HNK Hajduk Split vs Žilina

UEFA Europa League1st Qualifying Round
Ref: Kyriakos Athanasiou, CyprusStadion Poljud, Split · 34,448 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinhighHit
Qualifying — two-legged tieLeg 1 of 2
Aggregate:
HNK Hajduk Split 3 2 Žilina
Advances:
HNK Hajduk Split

Match recap

HNK Hajduk Split beat Žilina 2–0 in their UEFA Europa League fixture.

Fipster’s pre-match call

Predicted

2-0 HNK Hajduk Split win

Actual

2–0

✓ Called it

Outcome probability

HNK Hajduk Split 75%Draw 13%Žilina 12%

The first qualifying round clash between HNK Hajduk Split and Žilina promises a tactical battle, with Hajduk looking to leverage their recent home performances and psychological edge.

Match factors

Tactical Advantagehigh

Hajduk's strong home defensive record

Hajduk Split has kept clean sheets in their last 2 home games, conceding 0 goals, providing a solid base for a 2-0 win.

Form Momentumhigh

Hajduk's recent scoring consistency at home

Hajduk scored in both recent home matches vs Žilina, showing attacking form and confidence at home.

Statistical Edgemedium

Midfield goal contributions from Hajduk players

Midfielder R. Brajković scored and assisted in last match vs Žilina, exceeding league average midfielder goal rate.

Tactical Advantagemedium

Defensive players contributing offensively for Hajduk

Defenders D. Melnjak and M. Acapandié have both assisted or scored recently, adding attacking threat from defense.

Head To Head Factorhigh

Hajduk's dominance over Žilina in recent fixtures

Hajduk won both recent matches against Žilina, scoring multiple goals and conceding few, indicating psychological edge.

The context

This fixture marks the opening round of the competition, where Hajduk Split have played four matches previously, winning two and losing two, scoring five goals and conceding six. Žilina have featured twice, with one win and one loss, netting two goals and conceding three. The head-to-head record is evenly poised with one win each and no draws.

Key insights

  • R

    R. Brajković

    HNK Hajduk Split

    R. Brajković has been a creative force, scoring and assisting in recent matches against Žilina, exceeding the average midfielder goal rate in this competition.

    UEFA Europa League 26/271 goal and 1 assist in recent matches vs Žilina in competition 3

  • D

    D. Melnjak

    HNK Hajduk Split

    Defender D. Melnjak has contributed offensively from the back, scoring in recent home wins and adding threat on set pieces.

    UEFA Europa League 26/271 goal in recent home matches vs Žilina in competition 3

  • M

    M. Acapandié

    HNK Hajduk Split

    M. Acapandié has been key in build-up play with strong passing and crossing, providing assists in recent matches.

    UEFA Europa League 26/27Multiple assists in recent matches in competition 3

Analysis

Hajduk Split have shown strong defensive resilience at home, keeping clean sheets in their last two home games, which bodes well for a shutout. Their attacking midfielders and defenders have contributed significantly to goals and assists, with players like R. Brajković and D. Melnjak providing both creativity and scoring threat. Žilina, while competitive, have struggled to break down Hajduk's defence in recent encounters, and their away form suggests they may find it tough to score here.

Key facts

  1. 1.Hajduk Split have won 2 of their 4 matches in this competition, scoring 5 and conceding 6.
  2. 2.Žilina have played 2 matches in this competition with 1 win and 1 loss, scoring 2 and conceding 3.
  3. 3.In 2 head-to-head meetings, Hajduk Split and Žilina have each won once, with no draws.
  4. 4.Hajduk Split kept clean sheets in their last 2 home games, conceding 0 goals.
  5. 5.Midfielder R. Brajković scored and assisted in the last match against Žilina, showing strong attacking form.
  6. 6.Defenders D. Melnjak and M. Acapandié have contributed offensively for Hajduk recently.
  7. 7.Hajduk Split won both recent matches against Žilina, scoring multiple goals and conceding few.

Prediction

The most probable outcome is a 2-0 victory for Hajduk Split, consistent with the halftime score of 1-0. The prediction aligns with the statistical dominance Hajduk have shown at home and their recent success against Žilina. Expect a disciplined performance with a couple of well-taken goals and a clean sheet.

The verdict

In summary, Hajduk Split look set to continue their positive run against Žilina with a solid 2-0 win. Their home form, combined with key contributions from midfield and defence, should see them comfortably through this first qualifying round fixture.

Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 13:13 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163

Prediction Q&A

Who did Fipster predict to win HNK Hajduk Split vs Žilina?
Fipster's AI model predicted HNK Hajduk Split to win against Žilina.
What score did Fipster predict for HNK Hajduk Split vs Žilina?
Fipster predicted a final score of HNK Hajduk Split 2–0 Žilina.
What were the win probabilities for HNK Hajduk Split vs Žilina?
Fipster's model gave HNK Hajduk Split a 75% chance of winning, Žilina a 12% chance, and a 13% chance of a draw.
How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigned this prediction 75% confidence — a high-confidence call.