Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC
Dynamo and Minnesota settle for stalemate
Neither side could find a breakthrough in a goalless draw.
Houston Dynamo and Minnesota United FC played out a 0-0 draw in Major League Soccer, with neither team managing to score. This result defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a 3-2 away win for Minnesota, proving the match to be a tighter affair than anticipated.
Outcome probability
Houston Dynamo and Minnesota United FC are set for a lively regular season meeting, with both sides boasting attacking threats that promise goals. Expect a match where defences might be tested and the scoreboard will be busy.
Match factors
Guilherme's dual threat as scorer and assister
Guilherme leads Houston Dynamo with 15 goals and 7 assists, providing a balanced attacking threat.
Yeboah's consistent scoring form for Minnesota United
Kelvin Yeboah has 14 goals with strong recent form, crucial for away team's attack.
Houston Dynamo's attacking midfield creativity
Jack McGlynn and Guilherme combine for multiple assists, enhancing chance creation.
Minnesota United's scoring streak
Minnesota United have scored in their last 5 matches, showing offensive momentum.
Absence of Felipe Andrade weakens Houston defense
Felipe Andrade is confirmed out, reducing defensive stability for Houston Dynamo.
The context
Houston Dynamo currently sit 5th in the league with 46 points from 29 games, showing solid form and a positive goal difference of +10. Minnesota United FC are 10th with 34 points from 30 games, but have been finding the net consistently in recent matches, scoring in their last five games. Historically, Minnesota have the edge in head-to-heads, winning 10 of 20 meetings compared to Houston's 6, with an average of nearly 3 goals per game in these encounters.
Key insights
Guilherme
Houston Dynamo
Leads Houston Dynamo with 15 goals and 7 assists, providing a balanced attacking threat.
Major League Soccer 26/2715 goals and 7 assists in 27 appearances this season
Kelvin Kwarteng Yeboah
Minnesota United FC
Consistent goal scorer with 14 goals and strong recent form, crucial for Minnesota's attack.
Major League Soccer 26/2714 goals in 26 games, with 4 goals in last 5 matches
Jack McGlynn
Houston Dynamo
Creative midfielder with 5 assists in 16 games, key in chance creation for Houston.
Major League Soccer 26/275 assists in 16 appearances this season
- F
Felipe Andrade
Houston Dynamo
His absence weakens Houston's defensive stability, impacting their backline.
Major League Soccer 26/27Key defender unavailable due to injury
Analysis
Minnesota United's recent scoring streak and the presence of prolific striker Kelvin Kwarteng Yeboah, who has 14 goals this season and strong recent form, give them a potent attacking edge. Houston's Guilherme, leading with 15 goals and 7 assists, remains a key threat, supported by creative midfielder Jack McGlynn. However, Houston's defence will miss Felipe Andrade, whose absence could be a chink in their armour. The predicted 3-2 scoreline suggests a closely fought contest with both teams finding the net, but Minnesota's offensive momentum and historical head-to-head advantage tip the scales in their favour.
Key facts
- 1.Houston Dynamo are 5th in the league with 46 points from 29 games (W13 D7 L9).
- 2.Minnesota United FC are 10th with 34 points from 30 games (W8 D10 L12).
- 3.In 20 head-to-head meetings, Minnesota United FC have won 10, Houston Dynamo 6, with 4 draws.
- 4.Head-to-head matches average 2.9 goals per game.
- 5.Houston Dynamo have a +10 goal difference this season, better than Minnesota United FC.
- 6.Minnesota United have scored in their last 5 matches, showing strong offensive form.
- 7.Felipe Andrade is out for Houston Dynamo, weakening their defence.
Prediction
We foresee Minnesota United FC securing a 3-2 victory, with the halftime score likely to be 2-1 in their favour. The match is expected to be competitive and high-scoring, with Minnesota's attacking players making the difference in a tight finish.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Houston Dynamo
Away — Minnesota United FC
The verdict
This encounter promises entertainment with goals aplenty and a narrow margin separating the sides. Minnesota United's ability to capitalise on their recent form and Houston's defensive vulnerabilities could prove decisive. Fans should brace for an exciting contest where the away side just edges it.
Prediction generated 18 Oct 2026, 02:44 UTC · Fipster Model v1.164
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Antônio Carlos
Yellow Card
Bouzat
Yellow Card
Ennali
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
Red Card
Foster
Gonzalez
Herrera
Díaz
Jackson
Ennali
Negri
Bouzat
Yeboah
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | +40 | 64 |
| 4 |  St. Louis City | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | +10 | 51 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 51 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | +13 | 47 |
| 11 |  Real Salt Lake | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 0 | 42 |
| 12 |  Minnesota United FC | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | -4 | 41 |
| 13 |  San Diego | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | -5 | 38 |
Match Statistics
Houston Dynamo
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3Antônio CarlosD
- 5Lucas HalterD
- 6ArturM
- 9L. FosterF
- 11L. EnnaliD
- 16H. HerreraM
- 19M. BoguszM
- 20GuilhermeM
- 21F. NegriD
- 30A. BouzatM
- 31J. BondG
Substitutes
- 4M. SaracchiD
- 14D. HolmesM
- 17N. MarkanichF
- 18D. SamassékouM
- 22M. AranaM
- 23D. McGuireF
- 24A. IbrahimF
- 26B. GillinghamG
- 37G. RiveraM
Minnesota United FC
3-4-3Starting XI
- 9K. YeboahF
- 12D. CallenderG
- 13A. MarkanichM
- 16A. JacksonF
- 18M. GonzalezF
- 21B. HlongwaneM
- 23M. DugganD
- 25N. TriantisM
- 28J. DíazD
- 30O. GeneM
- 52Cherrion ValeriusD
Substitutes
- 3K. DuncanD
- 5N. RomeroD
- 8T. ChancalayF
- 11M. MaloneF
- 15M. BoxallD
- 22Marcus CaldeiraF
- 26J. PereyraM
- 67C. HarveyM
- 94Kayne RizvanovichG
Houston Dynamo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bond | G | 90 | 8.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Halter | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
| H. Herrera | M | 70 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| L. Ennali | D | 82 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Guilherme | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0/3 |
| F. Negri | D | 82 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Antônio Carlos | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Artur | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| D. McGuire | F | 34 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| D. Holmes | M | 8 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| D. Samassékou | M | 7 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Ibrahim | F | 20 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| M. Saracchi | D | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Bogusz | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/3 |
| A. Bouzat | M | 83 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| L. Foster | F | 56 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Arana | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Gillingham | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Markanich | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Rivera | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Minnesota United FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Díaz | D | 73 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| M. Duggan | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Gene | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| D. Callender | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Pereyra | M | 17 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Cherrion Valerius | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| N. Triantis | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Marcus Caldeira | F | 26 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| M. Boxall | D | 17 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Markanich | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| A. Jackson | F | 73 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Yeboah | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 5 | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Hlongwane | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| M. Gonzalez | F | 64 | 5.9 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| T. Chancalay | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Malone | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Duncan | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Harvey | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Romero | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kayne Rizvanovich | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Minnesota United FC to win against Houston Dynamo.
- What score did Fipster predict for Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Houston Dynamo 2–3 Minnesota United FC.
- What were the win probabilities for Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC?
- Fipster's model gave Houston Dynamo a 27% chance of winning, Minnesota United FC a 46% chance, and a 27% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 46% confidence — a medium-confidence call.