HNK Rijeka vs Derry City
- Aggregate:
- HNK Rijeka 2 0 Derry City
- Advances:
- HNK Rijeka
Match recap
HNK Rijeka beat Derry City 1–0 in their UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-2 Derry City win
Actual
1–0
Outcome probability
The upcoming 2nd qualifying round fixture between HNK Rijeka and Derry City promises a competitive encounter as both sides look to advance in this European competition. Rijeka have shown some scoring ability but also defensive vulnerabilities, while Derry City seek their first win in this tournament.
Match factors
Rijeka's key striker Adu-Adjei in good scoring form
Daniel Adu-Adjei has scored 2 goals in last 5 games, above average for attackers this season
Rijeka's defender Ante Oreč provides attacking threat
Oreč leads team assists with 1 in 6 games, offering crossing and set-piece creativity
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, no confirmed outs to affect lineups
Rijeka has scored in 4 of last 5 games but concedes regularly
Team shows positive scoring streak but defensive lapses could be exploited by Derry City
The context
HNK Rijeka have played six matches in this competition with a mixed record of three wins, one draw, and two losses, scoring five goals but conceding seven. Their most recent knockout result was a 1-4 home loss to FC Midtjylland. Derry City, on the other hand, have yet to register a win in two matches, scoring no goals and conceding twice. The sides have met once before, with Rijeka winning that encounter.
Key insights
Daniel Adu-Adjei
HNK Rijeka
Adu-Adjei has been in fine form, scoring 2 goals in his last 5 games, making him a key attacking threat for Rijeka.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/272 goals in last 5 games, 6 appearances
Ante Oreč
HNK Rijeka
Oreč provides an attacking outlet from defence, leading the team with 1 assist in 6 games and offering good crossing ability.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/271 assist in 6 games, 180 mins avg 30 per game
Analysis
Rijeka's key striker Daniel Adu-Adjei has been in good scoring form, netting twice in his last five games and providing a consistent attacking threat. Defender Ante Oreč also contributes offensively with assists and set-piece creativity. However, Rijeka's tendency to concede goals could be exploited by Derry City, who despite their lack of wins, are favoured to take the victory in this fixture. The prediction leans towards a narrow away win for Derry City, reflecting their potential to capitalise on Rijeka's defensive lapses.
Key facts
- 1.HNK Rijeka have played 6 matches in this competition (W3 D1 L2, GF 5 / GA 7).
- 2.Derry City have played 2 matches in this competition (W0 D0 L2, GF 0 / GA 2).
- 3.In their only head-to-head meeting, Rijeka won 1-0 against Derry City.
- 4.Daniel Adu-Adjei is Rijeka's top scorer with 2 goals in the last 5 games.
- 5.Ante Oreč leads Rijeka in assists with 1 in 6 games.
- 6.Rijeka have scored in 4 of their last 5 games but concede regularly.
- 7.No confirmed injuries for either team ahead of this match.
Prediction
The forecast for this match is a 2-1 victory for Derry City. While Rijeka may open the scoring, Derry City's resilience and tactical approach should see them overturn the deficit and secure the win. Expect a closely fought contest with moments of quality from both sides, but ultimately an away triumph.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — HNK Rijeka
Away — Derry City
No standout top scorers flagged for Derry City
The verdict
In summary, this fixture is set to be a tight affair with Derry City predicted to edge out HNK Rijeka 2-1. Rijeka's attacking talents will keep things interesting, but defensive frailties may cost them. Derry City will look to make the most of their chances and progress in the competition.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 10:21 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Yellow Card
Goal
Yellow Card
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
HNK Rijeka
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4N. JankovićM
- 5A. BarcoM
- 6B. PavicM
- 10T. FrukM
- 14A. GojakM
- 18D. Adu-AdjeiF
- 22A. OrečD
- 26Tiago DantasM
- 34M. DevetakD
- 45A. MajstorovićD
- 99A. TodorovićG
Substitutes
- 1V. KovacG
- 3M. ŽivkovićD
- 11G. RukavinaM
- 15Goran GrulovićF
- 19S. VignatoM
- 23J. LasickasD
- 30S. Cletus
- 31D. NwolokorG
- 37Cherno SahoF
- 51A. HusicD
- 77A. JuričF
- 91N. BodetićD
Derry City
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1B. MaherG
- 2B. CotterM
- 3Patrick McCleanD
- 4J. StottD
- 7M. DuffyM
- 14E. ChapmanM
- 17N. TwiskM
- 19B. FlemingM
- 24Brooklyn Lyons-FosterD
- 27L. BoyceF
- 28J. OlayinkaM
Substitutes
- 6R. SlevinD
- 8A. O'ReillyM
- 12D. BurnsM
- 13Tom NorcottG
- 15J. ClarkeM
- 16J. McCleanM
- 22C. BarrD
- 23C. DummiganD
- 25Christy GroganD
- 32T. DohertyF
- 35L. KellyF
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win HNK Rijeka vs Derry City?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Derry City to win against HNK Rijeka.
- What score did Fipster predict for HNK Rijeka vs Derry City?
- Fipster predicted a final score of HNK Rijeka 1–2 Derry City.
- What were the win probabilities for HNK Rijeka vs Derry City?
- Fipster's model gave HNK Rijeka a 32% chance of winning, Derry City a 35% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.