Ilves vs Stjarnan

UEFA Europa Conference League2nd Qualifying Round
After Penalties
10
HT: 00
Pen: 54
Ref: Mervan Bejtullahu, KosovoRatinan Stadion, Tampere (Tammerfors) · 16,820 cap
Fipster Pick
Away WinmediumMiss
Full-time storyUpset

Ilves edge Stjarnan in marathon penalty shootout

A dramatic extra-time thriller saw Ilves triumph after a tense penalty shootout.

Ilves and Stjarnan battled to a 2-1 scoreline after extra time in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with J. Kilo and T. Miettunen netting for Ilves and an own goal from F. Krkalić aiding their cause. The match was ultimately decided in a gripping penalty shootout, where Ilves held their nerve to prevail. This result defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of an away win for Stjarnan, delivering a surprise for the books.

Qualifying — two-legged tieLeg 2 of 2Decisive leg
First leg:
Stjarnan 1 0 Ilves
Aggregate:
Stjarnan 1 1 Ilves (pens)
Advances:
Ilves
FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Appropriate✗ Miss
Fipster's Pick
12
Final ResultAET · 5–4 pens
10
HT 0–0 · FT 1–0
41%Poor
F
OutcomeExact ScoreBTTSOver/Under 2.5Halftime
Fipster's self review30 Jul 2026

Analysis

As the 2nd Qualifying Round of competition 848 kicks off, Ilves and Stjarnan prepare to face off in what promises to be a tightly contested encounter. Both teams have shown glimpses of attacking prowess recently, setting the stage for an intriguing battle.

Ilves have played three matches in this competition so far, recording one win, one draw, and one loss, scoring three goals and conceding two. Stjarnan, on the other hand, boast a slightly better record with two wins and one draw, netting six goals while conceding three. Their previous head-to-head meeting saw Stjarnan come out on top, adding a bit of psychological edge to this fixture.

Stjarnan's attacking duo, G. Nökkvason and E. Atlason, have been in fine form, combining for multiple goals in recent matches and posing a significant threat to Ilves' defence. Ilves will rely heavily on midfielder J. Kanga, who has been a dual threat with goals and assists, especially at home. Despite Ilves' recent home scoring boost, Stjarnan's consistent offensive output and recent head-to-head success give them the tactical advantage in this clash.


Prediction

The prediction leans towards an away win for Stjarnan with a 2-1 scoreline. The away win probability edges out the home win and draw options, supported by Stjarnan's strong recent form and key players' performances. Expect a competitive match with Stjarnan just shading it in the end.

Outcome probability

Ilves 26%Draw 26%Stjarnan 48%

Match factors

Form Momentumhigh

Stjarnan's attacking form is strong

Stjarnan has scored in all last 3 matches, showing consistent offensive threat.

Form Momentummedium

Ilves' recent home scoring boost

Ilves scored 3 goals in last home match, indicating home advantage in attack.

Tactical Advantagehigh

Stjarnan's key attackers in form

Nökkvason and Atlason have strong recent scoring form, likely to challenge Ilves defense.

Statistical Edgehigh

Ilves' Kanga is a dual threat

Kanga scored and assisted multiple goals recently, central to Ilves' attack.

Injury Impacthigh

No confirmed injuries for either team

Both teams have full squads available, no confirmed absences to affect tactics.

Key Takeaways

In summary, while Ilves have the home advantage and some attacking firepower, Stjarnan's momentum and clinical finishing are likely to secure them a narrow victory. Fans should brace for an entertaining encounter with goals on both sides before Stjarnan take the spoils.

  • Ilves have played 3 matches in this competition (W1 D1 L1, GF 3 / GA 2).
  • Stjarnan have played 3 matches in this competition (W2 D1 L0, GF 6 / GA 3).
  • In their only head-to-head meeting, Stjarnan won against Ilves.
  • Stjarnan's G. Nökkvason scored 2 goals in the last 3 matches.
  • Ilves' J. Kanga scored 3 goals in the last home match.
  • Prediction confidence for Stjarnan's win is moderate at 48%.
  • Total cards predicted in the match are 4.