Hellas Verona vs AS Roma
Match recap
AS Roma beat Hellas Verona 2–0 in their Serie A fixture. Malen and El Shaarawy scored for AS Roma. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.77 for Hellas Verona versus 3.36 for AS Roma. Hellas Verona sit 19th in the Serie A table while AS Roma are 3rd.
Analysis
As the Serie A season draws to a close, Hellas Verona host AS Roma in a match that promises tactical intrigue and a tight scoreline. Roma, known as I Giallorossi, aim to secure a vital away win to cement their top-four standing.
Roma currently sit comfortably in 4th place with 70 points, while Hellas Verona languish near the bottom at 19th with just 21 points. Historically, Roma have dominated this fixture, winning 12 of their last 20 encounters, and they boast a superior goal tally in these clashes.
Roma's attack, spearheaded by D. Malen who boasts 13 goals in 17 games and recent scoring form, contrasts sharply with Verona's defensive struggles, conceding 1.59 goals per game. Verona's key attackers face fitness doubts, further tipping the scales. Midfielder B. Cristante's playmaking prowess is expected to exploit Verona's midfield gaps, especially with Gagliardini absent.
Prediction
Expect a tight affair with Roma edging a 1-0 victory, likely sealed in the first half. The match should see around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled contest. Roma's consistent away scoring streak and tactical edge make them favourites to take all three points.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Roma's potent attack vs Verona's weak defense
Roma averages 1.54 goals/game with strong attackers; Verona concedes 1.59 goals/game, struggling defensively.
Malen's scoring form boosts Roma's chances
Malen's 0.76 goals/game and recent 3 goals in last 5 matches indicate high scoring probability.
Verona's key attackers doubtful or injured
Orban and Mosquera questionable; Orban's absence reduces Verona's scoring threat significantly.
Roma's consistent scoring streak
Roma has scored in last 5 away matches, showing strong offensive momentum away from home.
Cristante's playmaking vs Verona's midfield gaps
Cristante's high passing and assist potential can exploit Verona's midfield, especially with Gagliardini absent.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Roma's superior form, attacking threat, and historical dominance suggest they will leave Verona with a narrow win. Verona's defensive frailties and injury concerns make it tough for them to find the net, so a 0-1 final scoreline is the most probable outcome.
- AS Roma have won 12 of 20 matches against Hellas Verona.
- Head-to-head matches average 2.9 goals, with Roma scoring 36 to Verona's 22.
- Roma rank 4th with 70 points; Verona are 19th with 21 points.
- D. Malen is Roma's top scorer with 13 goals in 17 games.
- Verona concede an average of 1.59 goals per game this season.
- Roma have scored in their last 5 away matches.
- Verona's key attackers face fitness doubts for this match.
- The predicted total cards for the match is 4.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Hellas Verona
Away — AS Roma
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Valentini
Yellow Card
Lovrić
Yellow Card
Ghilardi
Pisilli
Valentini
Yellow Card
Valentini
Red Card
Penalty confirmed
Malen
Assist: Dybala
Suslov
Lovrić
Harroui
Frese
Ziółkowski
Yellow Card
Soulé
Unknown
Malen
Belghali
El Shaarawy
Assist: Dybala
Match Statistics
Hellas Verona
3-5-2Starting XI
- 1L. MontipòG
- 3M. FreseM
- 4S. LovrićM
- 5A. EdmundssonD
- 6N. ValentiniD
- 7R. BelghaliM
- 10T. SuslovF
- 11J. Akpa AkproM
- 15V. NelssonD
- 18K. BowieF
- 21A. HarrouiM
Substitutes
- 9A. SarrF
- 12D. BradarićD
- 14Pol LirolaD
- 19T. SlotsagerD
- 24A. BernedeM
- 30L. SzimionasM
- 34S. PerilliG
- 36C. NiasseM
- 37A. Bella-KotchapD
- 41IsaacF
- 70Fallou ChamD
- 72J. AjayiF
- 73Al MusratiM
- 90Ioan VermeșanF
- 94G. TonioloG
AS Roma
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 2D. RenschM
- 4B. CristanteM
- 14D. MalenF
- 18M. SouléF
- 19Z. ÇelikM
- 21P. DybalaF
- 22HermosoD
- 23G. ManciniD
- 61N. PisilliM
- 87D. GhilardiD
- 99M. SvilarG
Substitutes
- 3AngeliñoD
- 8N. El AynaouiM
- 9A. DovbykF
- 17M. KonéM
- 20L. VenturinoF
- 24J. ZiółkowskiD
- 70G. De MarziG
- 74M. SeckD
- 78R. VazF
- 91R. ŻeleznyG
- 92S. El ShaarawyF
- 95P. GolliniG
Hellas Verona
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Montipò(C) | G | 97 | 8.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Frese | M | 70 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Kieron Bowie | F | 97 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 0/2 |
| Abdou Harroui | M | 70 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Tomáš Suslov | F | 58 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Andrias Edmundsson | D | 97 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Sandi Lovrić | M | 58 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jean Daniel Akpa-Akpro | M | 97 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3/4 |
| Rafik Belghali | M | 86 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Victor Nelsson | D | 97 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Nicolás Valentini | D | 50 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Antoine Bernede | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Szimionas | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Simone Perilli | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pol Lirola | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cheikh Niasse | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fallou Cham | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isaac | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Junior Ajayi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tobias Slotsager | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giacomo Toniolo | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amin Sarr | F | 27 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Moatasem Al-Musrati | M | 39 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Ioan Vermesan | F | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Armel Bella-Kotchap | D | 39 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Domagoj Bradarić | D | 27 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
AS Roma
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paulo Dybala | F | 97 | 8.9 | — | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 5/10 |
| Mile Svilar | G | 97 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniele Ghilardi | D | 45 | 7.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Bryan Cristante(C) | M | 97 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Devyne Rensch | M | 97 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Gianluca Mancini | D | 97 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mario Hermoso | D | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zeki Çelik | M | 97 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Matías Soulé | F | 72 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Niccolò Pisilli | M | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Donyell Malen | F | 84 | 6.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2/7 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Lorenzo Venturino | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Radosław Żelezny | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giorgio De Marzi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Seck | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Artem Dovbyk | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pierluigi Gollini | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Angeliño | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stephan El Shaarawy | F | 25 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Neil El Aynaoui | M | 52 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robinio Vaz | F | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Manu Koné | M | 25 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan Ziółkowski | D | 27 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |