Hull City vs Brentford
Brentford snatch draw at Hull
A penalty from McBurnie was cancelled out by Ouattara's strike after the break.
Hull City looked set for victory after O. McBurnie converted a penalty in the first half, but Brentford's D. Ouattara levelled the score in the second half to secure a 1-1 draw. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a Hull win, proving the Bees' resilience on the road.
Outcome probability
Hull City and Brentford face off in what promises to be a competitive fixture in the regular season. Both sides have shown solid form, but Hull City’s home advantage and defensive resilience could prove decisive.
Match factors
Hull City missing key attackers and defenders
Hull City has 9 confirmed outs including attackers and defenders, weakening attacking options and defensive depth
Brentford's strong scoring streak
Brentford has scored in all last 5 matches, showing strong offensive momentum
Hull City's defensive stalwarts could limit Brentford's attack
Ajayi and Ajer provide strong defensive presence and aerial threat, potentially neutralizing Brentford's forwards
Brentford's superior passing and midfield control
Brentford midfielders like Janelt and Schade have higher passing accuracy and volume, aiding control and chance creation
The context
Hull City currently sit 8th in the league with 9 points from 6 games, while Brentford are slightly ahead in 5th place with 10 points from 6 matches. Brentford remain unbeaten with 2 wins and 4 draws, whereas Hull have 2 wins, 3 draws, and a single loss. Brentford’s consistent scoring streak contrasts with Hull’s defensive solidity bolstered by key players.
Key insights
- M
M. Belloumi
Hull City
Top tackler for Hull City with 16 tackles and 9 interceptions in 6 games, crucial in midfield both defensively and offensively.
Premier League 26/2716 tackles, 9 interceptions in 6 games
- R
R. Slater
Hull City
Strong passing accuracy at 80% with 161 passes and solid defensive stats, providing consistency in midfield.
Premier League 26/2780% passing accuracy, 161 passes, 13 tackles in 6 games
- S
S. Ajayi
Hull City
Key defensive presence with a 64.7% duel win rate and recent goal, adding aerial threat and solidity.
Premier League 26/2764.7% duel win rate, 8 tackles, scored recently
- V
V. Janelt
Brentford
Leads Brentford in passing and defensive contributions, instrumental in midfield control and chance creation.
Premier League 26/27265 passes at 83% accuracy, 18 tackles, 20 interceptions
Analysis
Hull City’s defensive duo, Ajayi and Ajer, have been instrumental in limiting opponents’ chances, which could frustrate Brentford’s midfield maestros like Janelt and Schade, who excel in passing and chance creation. Despite Brentford’s superior midfield control and scoring momentum, Hull’s home form and tactical discipline suggest they will maintain a narrow lead. Hull’s Belloumi and Slater contribute significantly in midfield, combining defensive grit with passing accuracy, setting the platform for a 2-1 victory after a 1-0 halftime lead. The match is expected to feature moderate discipline, with around four cards likely.
Key facts
- 1.Hull City are 8th in the league with 9 points from 6 games (W2 D3 L1).
- 2.Brentford are 5th with 10 points from 6 games (W2 D4 L0).
- 3.Hull City’s Ajayi has a duel win rate of 64.7% and scored recently.
- 4.Brentford’s Janelt leads with 265 passes at 83% accuracy and 18 tackles.
- 5.Hull’s Belloumi tops tackles with 16 and 9 interceptions in 6 games.
- 6.Brentford have scored in their last 5 matches, showing strong form.
- 7.Predicted total cards for the match is 4, indicating moderate discipline.
Prediction
We predict Hull City to take an early lead and hold on for a 2-1 win. The halftime scoreline of 1-0 aligns with the fulltime prediction, reflecting Hull’s ability to start strong and manage the game effectively. Brentford will push for an equaliser but ultimately fall short.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Hull City
Away — Brentford
The verdict
This fixture should provide a tight contest with Hull City’s home advantage and defensive strength tipping the scales. Brentford’s attacking threat ensures it won’t be a stroll in the park, but expect Hull to celebrate a well-earned 2-1 victory.
Prediction generated 17 Oct 2026, 16:05 UTC · Fipster Model v1.164
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Hickey
Yellow Card
McBurnie
Penalty
Hickey
Schade
Ouattara
Assist: Thiago
Giles
Coyle
Iroegbunam
Lewis-Potter
Ouattara
McBurnie
Belloumi
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 21 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 14 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 |  Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Leeds | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
Match Statistics
Hull City
5-4-1Starting XI
- 2L. CoyleD
- 3R. GilesD
- 6S. AjayiD
- 9O. McBurnieF
- 10M. BelloumiM
- 15J. EganD
- 19K. TzolakisG
- 21E. StroudM
- 22L. HerringtonD
- 27R. SlaterM
- 42T. IroegbunamM
Substitutes
- 5H. MoritaM
- 7S. ThomasF
- 11J. GelhardtF
- 12D. PhillipsG
- 17P. McNairD
- 18B. Norton-CuffyD
- 25M. CrooksM
- 47R. VazF
- 50M. ChoF
Brentford
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1C. KelleherG
- 2A. HickeyM
- 4S. van den BergD
- 7K. SchadeM
- 8M. JensenM
- 9ThiagoF
- 11D. OuattaraM
- 18M. SangaréM
- 20K. AjerD
- 23K. Lewis-PotterD
- 33M. KayodeD
Substitutes
- 12H. ValdimarssonG
- 13C. WilsonF
- 19J. AnthonyF
- 22N. CollinsD
- 24M. DamsgaardM
- 25E. DioufD
- 39Gustavo GomesF
- 44Jannik SchusterD
- 48B. FredrickD
Hull City
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Ajayi | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Cho | F | 25 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/3 |
| O. McBurnie | F | 86 | 7.1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Tzolakis | G | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Vaz | F | 4 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Belloumi | M | 86 | 6.7 | — | — | 4 | — | 1 | 7/8 |
| L. Herrington | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Coyle | D | 65 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Norton-Cuffy | D | 25 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Egan | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| R. Slater | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 3/4 |
| E. Stroud | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| R. Giles | D | 65 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| J. Gelhardt | F | 4 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| H. Morita | M | 18 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Iroegbunam | M | 72 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Crooks | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Phillips | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. McNair | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Thomas | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Brentford
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ouattara | M | 78 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1/4 |
| M. Damsgaard | M | 28 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| J. Anthony | F | 28 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/4 |
| M. Kayode | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 1/2 |
| Thiago | F | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| S. van den Berg | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| K. Ajer | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| M. Sangaré | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| C. Kelleher | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Hickey | M | 62 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| M. Jensen | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| C. Wilson | F | 12 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| E. Diouf | D | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Schade | M | 62 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| K. Lewis-Potter | D | 78 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/4 |
| N. Collins | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jannik Schuster | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Gomes | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Fredrick | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Valdimarsson | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Hull City vs Brentford?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Hull City to win against Brentford.
- What score did Fipster predict for Hull City vs Brentford?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Hull City 2–1 Brentford.
- What were the win probabilities for Hull City vs Brentford?
- Fipster's model gave Hull City a 85% chance of winning, Brentford a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.