Inter Miami vs CF Montreal
Inter Miami steamroll CF Montreal
Messi shines with a hat-trick as Miami thrash Montreal 7-1.
Inter Miami delivered a dominant performance in Major League Soccer, overwhelming CF Montreal 7-1. Casemiro opened the scoring early, and despite a brief reply from F. Herbers, Miami capitalised on an own goal by L. Petrasso before the break. After the interval, Lionel Messi stole the show with a hat-trick, supported by goals from L. Suárez and A. Shaw. Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a Miami win was on the money, though the margin was far more emphatic than expected.
Outcome probability
Inter Miami and CF Montreal are set for a mouth-watering MLS regular season fixture that promises goals and drama. Both teams have shown attacking intent this season, setting the stage for a thrilling encounter.
Match factors
Messi's dual threat as scorer and assister
Messi leads Inter Miami with 13 goals and 8 assists, driving their attack effectively
Suárez's strong home scoring form
Suárez has 6 goals in last 10 home games, boosting Inter Miami's home attack
Owusu's recent scoring surge for CF Montreal
Owusu scored 4 goals in last 5 matches, showing good form despite team's struggles
No confirmed absences for either team
Both teams have full squads available, no confirmed outs affecting key players
The context
This is a regular season match in the 2026 MLS campaign, round 22. Historically, these sides have met 14 times with a fairly even split of wins, and their encounters tend to be goal-rich affairs, averaging over three goals per game.
Key insights
L. Messi
Inter Miami
Messi is the driving force behind Inter Miami's attack, leading with 13 goals and 8 assists this season, making him a dual threat.
Major League Soccer 26/2713 goals and 8 assists in 16 appearances (MLS 2026)
L. Suárez
Inter Miami
Suárez's excellent home form, with 6 goals in his last 10 home games, boosts Inter Miami's chances in this fixture.
Major League Soccer 26/276 goals in last 10 home games (MLS 2026)
P. Owusu
CF Montreal
Owusu's recent scoring surge, netting 4 goals in his last 5 matches, keeps CF Montreal competitive despite their struggles.
Major League Soccer 26/274 goals in last 5 matches (MLS 2026)
Analysis
Inter Miami boasts a potent attack led by Lionel Messi, who has netted 13 goals and provided 8 assists this season, making him the creative and scoring lynchpin. Luis Suárez complements him well, especially at home, with 6 goals in his last 10 home games. CF Montreal's main threat is Pat Owusu, who has been in good form recently with 4 goals in his last 5 matches. The prediction leans towards a home win but expects a close and high-scoring game, reflecting the attacking strengths and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.
Key facts
- 1.Inter Miami and CF Montreal have met 14 times: 6 wins for Inter Miami, 7 for CF Montreal, 1 draw.
- 2.Their head-to-head matches average 3.2 goals per game.
- 3.Lionel Messi leads Inter Miami with 13 goals and 8 assists this season.
- 4.Luis Suárez has scored 6 goals in his last 10 home games.
- 5.Pat Owusu has scored 4 goals in his last 5 matches for CF Montreal.
- 6.No confirmed absences for either team, both squads are at full strength.
- 7.The predicted full-time score is 4-3 in favour of Inter Miami.
Prediction
The forecast is a 4-3 victory for Inter Miami, suggesting a match where both teams find the net frequently. While the home side is favoured, the narrow margin and high scoreline indicate a fiercely competitive game that could swing either way until the final whistle.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Inter Miami
Away — CF Montreal
The verdict
Fans should prepare for an entertaining spectacle with plenty of goals and attacking flair. Inter Miami's firepower might just edge out CF Montreal, but expect a nail-biting finish in this MLS regular season showdown.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Fray
Yellow Card
Casemiro
Assist: Segovia
Herbers
Yellow Card
Herbers
Yellow Card
Petrasso (OG)
Messi
Piette
Herbers
Synchuk
Segovia
Suárez
Assist: Messi
Messi
Assist: De Paul
Neal
Unknown
Fray
Allen
Shaw
Messi
Match Statistics
Inter Miami
4-3-3Starting XI
- 5CasemiroD
- 7R. De PaulM
- 8T. SegoviaM
- 9L. SuárezF
- 10L. MessiF
- 17I. FrayD
- 19G. BerterameF
- 32N. AllenD
- 37M. FalcónD
- 42Y. BrightM
- 97D. St. ClairG
Substitutes
- 4F. MuraD
- 15F. CaicedoD
- 22D. AyalaM
- 34R. Ríos NovoG
- 54L. DelinoisF
- 56Daniel PinterF
- 59P. PlambeckM
- 76Ezequiel Abadia-RedaD
- 88A. ShawM
CF Montreal
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2J. NealD
- 4B. VeraD
- 6S. PietteM
- 8M. LongstaffM
- 9P. OwusuF
- 13L. PetrassoD
- 18H. SynchukF
- 21F. HerbersM
- 23N. StreitF
- 27D. BugajD
- 31T. GillierG
Substitutes
- 1S. BrezaG
- 5B. CraigD
- 7D. PereiraM
- 10A. SánchezF
- 14D. RíosF
- 16W. CarmonaM
- 17D. SealyM
- 22V. LoturiM
- 29O. EscobarF
Inter Miami
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lionel Messi(C) | F | 96 | 10.0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 1/2 |
| Casemiro | D | 96 | 8.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Luis Suárez | F | 96 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Dayne St. Clair | G | 96 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ian Fray | D | 86 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Germán Berterame | F | 96 | 7.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3/3 |
| Yannick Bright | M | 96 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Maximiliano Falcón | D | 96 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo De Paul | M | 96 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 5 | 1/1 |
| Noah Allen | D | 86 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Telasco Segovia | M | 76 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 3/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Fricio Caicedo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Preston Plambeck | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Pinter | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lovens Delinois | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rocco Ríos Novo | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Ayala | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexander Shaw | M | 20 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Ezequiel Abadia-Reda | D | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Mura | D | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
CF Montreal
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabian Herbers | M | 60 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
| Thomas Gillier | G | 96 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hennadii Synchuk | F | 59 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| Matthew Longstaff | M | 96 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Samuel Piette(C) | M | 59 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Streit | F | 84 | 6.2 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3/8 |
| Prince Owusu | F | 96 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/3 |
| Jalen Neal | D | 84 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Dawid Bugaj | D | 96 | 5.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Brayan Vera | D | 96 | 4.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Luca Petrasso | D | 96 | 4.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Olger Escobar | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Breza | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Victor Loturi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Rios | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Pereira | M | 37 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Alexis Sánchez | F | 36 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Dante Sealy | M | 37 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Brandan Craig | D | 12 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wikelman Carmona | M | 12 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Inter Miami vs CF Montreal?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Inter Miami to win against CF Montreal.
- What score did Fipster predict for Inter Miami vs CF Montreal?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Inter Miami 4–3 CF Montreal.
- What were the win probabilities for Inter Miami vs CF Montreal?
- Fipster's model gave Inter Miami a 35% chance of winning, CF Montreal a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.