Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide
- Aggregate:
- Paide 4 1 Hegelmann Litauen
- Advances:
- Paide
Match recap
Hegelmann Litauen and Paide drew 1–1 in their UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
2-0 Hegelmann Litauen win
Actual
1–1
Outcome probability
The 1st Qualifying Round fixture between Hegelmann Litauen and Paide promises a competitive encounter. Both sides have shown glimpses of quality, but the home side is tipped to edge this one with a clean sheet and two goals to their name.
Match factors
Paide's Daniel Luts is their main scoring threat
Luts has scored 1 goal in 2 games this season, the only top scorer for Paide, making him a key offensive player.
V. Armanavičius scored twice in last home match vs Paide
Armanavičius netted both goals in the recent home fixture against Paide, showing strong form against this opponent.
Hegelmann Litauen likely to capitalize on home advantage
Hegelmann Litauen have scored more at home (1 goal per game) and are predicted to win 2-0, leveraging home conditions.
Paide's midfield led by standout performer Daniel Luts
Luts' goal threat and consistent starts make him central to Paide's attacking transitions and chance creation.
The context
In this competition, Hegelmann Litauen have played two matches with a record of no wins, one draw, and one loss, scoring once and conceding four. Paide have a slightly busier campaign with six matches, winning twice, drawing twice, and losing twice, netting seven goals but conceding eight. Their previous head-to-head meetings show Paide with one win and one draw against Hegelmann Litauen.
Key insights

Daniel Luts
Paide
Luts has scored 1 goal in 2 games this season, making him Paide's main scoring threat and a key player in their midfield.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/271 goal in 2 appearances

V. Armanavičius
Hegelmann Litauen
Armanavičius scored twice in the last home match against Paide, showing his ability to perform under pressure and contribute decisively.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/272 goals in recent home fixture vs Paide
Analysis
Hegelmann Litauen's home form and ability to convert chances, particularly through midfielder V. Armanavičius who scored twice in their last home meeting against Paide, gives them a tactical edge. Paide's main threat comes from Daniel Luts, their top scorer this season with one goal in two games, who consistently influences their midfield play. However, Hegelmann Litauen's defensive organisation and home conditions are expected to stifle Paide's attacking efforts, paving the way for a 2-0 home victory.
Key facts
- 1.Hegelmann Litauen have played 2 matches in this competition (W0 D1 L1, GF 1 / GA 4).
- 2.Paide have played 6 matches in this competition (W2 D2 L2, GF 7 / GA 8).
- 3.In 2 head-to-head meetings, Hegelmann Litauen have won 0, Paide have won 1, with 1 draw.
- 4.V. Armanavičius scored twice in the last home match against Paide.
- 5.Daniel Luts is Paide's top scorer this season with 1 goal in 2 games.
- 6.Hegelmann Litauen are predicted to win 2-0, leveraging home advantage.
- 7.The match ended 1-1 in the last encounter between these teams.
Prediction
The prediction favours a 2-0 win for Hegelmann Litauen. Despite some uncertainty due to limited data and recent form, the aggregated probabilities strongly support a home win. The home side's ability to keep a clean sheet and score twice aligns with their recent performances and tactical strengths.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Hegelmann Litauen

Away — Paide
The verdict
While the match could be finely balanced, the scales tip towards Hegelmann Litauen securing a solid 2-0 victory. Paide will need to find more attacking fluency to challenge this prediction, but for now, the home side looks set to progress with a confident display.
Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 13:02 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Goal
Goal
Missed Penalty
Goal
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Hegelmann Litauen
Starting XI
- 7C. Duke
- 8V. Armanavičius
- 10S. Gouet
- 11N. Kader
- 16M. Remeikis
- 18R. Sadauskas
- 21E. Kaušinis
- 30B. Isaac
- 31R. Bagdonavičius
- 37V. Radonja
- 77Wesley
Substitutes
- 1L. Paukštė
- 6A. Harouna
- 9D. Kazlauskas
- 19D. Pasilys
- 22D. Tibell
- 24D. Sinkevicius
- 26D. Slendzoka
- 45A. Shchedryi
- 67A. Kaulinis
- 80L. Kolendo
Paide
Starting XI
- 2M. Lilander
- 3Victor Hugo dos Santos de Sá
- 6Daniel Cabral
- 7E. Tur
- 10M. Miller
- 11M. P. Sohna
- 27N. Baranov
- 28O. Hõim
- 30A. Badamosi
- 77D. Luts
- 99E. Jarju
Substitutes
- 4Pedro Andrade Drozina
- 8H. Ojamaa
- 9H. Anier
- 12M. Meerits
- 14M. Jobarteh
- 16A. Surogin
- 17Pa Abdou Cham
- 19S. Luts
- 20K. Piht
- 21R. Smirnov
- 24R. Nigula
- 56M. Sapp
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Hegelmann Litauen to win against Paide.
- What score did Fipster predict for Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Hegelmann Litauen 2–0 Paide.
- What were the win probabilities for Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide?
- Fipster's model gave Hegelmann Litauen a 35% chance of winning, Paide a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.


