HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax
Hajduk Split edge Ajax in tight tussle
A. Sanyang and M. Šotiček secure a narrow win for Hajduk Split in the Europa Conference League.
Hajduk Split claimed a narrow 2-1 victory over Ajax in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with A. Sanyang opening the scoring before the break and M. Šotiček restoring their lead shortly after Ajax's D. Klaassen had equalised. The match was a close contest, but Hajduk held on for the win. Fipster's prediction of a home win was spot on, though the exact scoreline differed.
Outcome probability
The upcoming group stage fixture between HNK Hajduk Split and Ajax promises an entertaining contest, with both sides boasting strong attacking talents and recent good form. Fans can expect a lively match with goals and tactical battles aplenty.
Match factors
M. Šego's red-hot scoring streak
M. Šego has scored 4 goals in his last 3 games, including a remarkable 3 goals in one away match, driving Hajduk's attack.
Ajax's consistent scoring run
Ajax has scored in all last 5 matches, led by O. Gloukh's 4 goals and D. Klaassen's 4 goals this season.
Defensive solidity from R. Raci
R. Raci's 88.9% duel win rate and 3 interceptions in 4 games provide Hajduk a defensive edge against Ajax's attackers.
Creative threat from S. Berghuis
S. Berghuis leads Ajax with 3 assists in 5 games, showing strong playmaking ability to unlock defenses.
Full squad availability boosts tactical options
No confirmed injuries for either team ensures all key scorers and assisters are available, maximizing tactical flexibility.
The context
Hajduk Split have played four matches in this competition so far, recording two wins and two draws, scoring 13 goals and conceding six. Ajax, on the other hand, have been prolific with five wins and one draw from six matches, netting 22 goals and conceding 10. Both teams have shown their scoring prowess, setting the stage for a high-scoring encounter.
Key insights
M. Šego
HNK Hajduk Split
M. Šego's scoring rate is well above average for a midfielder, with 4 goals in 4 appearances, including a standout performance away from home.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/274 goals in last 3 games, 4 goals this season in 4 appearances
O. Gloukh
Ajax
O. Gloukh is Ajax's top scorer with 4 goals in 5 games, showing consistent scoring ability especially at home with 3 goals.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/274 goals this season in 5 appearances, 3 goals at home
- R
R. Raci
HNK Hajduk Split
R. Raci provides defensive solidity with an exceptional duel win rate of 88.9% and 3 interceptions in 4 games, crucial against Ajax's attackers.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/2788.9% duel win rate, 3 interceptions in 4 games
S. Berghuis
Ajax
S. Berghuis is a creative force for Ajax, leading with 3 assists in 5 games and playing significant minutes to unlock defences.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/273 assists this season in 5 appearances
Analysis
Hajduk Split's recent form is bolstered by midfielder M. Šego, who has been on a red-hot scoring streak with four goals in his last three games, including a remarkable three-goal haul away from home. Defensively, R. Raci provides solidity with an impressive duel win rate and interceptions. Ajax's attack is spearheaded by O. Gloukh, their top scorer with four goals in five games, supported creatively by S. Berghuis, who leads the team with three assists. The match is expected to be a tactical chess match with both sides eager to assert their attacking strengths.
Key facts
- 1.Hajduk Split have scored 13 goals and conceded 6 in 4 matches in this competition.
- 2.Ajax have scored 22 goals and conceded 10 in 6 matches in this competition.
- 3.M. Šego has scored 4 goals in his last 3 games, including 3 away goals.
- 4.O. Gloukh is Ajax's top scorer with 4 goals in 5 games.
- 5.S. Berghuis leads Ajax with 3 assists in 5 games.
- 6.R. Raci boasts an 88.9% duel win rate and 3 interceptions in 4 games.
- 7.The predicted final score is 3-2 in favour of Hajduk Split.
- 8.The match is expected to see around 4 cards shown.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards a home win for Hajduk Split with a final scoreline of 3-2. The halftime score is expected to be 2-1, consistent with the fulltime outcome. The match is also anticipated to be competitive in discipline, with around four cards likely to be shown.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — HNK Hajduk Split
Away — Ajax
The verdict
In summary, this group stage fixture should deliver an exciting spectacle with Hajduk Split narrowly overcoming Ajax. Key players on both sides will be crucial, but the home side's recent momentum and defensive resilience could just tip the scales in their favour.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Sanyang
Assist: Šotiček
del Moral
Yellow Card
Klaassen
Assist: Kehrer
Šotiček
Assist: Šego
Šego
Yellow Card
del Moral
Tsygankov
Klaassen
Ouazane
Torrents
Hrgović
Sanyang
Šego
Unknown
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 12 |  Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 |  Gent | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 27 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 1 |
| 28 |  Ajax | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 29 |  Borac Banja Luka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Match Statistics
HNK Hajduk Split
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6D. HadžikadunićD
- 7A. SanyangM
- 9DaliM
- 11M. ŠegoF
- 15D. MarešićD
- 20Alberto del MoralM
- 22M. AcapandiéD
- 23M. ŠotičekM
- 32Š. HrgovićD
- 33T. SilićG
Substitutes
- 3Roko GabrićD
- 5A. Van HoorenbeeckD
- 10M. LivajaF
- 14R. RaciD
- 16A. SutaloM
- 17D. MelnjakD
- 18L. DendonckerM
- 26A. GuramM
- 38L. HodakD
- 44D. StipicaG
- 77Carlos MartínF
- 99D. FesyukG
Ajax
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1M. ter StegenG
- 4S. AmrabatM
- 6T. KehrerD
- 8J. BrandtM
- 11V. TsygankovF
- 15Y. BaasD
- 18D. KlaassenM
- 21Jofre TorrentsD
- 30A. BouwmanD
- 68A. OuazaneF
- 99T. ArokodareF
Substitutes
- 2Lucas RosaD
- 5O. WijndalD
- 10O. GloukhM
- 20O. EdvardsenF
- 24J. MokioM
- 26M. PaesG
- 36D. JanseD
- 38Marcos LeonardoF
- 43Rayane BounidaF
- 62A. HaniG
- 67Mohamed AbdallaM
HNK Hajduk Split
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba | M | 95 | 8.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 6/6 |
| Marin Šotiček | M | 100 | 7.9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0/3 |
| Dennis Hadžikadunić | D | 100 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Toni Silić | G | 100 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alberto del Moral | M | 69 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mathieu Acapandié | D | 100 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dario Marešić | D | 100 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Michele Šego(C) | F | 100 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Dalisson de Almeida | M | 100 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Šimun Hrgović | D | 95 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Alec Van Hoorenbeeck | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marko Livaja | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Roko Gabrić | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anđelo Šutalo | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adam Huram | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ron Raçi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luka Hodak | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Davyd Fesyuk | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dante Stipica | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Martín | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dario Melnjak | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leander Dendoncker | M | 31 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Ajax
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Bouwman | D | 100 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sofyan Amrabat | M | 100 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Viktor Tsygankov | F | 76 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/4 |
| Marc-André Ter Stegen | G | 100 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Davy Klaassen(C) | M | 75 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Thilo Kehrer | D | 100 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Abdellah Ouazane | F | 76 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/8 |
| Tolu Arokodare | F | 100 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
| Julian Brandt | M | 100 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Youri Baas | D | 100 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jofre Torrents | D | 75 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Owen Wijndal | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maarten Paes | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oliver Valaker Edvardsen | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aymean el Hani | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Abdalla | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayane Bounida | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dies Janse | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Leonardo | F | 24 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Rosa | D | 24 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jorthy Mokio | M | 25 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oscar Gloukh | M | 25 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax?
- Fipster's AI model predicted HNK Hajduk Split to win against Ajax.
- What score did Fipster predict for HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax?
- Fipster predicted a final score of HNK Hajduk Split 3–2 Ajax.
- What were the win probabilities for HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax?
- Fipster's model gave HNK Hajduk Split a 85% chance of winning, Ajax a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.