Iceland vs Estonia
Estonia snatches draw in Reykjavik
Iceland's early strike undone as Estonia fight back for a share of the spoils.
Iceland looked set to take the points after A. Guðjohnsen's first-half goal, but Estonia responded well after the break. Despite a missed penalty by K. Palumets, M. Paskotši found the net to level the score at 1-1. This result defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a home win, proving the visitors tougher than expected.
Analysis
The upcoming fixture between Iceland and Estonia promises a closely fought contest. Both teams appear evenly matched, but the prediction leans towards a narrow victory for Iceland after a tight first half.
This match marks the opening round of the competition, with both Iceland and Estonia looking to start their campaigns on a positive note. Neither side has confirmed injury absences, suggesting full squads will be available to contest this encounter.
The prediction favours a home win by a 2-1 scoreline, reflecting a balanced match where the first half is expected to be goalless. The probabilities indicate a slight edge for Iceland, with the 2-1 outcome being the most likely home win scenario. The total cards predicted are four, hinting at a competitive but fair game.
Prediction
Expect a cautious first half with no goals, followed by a more open second half where Iceland manages to secure a 2-1 victory. The confidence level is moderate at 51%, suggesting a close match but with Iceland just edging ahead.
Outcome probability
Match factors
No injury absences expected
Both teams have no confirmed injuries, so full squads likely available for selection.
Balanced scoring probabilities
Predicted scoreline probabilities show a close match with multiple score outcomes likely, indicating balanced attacking potential.
Limited recent form data
Insufficient match history and missing recent form data limit confidence in player form assessments.
Key Takeaways
In summary, this fixture should provide an entertaining battle with Iceland narrowly overcoming Estonia. Fans can anticipate a tight game with moments of quality deciding the outcome in the latter stages.
- The predicted final score is 2-1 in favour of Iceland.
- Halftime score is expected to be 0-0, indicating a tight first half.
- Total cards predicted in the match are four, suggesting a competitive game.
- Both teams have no confirmed injuries, so full squads are likely available.
- The confidence in the home win prediction is moderate at 51%.
- Scoreline probabilities show a balanced attacking potential between the teams.
- The match is the opening round of the competition for both sides.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Iceland
Away — Estonia
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
FIFA world ranking
Guðmundsson
Guðjohnsen
Assist: Haraldsson
Palumets
Missed Penalty
Mets
Yellow Card
Ainsalu
Paskotši
Assist: Peetson
Bergmann Jóhannesson
Þorsteinsson
Karel Mustmaa
Peetson
Yellow Card
Þórðarson
Yellow Card
Ellertsson
Guðjohnsen
Käit
Match Statistics
Iceland
4-4-2Starting XI
- 3D. GrétarssonD
- 4V. PálssonD
- 7H. HaraldssonM
- 8Í. Bergmann JóhannessonM
- 9O. ÓskarssonF
- 11A. GuðmundssonM
- 12H. ValdimarssonG
- 16S. ÞórðarsonD
- 19M. EllertssonD
- 20J. ÞorsteinssonM
- 22A. GuðjohnsenF
Substitutes
- 1R. RúnarssonG
- 2L. TómassonD
- 5Í. ÞorvaldssonF
- 6A. BaldurssonM
- 10G. SigurðssonM
- 13A. EinarssonG
- 14B. WillumssonF
- 15K. IngasonF
- 17A. GunnarssonM
- 18M. AndersonM
- 21A. SigurðssonM
- 23H. MagnússonD
Estonia
5-3-2Starting XI
- 1K. HeinG
- 2M. KuuskD
- 3M. PaskotšiD
- 4M. KäitM
- 6R. PeetsonD
- 9Karel MustmaaF
- 10K. PalumetsM
- 11M. AinsaluF
- 18K. MetsD
- 19M. Schjønning-LarsenD
- 20M. PoomM
Substitutes
- 5E. TõugjasD
- 7R. SaarmaM
- 8M. SoometsM
- 12M. IgonenG
- 13J. SalisteD
- 14P. KristalM
- 15M. SkvortsovM
- 16A. TammF
- 17M. MillerM
- 21M. MännilaanF
- 22K. VallnerG
- 23F. LiivakM
Iceland
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Guðjohnsen | F | 85 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| H. Valdimarsson | G | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Haraldsson | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson | M | 75 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| K. Ingason | F | 5 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| S. Þórðarson | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| V. Pálsson | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| D. Grétarsson | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Sigurðsson | M | 15 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| L. Tómasson | D | 6 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| O. Óskarsson | F | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| G. Sigurðsson | M | 15 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Í. Þorvaldsson | F | 60 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Ellertsson | D | 84 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| J. Þorsteinsson | M | 75 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/4 |
| A. Guðmundsson | M | 30 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Baldursson | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Gunnarsson | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Einarsson | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Rúnarsson | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Anderson | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Magnússon | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Willumsson | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Estonia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Hein | G | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Paskotši | D | 90 | 7.1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| M. Ainsalu | F | 61 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Mets | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Tamm | F | 12 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Kristal | M | 29 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Karel Mustmaa | F | 78 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| M. Poom | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| M. Soomets | M | 4 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Käit | M | 86 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| R. Peetson | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| M. Schjønning-Larsen | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Kuusk | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Palumets | M | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Männilaan | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Miller | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Igonen | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Saliste | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Vallner | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Tõugjas | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Saarma | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Skvortsov | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Liivak | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Iceland vs Estonia?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Iceland to win against Estonia.
- What score did Fipster predict for Iceland vs Estonia?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Iceland 2–1 Estonia.
- What were the win probabilities for Iceland vs Estonia?
- Fipster's model gave Iceland a 51% chance of winning, Estonia a 24% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 51% confidence — a medium-confidence call.