Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec
Jablonec's Nebyla seals narrow win
A brace from S. Nebyla secures a 2-1 victory away at Hradec Králové.
FK Jablonec edged out Hradec Králové 2-1 in the Czech Liga thanks to S. Nebyla's penalty in the 34th minute and a follow-up goal just after the break. Despite T. Čvančara pulling one back for the hosts in the 70th minute, Jablonec held on for the win. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a home win, proving the visitors' resilience on the road.
Outcome probability
This Czech First League fixture sees Hradec Králové and FK Jablonec face off in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both sides have shown competitive form this season, making for an intriguing match-up in the 12th round of the regular season.
Match factors
Midfield scoring edge for Hradec Králové
Tom Slončík leads with 3 goals and strong recent form, providing home team a midfield scoring threat
Jablonec's defensive vulnerability to set-piece threats
Hradec's defender Filip Čihák has scored 2 goals recently, indicating set-piece threat against Jablonec
Jablonec's creative midfield in form
Richard Sedláček has 3 assists this season with 2 in last 5 games, boosting Jablonec's attack
Hradec Králové's attacking midfield creativity
Vladimír Darida combines goal and assist threat with captaincy role, key in home attack
Home scoring advantage for Hradec Králové
Hradec averages 1.33 goals at home, above league average, supporting predicted 2 goals
The context
FK Jablonec currently sit 8th in the league with 17 points, edging out Hradec Králové who are 10th with 15 points. Historically, Jablonec have the upper hand in their head-to-head record with five wins to Hradec's two, alongside five draws in their 12 meetings. Despite this, the current season's form and home advantage could play a significant role in the outcome.
Key insights
Tom Slončík
Hradec Králové
Leads team scoring with 3 goals and strong recent form, providing a midfield scoring edge at home.
Czech Liga 26/273 goals in 11 appearances, 0.27 goals/game
- F
Filip Čihák
Hradec Králové
Scored 2 goals recently, indicating a set-piece threat against Jablonec's defence.
Czech Liga 26/272 goals in last 5 games
Richard Sedláček
FK Jablonec
Top assister with 3 assists this season, including 2 in last 5 games, boosting Jablonec's creative play.
Czech Liga 26/273 assists in 10 appearances, 0.3 assists/game
Vladimír Darida
Hradec Králové
Combines goal and assist threat with captaincy role, key in home attack.
Czech Liga 26/272 goals and 1 assist in 11 appearances
Analysis
Hradec Králové's midfield spearheaded by Tom Slončík, who leads the team with three goals and has been in strong recent form, provides a notable attacking threat. Vladimír Darida, the captain, adds both goal and assist potential, enhancing their creative play. Defensively, Hradec's Filip Čihák poses a set-piece threat, having scored twice recently. On the other side, Jablonec's Richard Sedláček is their top assister with three assists this season, including two in the last five games, indicating a creative spark. However, Jablonec's goal difference of +3 compared to Hradec's -3 suggests a slight edge to the home side's attacking potential, especially given Hradec's average of 1.33 goals per home game.
Key facts
- 1.In 12 head-to-head meetings, FK Jablonec lead with 5 wins to Hradec Králové's 2, with 5 draws.
- 2.FK Jablonec are 8th in the league with 17 points from 10 games (W5 D2 L3).
- 3.Hradec Králové are 10th with 15 points from 11 games (W4 D3 L4).
- 4.FK Jablonec have a better goal difference (+3) than Hradec Králové (-3) this season.
- 5.Hradec Králové average 1.33 goals per home game, above the league average.
- 6.Tom Slončík is Hradec Králové's top scorer with 3 goals in 11 games.
- 7.Richard Sedláček leads FK Jablonec with 3 assists this season.
- 8.Filip Čihák has scored 2 goals recently, posing a set-piece threat for Hradec Králové.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards a narrow 2-1 victory for Hradec Králové after a goalless first half. The home side's attacking midfield creativity and set-piece threats are expected to break the deadlock in the second half, overcoming Jablonec's resilient defence. While the match is finely balanced, the home advantage and key player form tip the scales in favour of Hradec Králové.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Hradec Králové
Away — FK Jablonec
The verdict
Expect a tight and tactical affair with both teams probing cautiously in the first half. Hradec Králové's ability to capitalise on set pieces and midfield contributions should see them edge out FK Jablonec in a 2-1 finish, adding valuable points to their league campaign.
Prediction generated 18 Oct 2026, 17:56 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Nebyla
Penalty
Ludvíček
Nebyla
Assist: Růsek
Slončík
Mihálik
Čvančara
Yellow Card
Čech
Kuol
Zorvan
Cedidla
Čvančara
Assist: Horák
Goal cancelled
Růsek
Darida
Nebyla
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | +28 | 34 |
| 6 |  Teplice | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 21 |
| 7 |  FK Jablonec | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 21 |
| 8 |  Bohemians 1905 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 20 |
| 10 |  Plzen | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +7 | 19 |
| 11 |  Hradec Králové | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 18 |
| 12 |  Pardubice | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 17 |
Match Statistics
Hradec Králové
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 2D. LudvíčekM
- 4T. PetrášekD
- 7J. UhrinčaťD
- 11S. DancákM
- 12A. ZadražilG
- 16V. DaridaM
- 17O. MihálikF
- 19T. SlončíkM
- 25F. ČechD
- 26D. HorákM
- 70T. ČvančaraM
Substitutes
- 1P. VízekG
- 3F. MielkeD
- 9M. ValentaM
- 10M. van BurenF
- 20M. VágnerG
- 24A. UmarF
- 27D. TrubačM
- 30J. ChvátalM
- 33Rodrigo AbajasD
FK Jablonec
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4N. TekijaškiD
- 7V. TchanturishviliM
- 8F. ZorvanM
- 9A. RůsekF
- 13R. SedláčekM
- 18M. CedidlaD
- 20J. SlámaD
- 25S. NebylaM
- 36G. KuolM
- 57F. NovákD
- 99K. MihelakG
Substitutes
- 1J. HanušG
- 6N. OkekeM
- 14D. SoučekD
- 15D. PavlovićD
- 16H. AhlM
- 17S. AlioumF
- 19J. ChramostaF
- 21M. PolidarM
- 22Roman HorákM
- 23E. SobolD
- 24D. HollýM
Hradec Králové
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Čvančara | M | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| D. Horák | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| A. Zadražil | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Dancák | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| M. van Buren | F | 36 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/3 |
| A. Umar | F | 36 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| V. Darida | M | 80 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| J. Uhrinčať | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| T. Petrášek | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Čech | D | 63 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Chvátal | M | 44 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| D. Ludvíček | M | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| O. Mihálik | F | 54 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| M. Valenta | M | 27 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Trubač | M | 10 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Slončík | M | 54 | 5.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| M. Vágner | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Abajas | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Mielke | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Vízek | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
FK Jablonec
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Nebyla | M | 86 | 8.2 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| F. Novák | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Sedláček | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| N. Tekijaški | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Růsek | F | 77 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| M. Cedidla | D | 67 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| K. Mihelak | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Alioum | F | 23 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| V. Tchanturishvili | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| M. Polidar | M | 4 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| J. Sláma | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| F. Zorvan | M | 67 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| D. Hollý | M | 23 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| N. Okeke | M | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Kuol | M | 67 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| D. Pavlović | D | 23 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Chramosta | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Souček | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Sobol | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Roman Horák | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Ahl | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Hanuš | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Hradec Králové to win against FK Jablonec.
- What score did Fipster predict for Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Hradec Králové 2–1 FK Jablonec.
- What were the win probabilities for Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec?
- Fipster's model gave Hradec Králové a 35% chance of winning, FK Jablonec a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.