Hellas Verona vs Lecce
Match recap
Hellas Verona and Lecce drew 0–0 in their Serie A fixture. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.32 for Hellas Verona versus 0.66 for Lecce. Hellas Verona sit 19th in the Serie A table while Lecce are 17th.
Analysis
Hellas Verona host Lecce in what promises to be a tightly contested Serie A fixture. Both teams are struggling near the bottom of the table, making every point crucial as the season nears its climax.
Historically, these two sides have met 11 times with Verona holding a slight edge with 5 wins to Lecce's 3, and 3 draws. Their matches tend to be low-scoring affairs, averaging just under two goals per game, which aligns well with the predicted 1-1 scoreline.
Verona's key attackers Orban and Mosquera are sidelined, limiting their firepower. However, K. Bowie’s recent away form, with 3 goals in his last 5 games, offers Verona a vital attacking threat. Lecce, meanwhile, benefit from the return of their top assist provider Antonino Gallo, who can unlock defenses with his creativity. Defensively, Verona's Nelsson provides stability with his impressive passing and duel success rates. Both teams have shown similar form recently, suggesting a balanced contest.
Prediction
The prediction is a 1-1 draw, with a halftime score of 0-0. The match is expected to be competitive with limited clear-cut chances, reflected in the modest total of three cards anticipated. Confidence in this outcome stands at 35%, indicating a cautious but likely stalemate.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Key attackers missing for Hellas Verona
Orban and Mosquera are injured/suspended, reducing scoring options significantly.
K. Bowie’s recent away scoring form
Bowie’s 3 goals in last 5 games away provide Verona a key attacking edge on the road.
Lecce’s creative boost from Antonino Gallo
Gallo leads Lecce in assists and is returning from injury, enhancing their chance creation.
Lecce’s recent form slightly better than Verona
Lecce has a recent win and better form trend compared to Verona’s losing streak.
Defensive solidity from Nelsson for Verona
Nelsson’s high passing and duel success rate stabilizes Verona’s defense against Lecce’s attackers.
Key Takeaways
In summary, expect a hard-fought draw between Hellas Verona and Lecce, with both sides sharing points in a match where defensive solidity and key individual performances will be decisive.
- Hellas Verona have won 5 of 11 meetings against Lecce, who have won 3, with 3 draws.
- Head-to-head matches average 1.8 goals, supporting the predicted 1-1 scoreline.
- Hellas Verona sit 19th with 18 points from 33 games, Lecce 18th with 27 points from 32 games.
- Lecce have a significantly better goal difference (+9) compared to Verona this season.
- K. Bowie has scored 3 goals in his last 5 away games, making him a key threat for Verona.
- Antonino Gallo leads Lecce with 4 assists and is returning from injury, boosting their creativity.
- Defender V. Nelsson boasts 85% passing accuracy and a 64.3% duel win rate, anchoring Verona's defense.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Hellas Verona
Away — Lecce
No standout top scorers flagged for Lecce
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Coulibaly
Yellow Card
Bella-Kotchap
Akpa Akpro
Yellow Card
Štulić
Gandelman
Suslov
Akpa Akpro
Ramadani
Yellow Card
Banda
Valentini
Yellow Card
Cheddira
Yellow Card
Belghali
Bernede
N’Dri
Yellow Card
Goal cancelled
Danilo Veiga
Yellow Card
Pierotti
Match Statistics
Hellas Verona
3-5-1-1Starting XI
- 1L. MontipòG
- 3M. FreseM
- 5A. EdmundssonD
- 7R. BelghaliM
- 10T. SuslovF
- 11J. Akpa AkproM
- 15V. NelssonD
- 18K. BowieF
- 24A. BernedeM
- 37A. Bella-KotchapD
- 63R. GagliardiniM
Substitutes
- 4S. LovrićM
- 6N. ValentiniD
- 9A. SarrF
- 12D. BradarićD
- 14Pol LirolaD
- 19T. SlotsagerD
- 21A. HarrouiM
- 34S. PerilliG
- 41IsaacF
- 70Fallou ChamD
- 72J. AjayiF
- 73Al MusratiM
- 90Ioan VermeșanF
- 94G. TonioloG
Lecce
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5J. SiebertD
- 9N. ŠtulićF
- 16O. GandelmanM
- 17Danilo VeigaD
- 18G. JeanD
- 19L. BandaM
- 20Y. RamadaniM
- 25A. GalloD
- 29L. CoulibalyM
- 30W. FalconeG
- 50S. PierottiM
Substitutes
- 1C. FrüchtlG
- 3C. NdabaD
- 6Álex SalaM
- 11K. N’DriF
- 13M. PérezD
- 14Þ. HelgasonM
- 22F. CamardaF
- 28Olaf GorterM
- 32J. SamoojaG
- 36F. MarchwińskiM
- 79O. NgomM
- 80N. Kovač M
- 99W. CheddiraF
Hellas Verona
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Montipo(C) | G | 90 | 8.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Roberto Gagliardini | M | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Martin Frese | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Rafik Belghali | M | 87 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Victor Nelsson | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Andrias Edmundsson | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Armel Bella-Kotchap | D | 51 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Tomáš Suslov | F | 62 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Jean Daniel Akpa-Akpro | M | 63 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Kieron Bowie | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Antoine Bernede | M | 87 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Tobias Slotsager | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Domagoj Bradarić | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giacomo Toniolo | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Simone Perilli | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdou Harroui | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mutassim Al-Musrati | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fallou Cham | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isaac | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Junior Ajayi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sandi Lovrić | M | 28 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Nicolás Valentini | D | 39 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Ioan Vermesan | F | 11 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pol Lirola | D | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amin Sarr | F | 27 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Lecce
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wladimiro Falcone(C) | G | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jamil Siebert | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antonino Gallo | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Gaby Jean | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Danilo Veiga | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3/6 |
| Lassana Coulibaly | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 4/4 |
| Santiago Pierotti | M | 89 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2/6 |
| Ylber Ramadani | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Lameck Banda | M | 80 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 3/9 |
| Omri Gandelman | M | 60 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Nikola Štulić | F | 60 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Matías Pérez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Olaf Gorter | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Niko Kovač | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Sala | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jasper Samooja | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Filip Marchwiński | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Þórir Jóhann Helgason | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Corrie Ndaba | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Früchtl | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Walid Cheddira | F | 30 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| Oumar Ngom | M | 30 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francesco Camarda | F | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Konan N'Dri | F | 10 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |