Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split

UEFA Europa League1st Qualifying Round

Žilina

Full Time
2–1
HT: 0–1

HNK Hajduk Split

Ref: Horatiu Fesnic, RomaniaŠtadión Pod Dubňom, Žilina · 11,181 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinhighHit
Qualifying — two-legged tieLeg 2 of 2Decisive leg
First leg:
HNK Hajduk Split 2 0 Žilina
Aggregate:
HNK Hajduk Split 3 2 Žilina
Advances:
HNK Hajduk Split

Match recap

Žilina beat HNK Hajduk Split 2–1 in their UEFA Europa League fixture.

Fipster’s pre-match call

Predicted

3-0 Žilina win

Actual

2–1

✓ Called it

Outcome probability

Žilina 95%Draw 3%HNK Hajduk Split 2%

This first qualifying round clash between Žilina and HNK Hajduk Split promises an intriguing tactical battle, with Žilina's attacking trio in a 3-4-3 formation looking to exploit Hajduk's defensive vulnerabilities.

Match factors

Tactical Advantagehigh

Žilina's attacking trio in 3-4-3 formation

Žilina's 3-4-3 setup with Roginić and Iľko provides width and goal threat, exploiting Hajduk's defensive vulnerabilities.

Statistical Edgehigh

Žilina's strong home scoring form

Žilina averages 2 goals per home game, above league average, supporting predicted 3-0 win.

Form Momentumhigh

Hajduk Split's recent away defensive struggles

Hajduk concedes 3 goals per away game on average, indicating defensive issues against Žilina's attack.

Injury Impacthigh

No confirmed injuries for either team

Both teams have full squads available, so predicted outcome depends on form and tactics rather than absences.

The context

Žilina have played two matches in this competition so far, winning one and losing one, scoring two goals and conceding three. Hajduk Split have played four matches with two wins and two losses, scoring five and conceding six. The head-to-head record is evenly split with one win each and no draws.

Key insights

  • M

    M. Roginić

    Žilina

    Roginić is central to Žilina's attacking threat, scoring in their recent home win against Hajduk and boasting above league average goal involvement.

    UEFA Europa League 26/27Scored in recent home win vs Hajduk Split; key forward in 3-4-3 attack; above league average attacker goal involvement.

Analysis

Žilina's home scoring form is impressive, averaging two goals per home game, which bodes well for their attacking prospects. Their 3-4-3 setup, featuring key forward M. Roginić, provides width and goal threat that Hajduk's defence has struggled to contain, especially away from home where they concede an average of three goals per game. Both teams have full squads available, so the outcome hinges on tactical execution and form rather than injuries.

Key facts

  1. 1.Žilina have played 2 matches in this competition (W1 D0 L1, GF 2 / GA 3).
  2. 2.HNK Hajduk Split have played 4 matches in this competition (W2 D0 L2, GF 5 / GA 6).
  3. 3.In 2 head-to-head meetings, Žilina have won 1, HNK Hajduk Split have won 1, with 0 draws.
  4. 4.Žilina average 2 goals per home game in this competition.
  5. 5.Hajduk Split concede an average of 3 goals per away game in this competition.
  6. 6.Both teams have full squads available with no confirmed injuries.
  7. 7.Žilina employ a 3-4-3 formation providing width and attacking options.
  8. 8.M. Roginić is a key forward with above league average goal involvement.

Prediction

The most probable outcome is a home win for Žilina with a 3-0 scoreline. The halftime score is expected to be 1-0, consistent with the fulltime prediction. The match is also likely to see around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter.

The verdict

In summary, Žilina's attacking prowess and home advantage should see them comfortably through this tie. Hajduk Split will need to tighten their defence significantly to avoid a heavy defeat.

Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 11:13 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163

Prediction Q&A

Who did Fipster predict to win Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Fipster's AI model predicted Žilina to win against HNK Hajduk Split.
What score did Fipster predict for Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Fipster predicted a final score of Žilina 3–0 HNK Hajduk Split.
What were the win probabilities for Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Fipster's model gave Žilina a 95% chance of winning, HNK Hajduk Split a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.
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