Hull City vs Middlesbrough
Match recap
Hull City beat Middlesbrough 1–0 in their Championship fixture. McBurnie scored for Hull City. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.71 for Hull City versus 0.78 for Middlesbrough. Hull City sit 6th in the Championship table while Middlesbrough are 5th.
Analysis
Hull City welcome Middlesbrough for a final showdown that promises a balanced contest. Both sides have shown resilience this season, setting the stage for a tight match with goals on both ends.
Middlesbrough currently sit 5th with 80 points, just ahead of Hull City in 6th with 73 points. Their head-to-head history is competitive, with Middlesbrough holding a slight edge in wins. The fixture is crucial as both teams aim to finish strong in the league.
Hull City's Oliver McBurnie leads the charge with 10 goals in his last 10 games, supported ably by Kyle Joseph's recent form. Middlesbrough's defensive resilience away from home suggests Hull's scoring chances might be limited. The midfield creativity from Liam Millar and defensive leadership from Lewie Coyle add layers to Hull's approach, while Middlesbrough's solid record hints at a shared spoils scenario.
Prediction
The most probable outcome is a 1-1 draw, with a goalless first half giving way to goals in the second. Expect four cards in total, reflecting the competitive nature of the match. Confidence in this prediction stands at 35%, acknowledging the evenly matched sides.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
McBurnie-Joseph synergy
McBurnie's scoring form combined with Joseph's assists creates a potent attacking duo for Hull.
Hull's strong home scoring
Hull averages 1.5 goals at home with consistent scoring streaks, supporting predicted goals.
Millar's creative form
Millar's recent assist and key pass stats indicate strong creative form to unlock Middlesbrough defense.
Coyle's dual role impact
Coyle's defensive solidity and assist potential provide Hull with balance and attacking width.
Middlesbrough's defensive resilience
Middlesbrough concedes fewer goals away, suggesting Hull's scoring may be limited, supporting draw.
Key Takeaways
In summary, this fixture is set to be a tactical battle with both teams cancelling each other out. Fans can anticipate a fair share of action and a result that keeps both sides in contention as the season wraps up.
- Middlesbrough lead head-to-head with 10 wins to Hull City's 7 in 20 matches.
- Average goals per head-to-head match is 2.9, indicating moderate scoring.
- Middlesbrough rank 5th with 80 points; Hull City 6th with 73 points.
- Oliver McBurnie has scored 10 goals in his last 10 games for Hull City.
- Kyle Joseph has contributed 5 goals and 3 assists in the last 15 games.
- Hull City average 1.5 goals per home game this season.
- Middlesbrough concede fewer goals away, showing defensive strength.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Hull City
Away — Middlesbrough
No standout top scorers flagged for Middlesbrough
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Millar
Strelec
Giles
Belloumi
McGree
McBurnie
Yellow Card
Targett
Browne
Slater
Coyle
McBurnie
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | +52 | 95 |
| 4 |  Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | +26 | 80 |
| 5 |  Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | +25 | 80 |
| 6 |  Hull City | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | +4 | 73 |
| 7 |  Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | +4 | 71 |
Match Statistics
Hull City
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1I. PandurG
- 2L. CoyleM
- 3R. GilesM
- 4C. HughesD
- 6S. AjayiD
- 7L. MillarF
- 9O. McBurnieF
- 10M. BelloumiF
- 15J. EganD
- 25M. CrooksM
- 27R. SlaterM
Substitutes
- 5J. LundstramM
- 12D. PhillipsG
- 13Y. HirakawaF
- 18C. DramehD
- 20A. HadžiahmetovićM
- 21J. GelhardtF
- 26K. DowellM
- 36L. KoumasF
- 37P. McNairD
Middlesbrough
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 2C. BrittainM
- 3M. TargettM
- 6D. FryD
- 8R. McGreeF
- 11M. WhittakerF
- 12L. AylingD
- 13D. StrelecF
- 16A. BrowneM
- 18A. MorrisM
- 29A. MalandaD
- 31S. BrynnG
Substitutes
- 7H. HackneyM
- 14A. GilbertF
- 22S. SilveraF
- 23Leo CastledineM
- 25G. EdmundsonD
- 27S. HansenF
- 32J. WildsmithG
- 44C. IbehF
- 45J. SarmientoM
Hull City
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oli McBurnie | F | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Lewie Coyle(C) | M | 89 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Ryan Giles | M | 76 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Matt Crooks | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| John Egan | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Charlie Hughes | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Semi Ajayi | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Regan Slater | M | 89 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Mohamed Belloumi | F | 76 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4/5 |
| Liam Millar | F | 63 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Ivor Pandur | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Amir Hadžiahmetović | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lewis Koumas | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kieran Dowell | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| John Lundstram | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paddy McNair | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dillon Phillips | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yu Hirakawa | F | 14 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Cody Drameh | D | 14 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Joe Gelhardt | F | 27 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Middlesbrough
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley McGree | F | 76 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3/3 |
| Aidan Morris | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Luke Ayling | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Callum Brittain | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Adilson Malanda | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Alan Browne | M | 89 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Dael Fry(C) | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Matt Targett | M | 89 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Solomon Brynn | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Strelec | F | 70 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Morgan Whittaker | F | 90 | 5.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Samuel Silvera | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexander Gilbert | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| George Edmundson | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joe Wildsmith | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leo Castledine | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hayden Hackney | M | 20 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Jeremy Sarmiento | M | 8 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sontje Hansen | F | 14 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cruz Ibeh | F | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |