Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles FC
Match recap
Los Angeles FC beat Houston Dynamo 2–0 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Delgado and Eustáquio scored for Los Angeles FC. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.69 for Houston Dynamo versus 1.83 for Los Angeles FC. Houston Dynamo sit 5th in the Major League Soccer table while Los Angeles FC are 6th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
2-1 Houston Dynamo win
Actual
0–2
Outcome probability
The upcoming clash between Houston Dynamo and Los Angeles FC promises an intriguing battle, with both sides eager to climb the league standings early in the season. Expect a competitive encounter with goals and tactical nuances.
Match factors
Houston's Guilherme vs LAFC Defense
Guilherme's 14 goals this season and strong home form give Houston a key attacking edge
Son Heung-Min's Creative Influence
Son leads LAFC with 10 assists, crucial for unlocking Houston's defense
Houston's Home Scoring Consistency
Houston averages 1.21 goals at home, supporting predicted 2 goals in match
Houston Missing Héctor Herrera
Herrera is out due to suspension, weakening Houston's midfield creativity and control
LAFC's Recent Scoring Streak
LAFC scored in 4 of last 5 matches, showing attacking momentum despite defensive lapses
The context
Houston Dynamo currently sit 5th in the league with 45 points, narrowly ahead of Los Angeles FC who are 6th with 41 points. Their head-to-head history is fairly balanced, with Houston winning 6 of 20 matches and LAFC winning 8, alongside 6 draws. Matches between these two sides tend to be lively, averaging just over 3 goals per game.
Key insights
Guilherme
Houston Dynamo
Guilherme's 14 goals this season and strong home form give Houston a key attacking edge.
Major League Soccer 26/2714 goals in 26 apps, 0.54 goals/game
Son Heung-Min
Los Angeles FC
Son leads LAFC with 10 assists, crucial for unlocking Houston's defence.
Major League Soccer 26/2710 assists in 25 apps, 0.4 assists/game
Analysis
Houston Dynamo boast a strong home scoring record, averaging over a goal per game at home, which bodes well for their attacking prospects. Guilherme leads the charge with 14 goals this season and has been particularly effective on home turf. Los Angeles FC rely heavily on the creativity of Son Heung-Min, who tops their assist charts with 10 this season and is key to unlocking defences. However, Houston will miss Héctor Herrera due to suspension, which could impact their midfield control. LAFC have shown recent scoring momentum but have also been vulnerable defensively, suggesting a tight but open contest.
Key facts
- 1.Houston Dynamo have won 6 of 20 matches against Los Angeles FC, who have won 8, with 6 draws.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 3.1 total goals, indicating a moderately high scoring trend.
- 3.Houston Dynamo rank 5th with 45 points; Los Angeles FC rank 6th with 41 points, showing close competition.
- 4.Guilherme leads Houston Dynamo with 14 goals this season, showing strong home scoring form.
- 5.Son Heung-Min leads Los Angeles FC with 10 assists, crucial for their attacking play.
- 6.Houston Dynamo average 1.21 goals per home game this season.
- 7.Héctor Herrera is suspended for Houston Dynamo, impacting midfield creativity.
- 8.Los Angeles FC have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches, showing attacking momentum.
Prediction
We predict Houston Dynamo to take the win with a 2-1 scoreline, building on a strong first-half lead of 1-0. The match is expected to feature three cards, reflecting the competitive nature of the fixture. Houston's home advantage and attacking form give them the edge in this encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Houston Dynamo
Away — Los Angeles FC
The verdict
In what should be a closely fought match, Houston Dynamo's home form and key players like Guilherme are likely to make the difference. Los Angeles FC will push hard, but the Dynamo's resilience and goal-scoring ability should see them through to a narrow victory.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 18:03 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
McGlynn
Yellow Card
Bouanga
Yellow Card
Antônio Carlos
Red Card
Lingr
Delgado
Yellow Card
Delgado
Assist: Son Heung-Min
Porteous
Yellow Card
Martínez
Bouzat
Red Card
Holmes
Eustáquio
Assist: Delgado
Palencia
Delgado
Sviatchenko
Guilherme
McGlynn
Porteous
Tillman
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 48 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +2 | 47 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | +15 | 46 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
Match Statistics
Houston Dynamo
3-4-3Starting XI
- 3Antônio CarlosD
- 5Lucas HalterD
- 8J. McGlynnM
- 9O. LingrF
- 11L. EnnaliM
- 14D. HolmesM
- 19M. BoguszF
- 20GuilhermeF
- 28E. SviatchenkoD
- 30A. BouzatM
- 31J. BondG
Substitutes
- 1J. MaurerG
- 16H. HerreraM
- 17N. MarkanichF
- 18D. SamassékouM
- 22M. AranaM
- 26B. GillinghamG
- 34A. ReschD
Los Angeles FC
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1H. LlorisG
- 4E. SeguraD
- 5R. PorteousD
- 7Son Heung-MinF
- 8M. DelgadoM
- 11T. TillmanM
- 14Sergi PalenciaD
- 30D. MartínezM
- 46S. EustáquioM
- 91N. TafariD
- 99D. BouangaM
Substitutes
- 12T. HasalG
- 19T. BoydF
- 21R. RaposoM
- 24R. HollingsheadD
- 27N. OrdazF
- 29A. SmolyakovD
- 45Kenny NielsenD
- 65A. BoudriM
- 66M. ChoinièreM
Houston Dynamo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack McGlynn | M | 88 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Lucas Halter | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Mateusz Bogusz | F | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| Ondrej Lingr | F | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Jonathan Bond | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Duane Holmes | M | 76 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Lawrence Ennali | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Guilherme | F | 85 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/4 |
| Erik Sviatchenko | D | 85 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Agustín Bouzat | M | 76 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Antônio Carlos(C) | D | 47 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jimmy Maurer | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Blake Gillingham | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diadié Samassékou | M | 12 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Héctor Herrera | M | 14 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Matthew Arana | M | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nick Markanich | F | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Agustin Resch | D | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Los Angeles FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marky Delgado | M | 85 | 8.6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Stephen Eustaquio | M | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Nkosi Tafari | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Eddie Segura | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Sergi Palencia | D | 85 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| Hugo Lloris(C) | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Porteous | D | 89 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Heung-min Son | F | 90 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4/7 |
| David Martínez Morales | M | 69 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Timothy Tillman | M | 88 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Denis Bouanga | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Thomas Hasal | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nathan Ordaz | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Artem Smoliakov | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Raposo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kenny Nielsen | D | 8 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Hollingshead | D | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Mathieu Choinière | M | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amin Boudri | M | 21 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| Tyler Boyd | F | 9 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles FC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Houston Dynamo to win against Los Angeles FC.
- What score did Fipster predict for Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles FC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Houston Dynamo 2–1 Los Angeles FC.
- What were the win probabilities for Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles FC?
- Fipster's model gave Houston Dynamo a 57% chance of winning, Los Angeles FC a 21% chance, and a 22% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 57% confidence — a medium-confidence call.