Hull City vs Norwich

ChampionshipMatchweek 46
Full Time
21
HT: 11
Ref: J. SmithThe MKM Stadium, Hull · 25,504 cap
Fipster Pick
DrawlowMiss

Match recap

Hull City beat Norwich 2–1 in their Championship fixture. McBurnie and McBurnie scored for Hull City; Touré replied for Norwich. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.82 for Hull City versus 0.97 for Norwich. Hull City sit 6th in the Championship table while Norwich are 9th.

FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Appropriate✗ Miss
Fipster's Pick
11
HT 1–1
Final Result
21
HT 1–1
30%Poor
F
OutcomeExact ScoreBTTSOver/Under 2.5Halftime
Fipster's self review5 Jun 2026

Analysis

Hull City welcome Norwich for what promises to be a closely fought contest. Both sides have shown resilience this season, and with the stakes high, a tight game is on the cards.

Hull City sit 6th in the league with 73 points, just edging Norwich who are 9th with 65 points. Their head-to-head record is almost neck and neck, making this fixture a classic battle of equals.

Hull's Oliver McBurnie leads the charge with 10 goals in his last 10 games, supported creatively by Matt Crooks. Norwich rely on Mohamed Touré's goal-scoring streak and Liam Millar's pace on the wing. Both teams have full squads, so expect tactical discipline and few surprises.


Prediction

Given the balanced head-to-head stats and similar league form, a 1-1 draw looks the most probable outcome. The halftime score is also expected to be 1-1, with a modest total of three cards in the match.

Outcome probability

Hull City 33%Draw 35%Norwich 32%

Key Insights

Tactical Advantagehigh

Hull City's attacking focal point in McBurnie

McBurnie's recent goal form and central striker role give Hull a clear scoring outlet.

Statistical Edgehigh

Crooks' creative influence for Hull City

Crooks' assist rate and key passes exceed league average, boosting Hull's chance creation.

Form Momentumhigh

Touré's scoring streak for Norwich

Touré's recent goal surge provides Norwich with a reliable attacking threat.

Tactical Advantagemedium

Millar's pace and crossing threat on the wing

Millar's speed and crossing can exploit Norwich's defensive vulnerabilities on flanks.

Injury Impacthigh

No significant injuries reported for either team

Both teams have full squads available, maintaining tactical stability.

Key Takeaways

In summary, neither side holds a decisive advantage, and fans should brace for a competitive, evenly matched game ending in a draw. Both teams will take a point and look forward to their next fixtures.

  • Hull City rank 6th with 73 points from 46 games (W21 D10 L15)
  • Norwich rank 9th with 65 points from 46 games (W19 D8 L19)
  • In 14 head-to-head meetings, Hull City have won 5, Norwich 6, with 3 draws
  • Head-to-head matches average 2.9 total goals (18 for Hull City, 22 for Norwich)
  • Oliver McBurnie scored 10 goals in last 10 games for Hull City
  • Mohamed Touré scored 8 goals in last 10 games for Norwich
  • Matt Crooks has 5 assists in last 10 games, boosting Hull's creativity
  • No significant injuries reported for either team, both squads at full strength

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

HomeHull City

Oliver McBurnie

Oliver McBurnie

F

Hull City

Total Goals
17
League avg: 1.38
40 played
34 starts
3090 mins
~77 mins/game
Joe Gelhardt

Joe Gelhardt

M

Hull City

Total Goals
15
League avg: 1.38
41 played
36 starts
2912 mins
~71 mins/game
Kyle Joseph

Kyle Joseph

F

Hull City

Total Goals
8
League avg: 1.38
46 played
28 starts
2399 mins
~52 mins/game

AwayNorwich

Total Goals
9
League avg: 1.38
11 played
7 starts
595 mins
~54 mins/game