Hungary vs Georgia
Hungary edges Georgia with Kerkez strike
A solitary goal secures a narrow win for Hungary in the Nations League.
Hungary claimed a tight 1-0 victory over Georgia thanks to M. Kerkez's first-half goal at 35 minutes. The match was a close contest with no further goals to break the deadlock. Fipster had predicted a home win, albeit with a slightly higher scoreline, so the call was broadly on the money without overstating the margin.
Outcome probability
Hungary and Georgia face off in a League B fixture that promises a tight contest. Both teams have struggled to find the net in recent matches, setting the stage for a closely fought battle.
Match factors
Both teams lack recent goal scorers
Neither Hungary nor Georgia have players listed as top scorers, indicating low individual scoring form
Georgia's defensive solidity through Lochoshvili
Lochoshvili's high tackle and interception rates with 83% duel win rate provide Georgia a defensive edge
Orbán's passing and defensive reliability for Hungary
Orbán's above-average passing and defensive stats help Hungary maintain structure against Georgia's attack
Georgia's midfield creativity led by Kochorashvili
Kochorashvili's high passing accuracy and defensive work rate indicate good form and influence in midfield
Kvaratskhelia as Georgia's main attacking threat
Kvaratskhelia's high shot volume and involvement suggest he will be key to Georgia's offensive chances
The context
In this League B round 3 match, Hungary and Georgia both enter with identical records in the competition so far: no wins, one draw, and one loss each, with a single goal conceded and none scored. This parity suggests a balanced encounter with neither side having a clear upper hand in the standings.
Key insights
- L
L. Lochoshvili
Georgia
Lochoshvili's high tackle and interception rates with an 83% duel win rate provide Georgia a defensive edge.
UEFA Nations League 26/272 tackles and 2 interceptions in last match, 83% duel win rate
- W
W. Orbán
Hungary
Orbán's above-average passing and defensive stats help Hungary maintain structure against Georgia's attack.
UEFA Nations League 26/27Consistently high passes (92, 93) and solid defensive ratings
- G
G. Kochorashvili
Georgia
Kochorashvili's high passing accuracy and defensive work rate indicate good form and influence in midfield.
UEFA Nations League 26/2790% passing accuracy, 72 passes, 2 tackles and 2 interceptions in last match
- K
K. Kvaratskhelia
Georgia
Kvaratskhelia's high shot volume and involvement suggest he will be key to Georgia's offensive chances.
UEFA Nations League 26/274 shots and 41 passes in recent match
Analysis
The probabilities for this match are finely balanced, with a slight edge to Hungary for a home win at 33.5%, closely followed by an away win at 32%, and a draw at 29.5%. The most likely scoreline overall is a 1-1 draw, but the prediction leans towards a 2-1 victory for Hungary. Key players to watch include Hungary's defensive rock W. Orbán, whose passing and tackling provide stability, and Georgia's L. Lochoshvili, who leads their defensive efforts with impressive tackle and interception stats. Georgia's midfield creativity is spearheaded by G. Kochorashvili, while K. Kvaratskhelia remains their main attacking threat. Neither side has found the net frequently in this competition, indicating a match where defensive discipline will be crucial.
Key facts
- 1.Hungary and Georgia both have 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in this competition so far.
- 2.Neither team has scored a goal in the competition yet, conceding only one each.
- 3.Hungary's W. Orbán boasts high passing accuracy and defensive reliability.
- 4.Georgia's L. Lochoshvili leads with strong tackling and interceptions, winning 83% of duels.
- 5.Georgia's K. Kvaratskhelia is their main attacking threat with multiple shots per game.
- 6.The most probable scoreline overall is a 1-1 draw, but 2-1 to Hungary is the chosen prediction.
- 7.The match is part of League B round 3, indicating early competition stages.
Prediction
Expect Hungary to clinch a narrow 2-1 win in this closely matched League B fixture. The home side's defensive solidity and slight edge in attack should be enough to overcome Georgia's resilient defence and midfield creativity.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Hungary
Away — Georgia
The verdict
While the match is finely balanced, Hungary's home advantage and defensive reliability give them the slight upper hand. Georgia will pose challenges, especially through Kvaratskhelia, but ultimately Hungary are predicted to take the points in a tight 2-1 finish.
Prediction generated 28 Sep 2026, 20:42 UTC · Fipster Model v1.162
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
FIFA world ranking
Kiteishvili
Yellow Card
Kerkez
Assist: Dániel Lukács
Yegoian
Kiteishvili
Tóth
Tóth
Mikautadze
Tsitaishvili
Kochorashvili
Yellow Card
Nagy
Kerkez
Yellow Card
Chakvetadze
Dániel Lukács
Szoboszlai
Szücs
Yellow Card
Vitális
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Hungary
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1B. TóthG
- 2A. OsváthD
- 3M. CsingerD
- 6W. OrbánD
- 10D. SzoboszlaiM
- 11M. KerkezD
- 13A. SchäferM
- 16Dániel LukácsF
- 18Z. NagyM
- 20M. TóthM
- 21A. TóthM
Substitutes
- 4B. VárkonyiD
- 5A. MarkgráfD
- 7Tamás SzücsM
- 8M. VitálisM
- 9D. BárányF
- 12Bence Gundel-TakacsG
- 14R.TóthM
- 15Á. CsongvaiM
- 17Gabor JurekF
- 19J. SzalaiF
- 22Á. PécsiG
- 23Áron DoktoricsM
Georgia
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 1G. MamardashviliG
- 2O. KakabadzeM
- 3L. DvaliD
- 4L. LochoshviliD
- 5S. GoglichidzeD
- 7K. KvaratskheliaF
- 8O. KiteishviliM
- 10G. ChakvetadzeM
- 18I. YegoianM
- 19G. TsitaishviliM
- 22G. MikautadzeF
Substitutes
- 6G. KochorashviliM
- 9Z. DavitashviliF
- 11B. ZivzivadzeF
- 12S. LobzhanidzeF
- 13D. KereselidzeG
- 14A. MekvabishviliM
- 15G. MamageishviliM
- 16G. AbuashviliF
- 17G. KvernadzeF
- 20S. SazonovD
- 21J. TabidzeD
- 23L. GugeshashviliG
Hungary
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kerkez | D | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1/3 |
| M. Csinger | D | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| W. Orbán | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| D. Szoboszlai | M | 80 | 7.6 | — | — | 5 | 2 | 8 | 5/5 |
| D. Lukacs | F | 80 | 7.4 | — | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0/2 |
| A. Tóth | M | 57 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| A. Schäfer | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| R.Tóth | M | 21 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Osváth | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| B. Tóth | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Vitális | M | 33 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| G. Jurek | F | 10 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Tamás Szücs | M | 10 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Nagy | M | 69 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| M. Tóth | M | 57 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| D. Bárány | F | 33 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Gundel-Takács | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Á. Doktorics | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Várkonyi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Á. Csongvai | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Szalai | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Á. Pécsi | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Markgráf | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Georgia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Mamardashvili | G | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Dvali | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| K. Kvaratskhelia | F | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 4/5 |
| O. Kiteishvili | M | 50 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| I. Yegoian | M | 46 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| A. Mekvabishvili | M | 40 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Davitashvili | F | 14 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| B. Zivzivadze | F | 27 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| L. Lochoshvili | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| G. Chakvetadze | M | 76 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/4 |
| G. Tsitaishvili | M | 63 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| O. Kakabadze | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| G. Kvernadze | F | 27 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| G. Kochorashvili | M | 44 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Mikautadze | F | 63 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| S. Goglichidze | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Kereselidze | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Lobzhanidze | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Gugeshashvili | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Tabidze | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Abuashvili | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Sazonov | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Mamageishvili | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Hungary vs Georgia?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Hungary to win against Georgia.
- What score did Fipster predict for Hungary vs Georgia?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Hungary 2–1 Georgia.
- What were the win probabilities for Hungary vs Georgia?
- Fipster's model gave Hungary a 35% chance of winning, Georgia a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.