inter Miami have won 7 of 11 head-to-head matches against New England Revolution.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 3.9 goals, indicating open games between these sides.
- 3.Germán Berterame and Carles Gil both scored in the recent 1-1 draw.
- 4.Inter Miami average 2.79 goals per home game this season.
- 5.Messi leads Inter Miami with 23 goals and 11 assists this season.
- 6.New England's Carles Gil is their top scorer with 12 goals this season.
- 7.New England's key midfielder Yusuf is out injured, impacting their creativity.
Prediction
We anticipate Inter Miami to clinch a 4-2 victory, with a halftime score of 2-1. The home side's offensive firepower and recent form suggest they will outscore New England Revolution in this encounter, making for an entertaining match with plenty of goals.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Inter Miami
Away — New England Revolution
The verdict
Expect a thrilling encounter where Inter Miami's attacking trio will shine, overcoming New England Revolution's efforts. The predicted 4-2 scoreline promises goals and excitement, with Inter Miami taking the spoils at home.
Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Allen
Feingold
Gil
Assist: Turgeman
Allende
Yellow Card
Ruíz
Yellow Card
Ruíz
Luján
Yow
Berterame
Mura
Turgeman
Yusuf
Micael
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Inter Miami
3-4-3Starting XI
- 2G. LujánD
- 4F. MuraM
- 7R. De PaulM
- 9L. SuárezF
- 10L. MessiF
- 16MicaelD
- 19G. BerterameF
- 32N. AllenM
- 37M. FalcónD
- 41D. RuízM
- 97D. St. ClairG
Substitutes
- 17I. FrayD
- 20S. MoralesM
- 21T. AllendeF
- 34R. Ríos NovoG
- 56Daniel PinterF
- 59P. PlambeckM
- 70D. SumallaM
- 76Ezequiel Abadia-RedaD
- 88A. ShawM
New England Revolution
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2M. FofanaD
- 7G. YowF
- 10Carles GilM
- 11D. TurgemanF
- 12I. FeingoldD
- 21B. RainesM
- 22E. KohlerD
- 23W. SandsD
- 25P. MillerF
- 30M. TurnerG
- 80A. YusufM
Substitutes
- 4T. BeasonD
- 14J. YueillM
- 17Marcos Zambrano-DelgadoF
- 33D. ParisianG
- 35C. OliveiraM
- 38Eric KleinM
- 41L. LangoniF
- 77D. FagundezM
- 88A. FarrellD
Inter Miami
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lionel Messi(C) | F | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1/4 |
| Rodrigo De Paul | M | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 0/1 |
| Germán Berterame | F | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 3 | — |
| Dayne St. Clair | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Suárez | F | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Micael | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Luján | D | 69 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maximiliano Falcón | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Ruíz | M | 69 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Noah Allen | M | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Facundo Mura | M | 76 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Daniel Sumalla | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexander Shaw | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Pinter | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Morales | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rocco Ríos Novo | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Preston Plambeck | M | 21 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Ezequiel Abadia-Reda | D | 14 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ian Fray | D | 21 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Tadeo Allende | F | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
New England Revolution
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Turner | G | 90 | 9.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carles Gil(C) | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/6 |
| Brooklyn Raines | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Alhassan Yusuf | M | 89 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Peyton Miller | F | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Dor Turgeman | F | 86 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Ilay Feingold | D | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Mamadou Fofana | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Griffin Yow | F | 71 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| William Sands | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ethan Kohler | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Eric Klein | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Zambrano | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristiano Oliveira | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrew Farrell | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Fagúndez | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Donovan Parisian | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tanner Beason | D | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Langoni | F | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Jackson Yueill | M | 19 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Inter Miami vs New England Revolution?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Inter Miami to win against New England Revolution.
- What score did Fipster predict for Inter Miami vs New England Revolution?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Inter Miami 4–2 New England Revolution.
- What were the win probabilities for Inter Miami vs New England Revolution?
- Fipster's model gave Inter Miami a 65% chance of winning, New England Revolution a 17% chance, and a 18% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 65% confidence — a medium-confidence call.