Hull City vs Everton
Hull City and Everton share spoils in lively draw
A four-goal thriller sees both sides trade blows after the break.
Hull City and Everton served up an entertaining 2-2 draw in the Premier League, with J. Gelhardt and M. Belloumi netting for the hosts either side of Everton's K. Dewsbury-Hall and T. Barry strikes. The goals came after the break, ensuring a lively contest that neither side could claim outright. Fipster's prediction of a draw landed, albeit expecting a quieter affair than this goal fest.
Outcome probability
Hull City and Everton face off in what promises to be a tightly contested encounter. Both teams have shown solid defensive organisation this season, setting the stage for a match where chances might be at a premium.
Match factors
Hull City missing key defenders
Hull City confirmed out players include key defenders N. Mendy and C. Hughes, weakening defensive depth
Strong defensive stats for Hull City's backline
J. Egan and S. Ajayi show above league average duel win rates and passing accuracy, aiding defensive solidity
M. Belloumi's recent influence
Belloumi has multiple assists and high defensive work rate recently, boosting Hull City's midfield effectiveness
Everton's defensive stability with Tarkowski
Tarkowski's high duel win rate and passing accuracy provide Everton a defensive edge against Hull's attack
Dewsbury-Hall's creative form for Everton
Dewsbury-Hall's recent goal and assist contributions highlight his role as a key playmaker
The context
Hull City currently sit fifth in the league with 8 points from 4 games, boasting an unbeaten record of two wins and two draws. Everton, nicknamed the Toffees, are ninth with 6 points from 4 games, having drawn three times and won once. Hull's slight edge in the standings and points per game suggests a marginal advantage, but Everton's resilience cannot be overlooked.
Key insights
- M
M. Belloumi
Hull City
Belloumi combines a high defensive work rate with creative contributions, making him pivotal in midfield.
Premier League 26/272.75 tackles per game, multiple assists recently
- J
J. Egan
Hull City
Egan's strong duel win rate and consistent full-match appearances underpin Hull's defensive solidity.
Premier League 26/2764% duel win rate, full 90 minutes in recent matches
- S
S. Ajayi
Hull City
Ajayi's passing accuracy and recent goal threat add both defensive reliability and occasional offensive spark.
Premier League 26/2784% passing accuracy, recent goal scored
- J
J. Tarkowski
Everton
Tarkowski's exceptional duel success and passing accuracy provide Everton with a defensive edge.
Premier League 26/2781% duel win rate, 82% passing accuracy
- K
K. Dewsbury-Hall
Everton
Dewsbury-Hall's recent goal and assist contributions highlight his creative importance for Everton.
Premier League 26/27High passing accuracy (86%), recent goal and assist
Analysis
Defensively, Hull City have been impressive, with key defenders J. Egan and S. Ajayi showing above-average duel win rates and passing accuracy, contributing to their solid backline. Midfielder M. Belloumi has been a standout performer, combining defensive grit with creative assists. Everton's defensive stability is anchored by J. Tarkowski, whose duel success and passing accuracy provide a sturdy barrier. Meanwhile, K. Dewsbury-Hall offers creative spark for the Toffees, contributing goals and assists recently. Both sides have missing defensive personnel, which could temper attacking ambitions and favour a cautious approach.
Key facts
- 1.Hull City are 5th in the league with 8 points from 4 games (W2 D2 L0).
- 2.Everton are 9th with 6 points from 4 games (W1 D3 L0).
- 3.Hull City average 2.00 points per game, edging Everton's 1.50.
- 4.Hull City's J. Egan has a 64% duel win rate, above league average for defenders.
- 5.Everton's J. Tarkowski boasts an 81% duel win rate and 82% passing accuracy.
- 6.M. Belloumi leads Hull City midfield with 2.75 tackles per game and multiple recent assists.
- 7.K. Dewsbury-Hall has contributed goals and assists recently for Everton.
- 8.Hull City are missing key defenders N. Mendy and C. Hughes, impacting defensive depth.
Prediction
Given the defensive strengths and the balanced league positions, a 0-0 draw appears the most likely outcome. The match is expected to be a tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances, reflected in the prediction of a goalless halftime and fulltime scoreline. A total of three cards is anticipated, suggesting a competitive but controlled contest.
The verdict
In summary, expect a disciplined and evenly matched game where neither side can find the breakthrough. Both Hull City and Everton will be content to take a point from this encounter, maintaining their solid starts to the season.
Prediction generated 19 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTC · Fipster Model v1.158
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Crooks
Yellow Card
McBurnie
Yellow Card
Goal cancelled
Gelhardt
Assist: Thomas
Dewsbury-Hall
Assist: Maitland-Niles
Giles
Gelhardt
Crooks
Johnson
Barry
Assist: Dewsbury-Hall
Belloumi
Assist: Stroud
Slater
Maitland-Niles
Armstrong
Thomas
Barry
Grealish
Match Statistics
Hull City
5-4-1Starting XI
- 2L. CoyleD
- 3R. GilesD
- 6S. AjayiD
- 7S. ThomasM
- 9O. McBurnieF
- 11J. GelhardtM
- 15J. EganD
- 19K. TzolakisG
- 25M. CrooksM
- 27R. SlaterM
- 32N. MendyD
Substitutes
- 5H. MoritaM
- 10M. BelloumiF
- 12D. PhillipsG
- 17P. McNairD
- 18B. Norton-CuffyD
- 21E. StroudM
- 22L. HerringtonD
- 42T. IroegbunamM
- 47R. VazF
Everton
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1J. PickfordG
- 2A. Maitland-NilesD
- 4J. BranthwaiteD
- 5M. KeaneD
- 6J. TarkowskiD
- 8K. Dewsbury-HallM
- 10J. GrealishM
- 11T. BarryF
- 22B. JohnsonM
- 37J. GarnerM
- 45H. ArmstrongM
Substitutes
- 12M. TraversG
- 15J. O'BrienD
- 19Tyrique GeorgeF
- 20T. DiblingF
- 23C. NørgaardM
- 24C. AlcarazM
- 30H. HackneyM
- 34M. RöhlM
- 58B. GrahamF
Hull City
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Belloumi | F | 26 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 3/4 |
| J. Gelhardt | M | 64 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 4 | 4 | — | 0/1 |
| S. Thomas | M | 86 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 4 | 1/2 |
| K. Tzolakis | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Egan | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| R. Vaz | F | 4 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Slater | M | 75 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Crooks | M | 65 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| O. McBurnie | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3/4 |
| S. Ajayi | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| R. Giles | D | 64 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| N. Mendy | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| H. Morita | M | 15 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Iroegbunam | M | 25 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Coyle | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| E. Stroud | M | 26 | 5.8 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| B. Norton-Cuffy | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. McNair | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Herrington | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Phillips | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Everton
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Dewsbury-Hall | M | 90 | 9.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1/3 |
| T. Barry | F | 86 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 5 | 3 | — | — |
| J. Garner | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| J. Tarkowski | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Keane | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Maitland-Niles | D | 78 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| J. Grealish | M | 86 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| J. Branthwaite | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| T. Dibling | F | 4 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyrique George | F | 24 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| B. Johnson | M | 66 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| H. Armstrong | M | 78 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2/2 |
| J. O'Brien | D | 12 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Alcaraz | M | 4 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Pickford | G | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Hackney | M | 12 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Röhl | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Graham | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Travers | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Nørgaard | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Hull City vs Everton?
- Fipster's AI model predicted a draw between Hull City and Everton.
- What score did Fipster predict for Hull City vs Everton?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Hull City 0–0 Everton.
- What were the win probabilities for Hull City vs Everton?
- Fipster's model gave Hull City a 27% chance of winning, Everton a 27% chance, and a 46% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 46% confidence — a medium-confidence call.


