HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius

UEFA Europa Conference League3rd Qualifying Round
Ref: Matthias Jollenbeck, GermanyStadion Poljud, Split · 34,448 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinlowHit
Qualifying — two-legged tieLeg 2 of 2Decisive leg
First leg:
FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2 5 HNK Hajduk Split
Aggregate:
FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2 9 HNK Hajduk Split
Advances:
HNK Hajduk Split

Match recap

HNK Hajduk Split beat FK Zalgiris Vilnius 4–0 in their UEFA Europa Conference League fixture. HNK Hajduk Split held 63% possession to 37% for FK Zalgiris Vilnius.

FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Underconfident✓ Hit
Fipster's Pick✓
3–1
HT 1–0
Final Result
4–0
HT 0–0
68%Fair
C
✓Outcome✗Exact score✗Both scored✓Goals✗Halftime
Fipster's self review14 Aug 2026

Outcome probability

HNK Hajduk Split 35%Draw 33%FK Zalgiris Vilnius 32%

HNK Hajduk Split face FK Zalgiris Vilnius in the 3rd Qualifying Round of the competition, with both sides eager to progress further. The match promises attacking football, with Hajduk looking to leverage their recent scoring prowess.

Match factors

Injury Impacthigh

No confirmed injuries for either team

Both teams have no confirmed absences, so full squads are available, maintaining tactical stability.

Form Momentummedium

FK Zalgiris Vilnius strong recent scoring form

Zalgiris have scored in 4 of last 5 matches with a 75% win rate, indicating attacking confidence despite conceding often.

Statistical Edgemedium

Hajduk Split positive scoring streak away

Hajduk Split scored in their only recent away game vs Zalgiris, showing ability to find the net on the road.

Tactical Advantagemedium

Hajduk Split likely to dominate possession and attack

Predicted 3-1 scoreline and recent 5-2 home win suggest Hajduk's attacking players will have more chances.

The context

Hajduk Split have played one match in this competition so far, winning it 5-2, while Zalgiris Vilnius have a record of three wins and two losses from five matches, scoring 14 goals but conceding 12. The teams have met once before, with Hajduk Split coming out on top.

Key facts

  1. 1.Hajduk Split have won their only match in this competition with a 5-2 scoreline.
  2. 2.Zalgiris Vilnius have played five matches in this competition, winning three and losing two.
  3. 3.In their sole head-to-head meeting, Hajduk Split won against Zalgiris Vilnius.
  4. 4.Hajduk Split are predicted to lead 1-0 at halftime.
  5. 5.The most probable fulltime score is 3-1 in favour of Hajduk Split.
  6. 6.Both teams have full squads available with no confirmed injuries.
  7. 7.Zalgiris Vilnius have scored in four of their last five matches, showing attacking confidence.
  8. 8.Hajduk Split are expected to dominate possession and create more chances.

Analysis

Hajduk Split's recent home performance suggests they will dominate possession and create more chances, supported by their positive scoring streak. Zalgiris Vilnius have shown strong attacking form, scoring in four of their last five matches, but their defensive vulnerabilities could be exploited. The predicted 3-1 scoreline reflects Hajduk's ability to maintain a lead after a likely 1-0 halftime advantage.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

Home — HNK Hajduk Split

T. Silić

T. Silić

Goalkeeper

HNK Hajduk Split

Total Passes
44
4 played
4 starts
120 mins
~30 mins/game
R. Pukštas

R. Pukštas

Midfielder

HNK Hajduk Split

Total Passes
37
3 played
3 starts
120 mins
~40 mins/game
R. Raci

R. Raci

Defender

HNK Hajduk Split

Total Passes
28
4 played
3 starts
120 mins
~30 mins/game

Away — FK Zalgiris Vilnius

No standout best passers flagged for FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Prediction

Expect Hajduk Split to take an early lead and control the game, finishing with a 3-1 victory. The home side's attacking players are poised to make the difference, while Zalgiris Vilnius may struggle to contain them despite their own scoring efforts.

The verdict

While the prediction favours Hajduk Split, the limited data and competitive nature of the tie mean surprises are always possible. Nonetheless, the home side's recent form and head-to-head advantage make them the likely winners in this encounter.

Prediction Q&A

Who did Fipster predict to win HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
Fipster's AI model predicted HNK Hajduk Split to win against FK Zalgiris Vilnius.
What score did Fipster predict for HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
Fipster predicted a final score of HNK Hajduk Split 3–1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius.
What were the win probabilities for HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
Fipster's model gave HNK Hajduk Split a 35% chance of winning, FK Zalgiris Vilnius a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.