Hull City vs Millwall
Match recap
Hull City and Millwall drew 0–0 in their Championship fixture. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.46 for Hull City versus 0.61 for Millwall. Hull City sit 6th in the Championship table while Millwall are 3rd.
Analysis
Hull City host Millwall in a semi-final clash that promises a competitive and closely fought encounter. Both teams have shown resilience and attacking flair this season, setting the stage for an entertaining match.
Hull City and Millwall have a well-balanced head-to-head record, with 7 draws in 20 meetings. Millwall currently sit higher in the league standings with a better goal difference, but Hull's home form and attacking trio provide a solid challenge.
The predicted 1-1 draw aligns with the teams' history and current form. Hull's Oliver McBurnie leads the scoring charts with 10 goals in 15 games, supported by Matt Crooks' creativity. Millwall's Josh Coburn and Femi Azeez offer a threat on the break. Both defences have their strengths, suggesting goals at both ends but no clear winner.
Prediction
We foresee a 0-0 halftime stalemate breaking into a 1-1 fulltime draw, with four cards likely as tensions rise in this semi-final. The confidence in this prediction stands at 35%, reflecting the tight nature of the contest.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Hull City's attacking trio in form
McBurnie, Crooks, and Millar show strong recent form and synergy, posing a threat to Millwall's defense.
Millwall's defensive solidity vs Hull's attack
Millwall concedes fewer goals on average but faces a high-scoring Hull attack, creating a balanced contest.
Hull City's home scoring streak
Hull has scored in 4 of last 5 home games, indicating positive attacking momentum at home.
Millwall's creative midfield presence
Azeez and Neghli provide creativity and assists, potentially unlocking Hull's defense.
No significant injuries reported
Both teams have full squads available, so no major impact from absences expected.
Key Takeaways
In summary, expect a balanced and spirited semi-final where neither Hull City nor Millwall can claim supremacy. The 1-1 draw seems the fairest outcome, setting up an intriguing conclusion to this cup run.
- Hull City and Millwall have drawn 7 of their 20 head-to-head matches.
- Average goals per head-to-head match is 2.0, matching the predicted 1-1 scoreline.
- Millwall rank 3rd with 83 points; Hull City are 6th with 73 points this season.
- Millwall have a superior goal difference by 11 goals compared to Hull City.
- Oliver McBurnie has scored 10 goals in his last 15 games for Hull City.
- Matt Crooks has provided 5 assists in the last 15 games, key to Hull's attack.
- Josh Coburn leads Millwall's scoring with 6 goals in recent matches.
- Both teams have full squads available with no significant injuries reported.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Hull City
Away — Millwall
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
De Norre
Yellow Card
Millar
Belloumi
Gelhardt
Ballo
De Norre
Norton Sturge
Coburn
Slater
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | +52 | 95 |
| 2 |  Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | +33 | 84 |
| 3 |  Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | +15 | 83 |
| 4 |  Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | +26 | 80 |
| 5 |  Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | +25 | 80 |
| 6 |  Hull City | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | +4 | 73 |
| 7 |  Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | +4 | 71 |
Match Statistics
Hull City
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1I. PandurG
- 2L. CoyleD
- 3R. GilesD
- 4C. HughesD
- 7L. MillarM
- 9O. McBurnieF
- 10M. BelloumiM
- 15J. EganD
- 21J. GelhardtM
- 25M. CrooksM
- 27R. SlaterM
Substitutes
- 5J. LundstramM
- 6S. AjayiD
- 12D. PhillipsG
- 13Y. HirakawaF
- 22K. JosephF
- 24D. GyabiM
- 26K. DowellM
- 36L. KoumasF
- 37P. McNairD
Millwall
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3Zak Norton SturgeD
- 4T. CramaD
- 5J. CooperD
- 7T. BalloM
- 10C. NeghliM
- 11O. AzeezM
- 13A. PattersonG
- 18R. LeonardD
- 19J. CoburnF
- 24C. De NorreM
- 49D. Mazou-SackoM
Substitutes
- 2D. McNamaraD
- 8B. MitchellM
- 9M. IvanovićF
- 14A. DoughtyM
- 15M. CrocombeG
- 17M. LangstaffF
- 22T. WatsonF
- 25L. CundleM
- 67B. BannanM
Hull City
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Egan | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lewie Coyle(C) | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Matt Crooks | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Ivor Pandur | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Charlie Hughes | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Ryan Giles | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Mohamed Belloumi | M | 70 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 3/4 |
| Liam Millar | M | 69 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Joe Gelhardt | M | 74 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/6 |
| Regan Slater | M | 88 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Oli McBurnie | F | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| John Lundstram | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lewis Koumas | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Darko Gyabi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dillon Phillips | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paddy McNair | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Semi Ajayi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yu Hirakawa | F | 21 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Kieran Dowell | M | 16 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Joseph | F | 20 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
Millwall
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Cooper(C) | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Zak Sturge | D | 82 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
| Ryan Leonard | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Derek Mazou-Sacko | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Tristan Crama | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Anthony Patterson | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Femi Azeez | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/4 |
| Camiel Neghli | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| Casper De Norre | M | 74 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Josh Coburn | F | 86 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Thierno Ballo | M | 74 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Max Crocombe | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Danny McNamara | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Billy Mitchell | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Macaulay Langstaff | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tom Watson | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Barry Bannan | M | 16 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alfie Doughty | M | 8 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luke Cundle | M | 16 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Mihailo Ivanović | F | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |