Ilves vs Stjarnan
Ilves edge Stjarnan in marathon penalty shootout
A dramatic extra-time thriller saw Ilves triumph after a tense penalty shootout.
Ilves and Stjarnan battled to a 2-1 scoreline after extra time in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with J. Kilo and T. Miettunen netting for Ilves and an own goal from F. Krkalić aiding their cause. The match was ultimately decided in a gripping penalty shootout, where Ilves held their nerve to prevail. This result defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of an away win for Stjarnan, delivering a surprise for the books.
- First leg:
- Stjarnan 1 0 Ilves
- Aggregate:
- Stjarnan 1 1 Ilves (pens)
- Advances:
- Ilves
Analysis
As the 2nd Qualifying Round of competition 848 kicks off, Ilves and Stjarnan prepare to face off in what promises to be a tightly contested encounter. Both teams have shown glimpses of attacking prowess recently, setting the stage for an intriguing battle.
Ilves have played three matches in this competition so far, recording one win, one draw, and one loss, scoring three goals and conceding two. Stjarnan, on the other hand, boast a slightly better record with two wins and one draw, netting six goals while conceding three. Their previous head-to-head meeting saw Stjarnan come out on top, adding a bit of psychological edge to this fixture.
Stjarnan's attacking duo, G. Nökkvason and E. Atlason, have been in fine form, combining for multiple goals in recent matches and posing a significant threat to Ilves' defence. Ilves will rely heavily on midfielder J. Kanga, who has been a dual threat with goals and assists, especially at home. Despite Ilves' recent home scoring boost, Stjarnan's consistent offensive output and recent head-to-head success give them the tactical advantage in this clash.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards an away win for Stjarnan with a 2-1 scoreline. The away win probability edges out the home win and draw options, supported by Stjarnan's strong recent form and key players' performances. Expect a competitive match with Stjarnan just shading it in the end.
Outcome probability
Match factors
Stjarnan's attacking form is strong
Stjarnan has scored in all last 3 matches, showing consistent offensive threat.
Ilves' recent home scoring boost
Ilves scored 3 goals in last home match, indicating home advantage in attack.
Stjarnan's key attackers in form
Nökkvason and Atlason have strong recent scoring form, likely to challenge Ilves defense.
Ilves' Kanga is a dual threat
Kanga scored and assisted multiple goals recently, central to Ilves' attack.
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, no confirmed absences to affect tactics.
Key Takeaways
In summary, while Ilves have the home advantage and some attacking firepower, Stjarnan's momentum and clinical finishing are likely to secure them a narrow victory. Fans should brace for an entertaining encounter with goals on both sides before Stjarnan take the spoils.
- Ilves have played 3 matches in this competition (W1 D1 L1, GF 3 / GA 2).
- Stjarnan have played 3 matches in this competition (W2 D1 L0, GF 6 / GA 3).
- In their only head-to-head meeting, Stjarnan won against Ilves.
- Stjarnan's G. Nökkvason scored 2 goals in the last 3 matches.
- Ilves' J. Kanga scored 3 goals in the last home match.
- Prediction confidence for Stjarnan's win is moderate at 48%.
- Total cards predicted in the match are 4.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
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Ilves
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3M. RaleD
- 4Oliver PetterssonD
- 5S. VäisänenD
- 9T. HytönenF
- 12F. KrkalićG
- 13K. WalliusM
- 14A. PopovitchM
- 16T. MiettunenD
- 22O. MultalaM
- 28J. KiloM
- 30J. KangaM
Substitutes
- 1O. VirtanenG
- 10R. RiskiF
- 15L. Ala-MyllymäkiM
- 17S. BaranovM
- 19Goudouss BambaD
- 20O. TiitinenM
- 24V. KumpuD
- 25S. SuvanneD
- 31R. LeislahtiG
- 45E. TamminenF
Stjarnan
4-3-3Starting XI
- 3G. KjeldsenD
- 4Þ. ÞórissonD
- 5G. KristjánssonD
- 8J. GunnarssonM
- 11B. IngasonM
- 18G. NökkvasonM
- 22E. AtlasonF
- 23B. WarénM
Substitutes
- 1Darri Bergmann GylfasonG
- 6S. IngimarssonD
- 14B. HaukssonD
- 19A. LeifssonD
- 25C. AlexanderssonM
- 29A. HaukssonM
- 35Bjarki SaemundssonM
- 83Duro BeicG
- 94Á. VilhjálmssonF


